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Las Vegas Aces v Los Angeles Sparks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Las Vegas Aces (Local)
Prediction 90.83%1.10fair odd
EV -3.72%
Edge -3.51%
Kelly -62.01%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.06
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
88.59%90.80%90.91%91.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.011.051.051.0699.01%95.22%95.24%94.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Los Angeles Sparks (Visit)
Prediction 9.17%10.90fair odd
EV +11.60%
Edge +0.953%
Kelly +1.04%
Growth +0.121%
assuming max odds 12.17
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.01%9.20%9.09%11.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.0010.0910.0012.1712.50%9.91%10.00%8.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Las Vegas Aces (Local): 90.83%; Los Angeles Sparks (Visit): 9.17%. For Los Angeles Sparks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 10.90. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 12.17, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.60%.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.99%EV -3.72%E -3.51%K -62.01%G +0.000% | 12.17I 8.22%NM 8.01%EV +11.60%E +0.953%K +1.04%G +0.121% | 2.6% | 2026-09-23 02:01 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.63%E -4.41%K -92.57%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +10.04%E +0.837%K +0.913%G +0.092% | 3.6% | 2026-09-23 01:58 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.63%E -4.41%K -92.57%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +10.04%E +0.837%K +0.913%G +0.092% | 3.6% | 2026-09-23 01:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -4.63%E -4.41%K -92.57%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV +5.46%E +0.475%K +0.520%G +0.028% | 3.9% | 2026-09-23 02:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -3.72%E -3.51%K -62.01%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +0.873%E +0.079%K +0.087%G +0.001% | 3.4% | 2026-09-22 20:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -3.72%E -3.51%K -62.01%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +0.873%E +0.079%K +0.087%G +0.001% | 3.4% | 2026-09-23 00:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.63%E -4.41%K -92.57%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +0.873%E +0.079%K +0.087%G +0.001% | 4.3% | 2026-09-22 20:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.54%E -5.32%K -138.43%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +0.873%E +0.079%K +0.087%G +0.001% | 5.2% | 2026-09-22 20:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.54%E -5.32%K -138.43%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +0.873%E +0.079%K +0.087%G +0.001% | 5.2% | 2026-09-22 20:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.14%EV -4.63%E -4.41%K -92.57%G +0.000% | 10.80I 9.26%NM 8.86%EV -0.962%E -0.089%K -0.098%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-23 02:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.10%EV -4.63%E -4.41%K -92.57%G +0.000% | 10.75I 9.30%NM 8.90%EV -1.42%E -0.132%K -0.146%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-23 02:08 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.99%EV -3.72%E -3.51%K -62.01%G +0.000% | 10.70I 9.35%NM 9.01%EV -1.88%E -0.176%K -0.194%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-23 01:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.63%E -4.41%K -92.57%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -3.71%E -0.354%K -0.391%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-23 02:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.63%E -4.41%K -92.57%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -3.71%E -0.354%K -0.391%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-22 20:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.71%EV -4.63%E -4.41%K -92.57%G +0.000% | 10.25I 9.76%NM 9.29%EV -6.01%E -0.586%K -0.649%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-22 18:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.50%EV -3.72%E -3.51%K -62.01%G +0.000% | 10.10I 9.90%NM 9.50%EV -7.38%E -0.731%K -0.811%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-23 01:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.50%EV -3.72%E -3.51%K -62.01%G +0.000% | 10.10I 9.90%NM 9.50%EV -7.38%E -0.731%K -0.811%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-23 01:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.72%E -3.51%K -62.01%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -8.30%E -0.830%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-22 16:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.72%E -3.51%K -62.01%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -8.30%E -0.830%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-22 16:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.63%E -4.41%K -92.57%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -8.30%E -0.830%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-22 16:14 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.63%E -4.41%K -92.57%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -8.30%E -0.830%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-22 16:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.63%E -4.41%K -92.57%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -8.30%E -0.830%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-22 16:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.63%E -4.41%K -92.57%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -8.30%E -0.830%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-22 16:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.63%E -4.41%K -92.57%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -8.30%E -0.830%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-23 02:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.54%E -5.32%K -138.43%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -8.30%E -0.830%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-23 02:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.54%E -5.32%K -138.43%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -8.30%E -0.830%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-22 17:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.54%E -5.32%K -138.43%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -8.30%E -0.830%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-22 17:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.54%E -5.32%K -138.43%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -8.30%E -0.830%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-23 02:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.72%E -3.51%K -62.01%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -12.88%E -1.36%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-22 12:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.72%E -3.51%K -62.01%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -12.88%E -1.36%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-22 12:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.72%E -3.51%K -62.01%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -12.88%E -1.36%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-22 12:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.72%E -3.51%K -62.01%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -12.88%E -1.36%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-22 12:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.72%E -3.51%K -62.01%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -12.88%E -1.36%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-22 12:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.72%E -3.51%K -62.01%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -12.88%E -1.36%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-22 12:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.72%E -3.51%K -62.01%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -12.88%E -1.36%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-22 12:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -3.72%E -3.51%K -62.01%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -12.88%E -1.36%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-22 12:58 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.63%E -4.41%K -92.57%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -12.88%E -1.36%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-22 13:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.63%E -4.41%K -92.57%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -12.88%E -1.36%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-22 12:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.54%E -5.32%K -138.43%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -12.88%E -1.36%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-23 02:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.54%E -5.32%K -138.43%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -12.88%E -1.36%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-23 02:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.63%E -4.41%K -92.57%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -17.47%E -1.94%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-22 21:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.63%E -4.41%K -92.57%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -17.47%E -1.94%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-22 20:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 89.91%EV -8.26%E -8.18%K -826.19%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.09%EV -17.47%E -1.94%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-22 12:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.38%EV -5.54%E -5.32%K -138.43%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.62%EV -19.76%E -2.26%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-23 02:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 88.59%EV -6.45%E -6.26%K -214.84%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.41%EV -26.64%E -3.33%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-23 02:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95% | 0.6% | 2026-09-22 18:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95% | 0.6% | 2026-09-23 01:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.40% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.60% | 1.2% | 2026-09-23 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 92.72% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.28% | 1.7% | 2026-09-23 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 92.72% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.28% | 1.7% | 2026-09-23 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 92.72% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.28% | 1.7% | 2026-09-23 02:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71% | 4.3% | 2026-09-23 02:10 |