Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Las Vegas Aces v Atlanta Dream

2026-08-19 02:00 UTC — WNBA

Head to Head

27 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Las Vegas Aces (Local)

Prediction 59.09%1.69fair odd
EV -2.51%
Edge -1.52%
Kelly -3.86%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.18%58.93%59.13%60.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.611.611.6563.69%62.14%62.11%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Atlanta Dream (Visit)

Prediction 40.91%2.44fair odd
EV -1.81%
Edge -0.752%
Kelly -1.29%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.00%41.07%40.87%42.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.292.302.4046.51%43.68%43.48%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Las Vegas Aces (Local): 59.09%; Atlanta Dream (Visit): 40.91%. For Atlanta Dream (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.44. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.40, with an expected value of -1.81%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.51%E -1.52%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.85%E -1.64%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-16 23:55
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.51%E -1.52%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.90%E -2.56%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-17 00:24
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.51%E -1.52%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 00:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.51%E -1.52%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 00:25
FanDuel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.69%E -2.26%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.71%E -2.95%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-16 23:50
SportsBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.69%E -2.26%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 23:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.28%E -2.64%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.85%E -1.64%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-17 01:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.28%E -2.64%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.90%E -2.56%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-16 23:55
Fanatics🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.87%E -3.03%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.85%E -1.64%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-17 00:00
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.87%E -3.03%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.85%E -1.64%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 23:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.87%E -3.03%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.26%E -1.82%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-17 01:08
Bet Right🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.87%E -3.03%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.08%E -2.19%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-16 23:59
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.87%E -3.03%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.90%E -2.56%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 23:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.87%E -3.03%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.90%E -2.56%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 23:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.87%E -3.03%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.90%E -2.56%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 23:54
Fliff🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.87%E -3.03%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-17 00:09
betano_uk🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -4.87%E -3.03%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -12.03%E -5.60%K -10.46%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-17 01:25
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -4.87%E -3.03%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -12.03%E -5.60%K -10.46%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-17 01:24
DraftKings🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.46%E -3.41%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -1.81%E -0.752%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-16 23:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.46%E -3.41%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.85%E -1.64%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 23:55
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.46%E -3.41%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.90%E -2.56%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 23:55
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.64%E -4.21%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.90%E -2.56%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 23:54
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.64%E -4.21%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.90%E -2.56%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 23:59
ReBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.17%EV -6.64%E -4.21%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.83%EV -6.31%E -2.75%K -4.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 23:59
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.90%E -2.56%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-17 01:04
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-16 23:49
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.13%EV -7.24%E -4.61%K -12.69%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.87%EV -10.81%E -4.96%K -9.16%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-17 00:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-08-17 01:05
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-08-16 23:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-08-17 00:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-08-17 00:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-08-17 00:05

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