Language:English
Las Vegas Aces v Indiana Fever
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Las Vegas Aces (Local)
Prediction 61.52%1.63fair odd
EV -2.79%
Edge -1.77%
Kelly -4.82%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.58
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.25%61.55%61.27%62.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.551.551.5866.67%64.72%64.52%63.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Indiana Fever (Visit)
Prediction 38.48%2.60fair odd
EV +0.425%
Edge +0.163%
Kelly +0.264%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 2.61
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.05%38.45%38.73%39.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.462.442.6143.48%40.67%40.98%38.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Las Vegas Aces (Local): 61.52%; Indiana Fever (Visit): 38.48%. For Indiana Fever (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.60. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.61, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.425%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -5.25%E -3.41%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV +0.425%E +0.163%K +0.264%G +0.001% | 3.2% | 2026-09-27 19:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -5.25%E -3.41%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV +0.425%E +0.163%K +0.264%G +0.001% | 3.2% | 2026-09-27 19:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -5.25%E -3.41%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV +0.040%E +0.015%K +0.025%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-27 20:02 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -5.25%E -3.41%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV +0.040%E +0.015%K +0.025%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-27 19:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -5.25%E -3.41%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV +0.040%E +0.015%K +0.025%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-27 19:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -5.87%E -3.84%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV +0.040%E +0.015%K +0.025%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-27 20:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.87%E -3.84%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -1.88%E -0.739%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-27 19:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.10%EV -4.64%E -2.99%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.90%EV -2.27%E -0.893%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-27 19:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -5.25%E -3.41%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -2.27%E -0.893%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-27 19:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.32%EV -5.87%E -3.84%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.68%EV -2.65%E -1.05%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-27 19:18 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -5.87%E -3.84%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -3.04%E -1.21%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-27 19:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -2.79%E -1.77%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -3.81%E -1.52%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-27 20:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.41%E -2.17%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.81%E -1.52%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-27 19:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -7.10%E -4.70%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -3.81%E -1.52%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-27 19:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -7.10%E -4.70%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -3.81%E -1.52%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-27 19:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.72%E -5.14%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.81%E -1.52%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-27 19:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.48%EV -4.02%E -2.58%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.52%EV -4.19%E -1.68%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-27 19:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.41%E -2.17%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.73%E -2.34%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-27 17:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.41%E -2.17%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.73%E -2.34%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-27 17:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.64%E -2.99%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.73%E -2.34%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-27 17:14 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.64%E -2.99%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.73%E -2.34%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-27 19:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.64%E -2.99%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.73%E -2.34%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-27 20:03 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.87%E -3.84%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.73%E -2.34%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-27 18:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.02%E -2.58%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.50%E -2.68%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-27 20:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.02%E -2.58%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.50%E -2.68%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-27 20:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.02%E -2.58%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.50%E -2.68%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-27 20:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.02%E -2.58%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.50%E -2.68%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-27 20:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.02%E -2.58%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.50%E -2.68%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-27 20:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.02%E -2.58%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.50%E -2.68%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-27 20:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -5.25%E -3.41%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -6.50%E -2.68%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-27 19:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.11%EV -5.25%E -3.41%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.89%EV -6.89%E -2.85%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-27 19:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.11%EV -5.25%E -3.41%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.89%EV -6.89%E -2.85%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-27 19:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.41%E -2.17%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.66%E -3.19%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-27 19:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.41%E -2.17%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.66%E -3.19%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-27 19:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.41%E -2.17%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.66%E -3.19%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-27 19:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.41%E -2.17%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.66%E -3.19%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-27 19:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.02%E -2.58%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.66%E -3.19%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-27 20:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.02%E -2.58%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.66%E -3.19%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-27 20:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.87%E -3.84%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.66%E -3.19%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-27 19:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.41%E -2.17%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.42%E -3.54%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-27 09:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.41%E -2.17%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.42%E -3.54%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-27 09:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.41%E -2.17%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.42%E -3.54%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-27 09:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -7.72%E -5.14%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -9.58%E -4.08%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-27 19:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -7.72%E -5.14%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -9.58%E -4.08%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-27 19:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.73%EV -7.72%E -5.14%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.27%EV -10.73%E -4.63%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-27 20:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -7.72%E -5.14%K -15.43%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -11.50%E -5.00%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-27 20:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45% | 0.9% | 2026-09-27 20:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-09-27 19:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-09-27 20:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.56% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.44% | 1.2% | 2026-09-27 20:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.71% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.29% | 1.6% | 2026-09-27 20:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.62% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.38% | 1.7% | 2026-09-27 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14% | 2.0% | 2026-09-27 20:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.83% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.17% | 2.7% | 2026-09-27 20:05 |