Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.27
assuming max odds 4.45
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Indiana Fever (Local): 76.97%; Toronto Tempo (Visit): 23.03%. For Toronto Tempo (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.34. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.46%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV +2.46%E +0.554%K +0.714%G +0.018% | 4.4% | 2026-06-16 22:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -5.32%E -4.33%K -23.14%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV +1.31%E +0.298%K +0.386%G +0.005% | 4.0% | 2026-06-16 23:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -5.32%E -4.33%K -23.14%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV +1.31%E +0.298%K +0.386%G +0.005% | 4.0% | 2026-06-16 23:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -0.991%E -0.230%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-16 22:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.27%EV -3.78%E -3.03%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.73%EV -2.14%E -0.504%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-06-16 22:58 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.14%E -0.504%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-16 23:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -3.78%E -3.03%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -3.29%E -0.784%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-16 23:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -3.29%E -0.784%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-16 23:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -3.29%E -0.784%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-16 22:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -3.29%E -0.784%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-16 22:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -3.29%E -0.784%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-16 23:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.32%E -4.33%K -23.14%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.29%E -0.784%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-16 23:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.29%E -0.784%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 22:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.29%E -0.784%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 22:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.29%E -0.784%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 22:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.71%EV -3.01%E -2.39%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.29%EV -4.44%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-06-16 23:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.60%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-16 22:58 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.60%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-16 23:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -5.32%E -4.33%K -23.14%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -6.75%E -1.67%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-16 23:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -6.75%E -1.67%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-16 22:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -6.75%E -1.67%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-16 22:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.78%E -3.03%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-16 23:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.78%E -3.03%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-16 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.78%E -3.03%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-16 23:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.78%E -3.03%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-16 22:58 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.55%E -3.67%K -18.96%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-16 23:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-16 23:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-16 23:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.24%E -1.77%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -10.20%E -2.62%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-16 23:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.24%E -1.77%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -10.20%E -2.62%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-16 23:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.24%E -1.77%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -10.20%E -2.62%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-16 23:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.24%E -1.77%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -10.20%E -2.62%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-16 23:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.24%E -1.77%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -10.20%E -2.62%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-16 23:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.24%E -1.77%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -10.20%E -2.62%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-16 23:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.24%E -1.77%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -10.20%E -2.62%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-16 23:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.24%E -1.77%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -10.20%E -2.62%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-16 23:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.24%E -1.77%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -10.20%E -2.62%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-16 23:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -2.24%E -1.77%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -10.20%E -2.62%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-16 23:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -2.24%E -1.77%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -12.50%E -3.29%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-16 23:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -2.24%E -1.77%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -12.50%E -3.29%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-16 23:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -3.01%E -2.39%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -12.50%E -3.29%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-16 23:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.09%E -4.99%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -13.65%E -3.64%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-16 23:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 74.63%EV -8.40%E -7.06%K -44.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -19.41%E -5.55%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-06-16 23:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15% | 0.3% | 2026-06-16 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.9% | 2026-06-16 23:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74% | 1.1% | 2026-06-16 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94% | 1.4% | 2026-06-16 23:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.60% | 1.7% | 2026-06-16 23:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.54% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.46% | 2.4% | 2026-06-16 23:00 |