Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Las Vegas Aces v Los Angeles Sparks

2026-09-23 02:00 UTC — WNBA

Head to Head

44 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Las Vegas Aces (Local)

Prediction 89.99%1.11fair odd
EV -3.71%
Edge -3.47%
Kelly -53.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
87.12%89.97%89.95%91.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.031.061.061.0797.09%94.32%94.34%93.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Los Angeles Sparks (Visit)

Prediction 10.01%9.99fair odd
EV +10.11%
Edge +0.919%
Kelly +1.01%
Growth +0.102%

assuming max odds 11.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.64%10.03%10.05%12.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.109.109.0011.0014.08%10.99%11.11%9.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Las Vegas Aces (Local): 89.99%; Los Angeles Sparks (Visit): 10.01%. For Los Angeles Sparks (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.99. 6 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 11.00, producing a positive expected value of +10.11%.

Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Fanatics🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.61%E -4.35%K -76.84%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +10.11%E +0.919%K +1.01%G +0.102%3.4%2026-09-22 07:54
theScore Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.41%E -6.16%K -160.26%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +10.11%E +0.919%K +1.01%G +0.102%5.2%2026-09-22 02:29
Pinnacle🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.89%EV -4.61%E -4.35%K -76.84%G +0.000%10.57I 9.46%NM 9.11%EV +5.81%E +0.549%K +0.607%G +0.035%3.8%2026-09-22 07:54
DraftKings🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -4.61%E -4.35%K -76.84%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV +5.11%E +0.486%K +0.537%G +0.027%3.9%2026-09-22 07:54
Fliff🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.71%EV -4.61%E -4.35%K -76.84%G +0.000%10.35I 9.66%NM 9.29%EV +3.60%E +0.348%K +0.385%G +0.014%4.0%2026-09-22 04:59
FanDuel🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.67%EV -5.51%E -5.25%K -110.21%G +0.000%10.20I 9.80%NM 9.33%EV +2.10%E +0.206%K +0.229%G +0.005%5.0%2026-09-22 06:59
1xBet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.24%EV -4.61%E -4.35%K -76.84%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.76%EV -1.90%E -0.194%K -0.216%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-22 08:07
BetOnline.ag🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.93%EV -3.71%E -3.47%K -53.01%G +0.000%9.56I 10.46%NM 10.07%EV -4.30%E -0.450%K -0.503%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-22 05:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.93%EV -3.71%E -3.47%K -53.01%G +0.000%9.56I 10.46%NM 10.07%EV -4.30%E -0.450%K -0.503%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-22 05:49
BetUS🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -3.71%E -3.47%K -53.01%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV -4.90%E -0.516%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-22 02:29
GTbets🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -3.71%E -3.47%K -53.01%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV -4.90%E -0.516%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-22 06:24
BetAnything🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -3.71%E -3.47%K -53.01%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV -4.90%E -0.516%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-22 05:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.61%E -4.35%K -76.84%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -4.90%E -0.516%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-22 02:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.61%E -4.35%K -76.84%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -4.90%E -0.516%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-22 05:54
Bet Right🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.61%E -4.35%K -76.84%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -4.90%E -0.516%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-22 05:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.61%E -4.35%K -76.84%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -4.90%E -0.516%K -0.577%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-22 02:29
SportsBet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.51%E -5.25%K -110.21%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -4.90%E -0.516%K -0.577%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-22 06:19
Coolbet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.51%E -5.25%K -110.21%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -4.90%E -0.516%K -0.577%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-22 08:14
MyBookie.ag🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.87%EV -4.61%E -4.35%K -76.84%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.13%EV -5.91%E -0.628%K -0.703%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-22 06:03
888sport🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.61%E -4.35%K -76.84%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -9.91%E -1.10%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-22 02:24
Betway🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.61%E -4.35%K -76.84%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -9.91%E -1.10%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-22 02:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.61%E -4.35%K -76.84%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -9.91%E -1.10%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-22 02:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.61%E -4.35%K -76.84%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -9.91%E -1.10%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-22 02:29
Bovada🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.61%E -4.35%K -76.84%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -9.91%E -1.10%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-22 05:51
NordicBet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.51%E -5.25%K -110.21%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -9.91%E -1.10%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-22 02:24
Betsson🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.51%E -5.25%K -110.21%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -9.91%E -1.10%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-22 02:29
ReBet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.25%EV -4.61%E -4.35%K -76.84%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.75%EV -11.91%E -1.35%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-22 05:23
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.71%E -3.47%K -53.01%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -14.91%E -1.75%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-22 04:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.71%E -3.47%K -53.01%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -14.91%E -1.75%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-22 04:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.71%E -3.47%K -53.01%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -14.91%E -1.75%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-22 04:04
BetRivers🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.71%E -3.47%K -53.01%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -14.91%E -1.75%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-22 04:04
Unibet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.71%E -3.47%K -53.01%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -14.91%E -1.75%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-22 04:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.71%E -3.47%K -53.01%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -14.91%E -1.75%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-22 04:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.71%E -3.47%K -53.01%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -14.91%E -1.75%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-22 04:04
TABtouch🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.71%E -3.47%K -53.01%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -14.91%E -1.75%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-22 04:09
Bally Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.71%E -3.47%K -53.01%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -14.91%E -1.75%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-22 04:08
betPARX🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.71%E -3.47%K -53.01%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -14.91%E -1.75%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-22 04:09
Paddy Power🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.51%E -5.25%K -110.21%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -14.91%E -1.75%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-22 06:19
BoyleSports🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.51%E -5.25%K -110.21%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -14.91%E -1.75%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-22 05:24
TAB🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -3.71%E -3.47%K -53.01%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -19.92%E -2.49%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-22 03:54
betano_uk🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -5.51%E -5.25%K -110.21%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -19.92%E -2.49%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-22 08:03
Bet Victor🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -5.51%E -5.25%K -110.21%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -19.92%E -2.49%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-22 08:03
PMU (FR)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 88.59%EV -7.31%E -7.10%K -243.68%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.41%EV -19.92%E -2.49%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-22 04:04
LeoVegas🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 87.12%EV -5.51%E -5.25%K -110.21%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 12.88%EV -28.93%E -4.07%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-22 05:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket1.09I 91.74%NM 91.07%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.93%0.7%2026-09-22 08:09
Kalshi1.09I 91.74%NM 91.07%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.93%0.7%2026-09-22 04:09
Novig1.09I 91.74%NM 90.62%10.53I 9.50%NM 9.38%1.2%2026-09-22 06:04
Matchbook1.09I 91.74%NM 90.60%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.40%1.3%2026-09-22 05:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83%1.7%2026-09-22 08:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83%1.7%2026-09-22 08:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83%1.7%2026-09-22 08:14