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Indiana Fever v Washington Mystics
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Indiana Fever (Local)
Prediction 67.81%1.47fair odd
EV -3.03%
Edge -2.12%
Kelly -7.06%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.19%67.81%67.97%69.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.411.411.4373.53%71.06%70.92%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Washington Mystics (Visit)
Prediction 32.19%3.11fair odd
EV +1.40%
Edge +0.446%
Kelly +0.653%
Growth +0.009%
assuming max odds 3.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.77%32.19%32.03%33.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.922.903.1537.04%34.20%34.48%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Indiana Fever (Local): 67.81%; Washington Mystics (Visit): 32.19%. For Washington Mystics (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.11. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.15, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.40%.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -5.07%E -3.62%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV +1.40%E +0.446%K +0.653%G +0.009% | 3.2% | 2026-09-20 19:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -5.07%E -3.62%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV +1.40%E +0.446%K +0.653%G +0.009% | 3.2% | 2026-09-20 19:48 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.39%E -3.11%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -1.82%E -0.595%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-20 19:03 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.39%E -3.11%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -1.82%E -0.595%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-20 19:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -4.39%E -3.11%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -2.46%E -0.812%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-20 19:54 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.48%EV -5.75%E -4.13%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.52%EV -2.78%E -0.921%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-20 16:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.39%E -3.11%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -3.43%E -1.14%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-20 16:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.39%E -3.11%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -3.43%E -1.14%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-20 16:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.07%E -3.62%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.43%E -1.14%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-20 14:52 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.07%E -3.62%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.43%E -1.14%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-20 12:34 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.07%E -3.62%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.43%E -1.14%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-20 19:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.75%E -4.13%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -3.43%E -1.14%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-20 19:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.75%E -4.13%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -3.43%E -1.14%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-20 19:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.78%E -5.72%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.43%E -1.14%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-20 19:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.03%E -2.12%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -5.03%E -1.71%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-20 19:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.03%E -2.12%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -5.03%E -1.71%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-20 19:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.03%E -2.12%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -5.03%E -1.71%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-20 19:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.71%E -2.61%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -5.03%E -1.71%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-20 17:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.75%E -4.13%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -5.03%E -1.71%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-20 15:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.59%EV -4.39%E -3.11%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.41%EV -5.36%E -1.82%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-20 18:29 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -4.39%E -3.11%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -5.68%E -1.94%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-20 18:03 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.71%E -2.61%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.64%E -2.29%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-20 19:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.71%E -2.61%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.64%E -2.29%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-20 19:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.07%E -3.62%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.64%E -2.29%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-20 04:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.07%E -3.62%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.64%E -2.29%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-20 04:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.07%E -3.62%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.64%E -2.29%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-20 04:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.07%E -3.62%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.64%E -2.29%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-20 13:18 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.07%E -3.62%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.64%E -2.29%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-20 13:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%EV -5.75%E -4.13%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -6.64%E -2.29%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-20 19:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.07%E -3.62%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.29%E -2.53%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-20 13:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.78%E -5.72%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -7.29%E -2.53%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-20 18:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.03%E -2.12%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -8.25%E -2.90%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-20 19:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.03%E -2.12%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -8.25%E -2.90%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-20 19:34 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.03%E -2.12%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -8.25%E -2.90%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-20 19:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.03%E -2.12%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -8.25%E -2.90%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-20 19:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.03%E -2.12%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -8.25%E -2.90%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-20 19:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.03%E -2.12%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -8.25%E -2.90%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-20 19:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.03%E -2.12%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -8.25%E -2.90%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-20 19:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.03%E -2.12%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -8.25%E -2.90%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-20 19:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.07%E -3.62%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -8.25%E -2.90%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-20 13:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.07%E -3.62%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -8.25%E -2.90%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-20 13:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.03%E -2.12%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.86%E -3.52%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-20 19:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.03%E -2.12%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.86%E -3.52%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-20 19:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -6.42%E -4.66%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -11.47%E -4.17%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-20 19:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.50%EV -7.78%E -5.72%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.50%EV -13.08%E -4.85%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-20 19:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73% | 1.0% | 2026-09-20 18:09 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73% | 1.0% | 2026-09-20 13:24 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.78% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.22% | 1.8% | 2026-09-20 19:59 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.78% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.22% | 1.8% | 2026-09-20 19:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.78% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.22% | 1.8% | 2026-09-20 19:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.78% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.22% | 1.8% | 2026-09-20 19:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.78% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.22% | 1.8% | 2026-09-20 19:59 |
| Novig◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.63% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.37% | 2.0% | 2026-09-20 20:00 |