Language:English
Las Vegas Aces v Indiana Fever
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Las Vegas Aces (Local)
Prediction 63.28%1.58fair odd
EV -2.55%
Edge -1.66%
Kelly -4.73%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.54
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.02%63.26%63.26%65.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.501.501.5470.42%66.71%66.67%64.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Indiana Fever (Visit)
Prediction 36.72%2.72fair odd
EV +1.72%
Edge +0.623%
Kelly +0.975%
Growth +0.017%
assuming max odds 2.77
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.98%36.74%36.74%37.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.572.552.7741.67%38.87%39.22%36.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Las Vegas Aces (Local): 63.28%; Indiana Fever (Visit): 36.72%. For Indiana Fever (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.72. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.77, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.72%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -5.72%E -3.84%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV +1.72%E +0.623%K +0.975%G +0.017% | 3.2% | 2026-10-02 01:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -5.72%E -3.84%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV +1.72%E +0.623%K +0.975%G +0.017% | 3.2% | 2026-10-02 01:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -5.09%E -3.39%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -0.846%E -0.313%K -0.497%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-02 00:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -5.09%E -3.39%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -0.846%E -0.313%K -0.497%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-02 01:04 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -5.09%E -3.39%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -0.846%E -0.313%K -0.497%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-02 00:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.79%EV -4.45%E -2.95%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.21%EV -2.31%E -0.870%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-02 01:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.94%EV -5.09%E -3.39%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.06%EV -2.31%E -0.870%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-02 01:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.94%EV -5.09%E -3.39%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.06%EV -2.31%E -0.870%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-01 23:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.45%E -2.95%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -2.68%E -1.01%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-02 00:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -4.45%E -2.95%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -3.05%E -1.15%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-01 15:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.88%E -6.17%K -20.19%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.78%E -1.44%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-02 00:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -2.55%E -1.66%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -4.52%E -1.74%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-02 01:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.19%E -2.08%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.52%E -1.74%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-02 01:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.45%E -2.95%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.52%E -1.74%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-02 00:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.09%E -3.39%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.52%E -1.74%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-02 00:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.09%E -3.39%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.52%E -1.74%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-02 00:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.09%E -3.39%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.52%E -1.74%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-02 00:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.72%E -3.84%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -4.52%E -1.74%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-02 01:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.35%E -4.29%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.52%E -1.74%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-02 00:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.35%E -4.29%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.52%E -1.74%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-02 00:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.35%E -4.29%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.52%E -1.74%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-02 00:52 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.35%E -4.29%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.52%E -1.74%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-02 00:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -8.88%E -6.17%K -20.19%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -4.52%E -1.74%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-02 00:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.82%E -2.51%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.35%E -2.49%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-02 01:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.45%E -2.95%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.35%E -2.49%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 01:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.45%E -2.95%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.35%E -2.49%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 01:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.45%E -2.95%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.35%E -2.49%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 01:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.45%E -2.95%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.35%E -2.49%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 01:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.45%E -2.95%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.35%E -2.49%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 01:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.45%E -2.95%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.35%E -2.49%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 01:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.45%E -2.95%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.35%E -2.49%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 01:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.45%E -2.95%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.35%E -2.49%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 01:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.45%E -2.95%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.35%E -2.49%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 01:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.45%E -2.95%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.35%E -2.49%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 01:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.09%E -3.39%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.35%E -2.49%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-02 01:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.72%E -3.84%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.35%E -2.49%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-02 00:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.19%E -2.08%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.19%E -3.28%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-01 22:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.19%E -2.08%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.19%E -3.28%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-01 22:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.19%E -2.08%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.19%E -3.28%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-01 22:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.19%E -2.08%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.19%E -3.28%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 01:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.45%E -2.95%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.19%E -3.28%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-02 01:04 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.09%E -3.39%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.19%E -3.28%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-02 01:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.09%E -3.39%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -10.03%E -4.09%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-02 01:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.02%EV -6.98%E -4.75%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -11.86%E -4.94%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-02 01:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.02%EV -6.98%E -4.75%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -11.86%E -4.94%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-02 01:04 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.02%EV -6.98%E -4.75%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -11.86%E -4.94%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-02 01:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 62.83%EV -10.15%E -7.15%K -24.16%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -11.86%E -4.94%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-02 01:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80% | 0.5% | 2026-10-02 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.04% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.96% | 0.7% | 2026-10-02 01:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.04% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.96% | 0.7% | 2026-10-02 01:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-10-02 01:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 0.9% | 2026-10-02 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.34% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.66% | 1.6% | 2026-10-02 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.17% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.83% | 1.9% | 2026-10-02 01:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.17% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.83% | 1.9% | 2026-10-02 01:05 |