Language:English
Las Vegas Aces v Atlanta Dream
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Las Vegas Aces (Local)
Prediction 59.70%1.68fair odd
EV -3.28%
Edge -2.03%
Kelly -5.30%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.67%59.78%59.72%61.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.511.591.591.6266.23%62.99%62.89%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Atlanta Dream (Visit)
Prediction 40.30%2.48fair odd
EV +0.748%
Edge +0.299%
Kelly +0.498%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 2.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.77%40.22%40.28%41.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.362.352.5044.44%42.37%42.55%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Las Vegas Aces (Local): 59.70%; Atlanta Dream (Visit): 40.30%. For Atlanta Dream (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.48. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.748%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -5.08%E -3.19%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV +0.748%E +0.299%K +0.498%G +0.004% | 2.9% | 2026-08-19 01:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -6.27%E -3.99%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -0.058%E -0.024%K -0.039%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-19 01:02 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.88%E -2.41%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.27%E -0.517%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-18 22:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.88%E -2.41%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.27%E -0.517%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-18 22:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.88%E -2.41%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.27%E -0.517%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-18 21:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -4.48%E -2.80%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -1.27%E -0.517%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-19 00:48 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -4.48%E -2.80%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -1.27%E -0.517%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-19 00:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.88%E -2.41%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.28%E -1.37%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-18 19:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.48%E -2.80%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.28%E -1.37%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-19 01:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.27%E -3.99%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.09%E -1.72%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-19 00:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.27%E -3.99%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.09%E -1.72%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-19 00:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.27%E -3.99%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.09%E -1.72%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-19 00:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.27%E -3.99%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.09%E -1.72%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-19 00:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.27%E -3.99%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.09%E -1.72%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-19 00:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.27%E -3.99%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.09%E -1.72%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-19 00:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.27%E -3.99%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.09%E -1.72%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-19 00:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.27%E -3.99%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.09%E -1.72%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-19 00:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.27%E -3.99%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.09%E -1.72%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-19 00:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.27%E -3.99%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.09%E -1.72%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-19 00:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.28%E -2.03%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -4.89%E -2.07%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-19 01:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.28%E -2.03%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -4.89%E -2.07%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-19 01:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -4.48%E -2.80%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -4.89%E -2.07%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-19 00:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.28%E -2.03%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.30%E -2.25%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-19 00:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.28%E -2.03%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.30%E -2.25%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-19 01:01 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.88%E -2.41%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.30%E -2.25%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-18 23:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.08%E -3.19%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.30%E -2.25%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-19 01:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.67%E -3.59%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.30%E -2.25%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-19 00:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.27%E -3.99%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.30%E -2.25%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-19 01:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.27%E -3.99%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.30%E -2.25%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-19 01:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.27%E -3.99%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.30%E -2.25%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-19 01:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.87%E -4.40%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.30%E -2.25%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-19 00:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -7.46%E -4.82%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -5.30%E -2.25%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-19 01:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -4.48%E -2.80%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -5.70%E -2.44%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 01:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -5.67%E -3.59%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -5.70%E -2.44%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 01:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.88%E -2.41%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.10%E -2.62%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-19 00:42 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -5.08%E -3.19%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -6.51%E -2.80%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 00:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -5.08%E -3.19%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -6.51%E -2.80%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 00:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.28%E -2.03%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.31%E -3.18%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 00:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.28%E -2.03%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.31%E -3.18%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 00:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.88%E -2.41%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.31%E -3.18%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-18 20:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.88%E -2.41%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.31%E -3.18%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-18 20:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.88%E -2.41%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.31%E -3.18%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-18 20:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.48%E -2.80%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.31%E -3.18%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 01:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.27%E -3.99%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.31%E -3.18%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-19 00:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.16%EV -9.85%E -6.52%K -19.32%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -8.12%E -3.56%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-19 00:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.27%E -3.99%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.33%E -4.15%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-18 16:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -7.46%E -4.82%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -9.33%E -4.15%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-19 01:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57% | 0.3% | 2026-08-19 01:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 0.6% | 2026-08-19 01:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 0.6% | 2026-08-19 01:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-08-19 01:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-08-19 01:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.19% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81% | 1.3% | 2026-08-19 01:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.11% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.89% | 1.6% | 2026-08-19 01:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12% | 4.9% | 2026-08-19 01:10 |