A Escola das Odds

Indiana Fever v Portland Fire

Início: 2026-05-20 23:00 UTC

Final: Indiana Fever 90–73 Portland Fire

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

45 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Indiana Fever (Local)

Previsão 78.92%1.27odd justa
EV -1.35%
Vantagem -1.08%
Kelly -5.41%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
76.19%78.84%78.95%80.46%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.121.201.201.2589.29%83.06%83.33%80.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Portland Fire (Visitante)

Previsão 21.08%4.74odd justa
EV +3.31%
Vantagem +0.675%
Kelly +0.847%
Crescimento +0.028%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.54%21.16%21.05%23.81%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.004.564.554.9025.00%21.95%21.98%20.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (45 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
LeoVegas1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -6.09%E -5.12%K -32.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV +3.31%E +0.675%K +0.847%G +0.028%4.4%2026-05-20 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -6.09%E -5.12%K -32.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV +3.31%E +0.675%K +0.847%G +0.028%4.4%2026-05-20 22:40
Unibet1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -6.09%E -5.12%K -32.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV +3.31%E +0.675%K +0.847%G +0.028%4.4%2026-05-20 22:40
Unibet (NL)1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -6.09%E -5.12%K -32.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV +3.31%E +0.675%K +0.847%G +0.028%4.4%2026-05-20 22:40
Unibet (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -6.09%E -5.12%K -32.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV +3.31%E +0.675%K +0.847%G +0.028%4.4%2026-05-20 22:40
TABtouch1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -6.09%E -5.12%K -32.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV +3.31%E +0.675%K +0.847%G +0.028%4.4%2026-05-20 22:40
Bally Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -6.09%E -5.12%K -32.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV +3.31%E +0.675%K +0.847%G +0.028%4.4%2026-05-20 22:40
betPARX1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -6.09%E -5.12%K -32.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV +3.31%E +0.675%K +0.847%G +0.028%4.4%2026-05-20 22:40
ATG (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -6.09%E -5.12%K -32.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV +3.31%E +0.675%K +0.847%G +0.028%4.4%2026-05-20 22:40
Svenska Spel1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -6.09%E -5.12%K -32.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV +3.31%E +0.675%K +0.847%G +0.028%4.4%2026-05-20 22:40
Pinnacle1.21I 82.64%NM 79.70%EV -4.51%E -3.73%K -21.48%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.30%EV +0.143%E +0.030%K +0.038%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-20 22:40
Unibet (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.30%E -4.42%K -26.50%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +0.143%E +0.030%K +0.038%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-20 21:40
Hard Rock Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.30%E -4.42%K -26.50%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +0.143%E +0.030%K +0.038%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-20 21:40
Betway1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.30%E -4.42%K -26.50%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +0.143%E +0.030%K +0.038%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-20 21:40
Bet Victor1.22I 81.97%NM 79.39%EV -3.72%E -3.05%K -16.91%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.61%EV -0.911%E -0.194%K -0.246%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-20 22:49
ReBet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -5.30%E -4.42%K -26.50%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -0.911%E -0.194%K -0.246%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-20 21:40
MyBookie.ag1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -5.30%E -4.42%K -26.50%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -0.911%E -0.194%K -0.246%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-20 21:50
BetRivers1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.09%E -5.12%K -32.04%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.911%E -0.194%K -0.246%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 22:40
DraftKings1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.51%E -3.73%K -21.48%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -3.02%E -0.656%K -0.839%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-20 22:40
GTbets1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.51%E -3.73%K -21.48%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -3.02%E -0.656%K -0.839%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-20 22:39
Bovada1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.30%E -4.42%K -26.50%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.02%E -0.656%K -0.839%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 22:29
NordicBet1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -6.88%E -5.83%K -38.21%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.59%EV -4.07%E -0.895%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-20 21:40
Betsson1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -6.88%E -5.83%K -38.21%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.59%EV -4.07%E -0.895%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-20 21:40
888sport1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.30%E -4.42%K -26.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.13%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 21:40
Mr Green (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.30%E -4.42%K -26.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.13%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 21:40
888sport (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.30%E -4.42%K -26.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.13%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 21:40
Caesars1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -3.72%E -3.05%K -16.91%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -6.18%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-20 22:48
Betr (AU)1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -4.51%E -3.73%K -21.48%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -6.18%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 22:40
Fliff1.16I 86.21%NM 79.32%EV -8.46%E -7.29%K -52.85%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.68%EV -6.18%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-20 22:49
Fanatics1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.72%E -3.05%K -16.91%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.24%E -1.64%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-20 22:40
theScore Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.72%E -3.05%K -16.91%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.24%E -1.64%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-20 21:40
BetAnything1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.72%E -3.05%K -16.91%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.24%E -1.64%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-20 22:50
SportsBet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.30%E -4.42%K -26.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.24%E -1.64%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-20 21:49
Coolbet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.30%E -4.42%K -26.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.24%E -1.64%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-20 21:40
TAB1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.30%E -4.42%K -26.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.24%E -1.64%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-20 21:40
BetUS1.24I 80.65%NM 77.82%EV -2.14%E -1.73%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.18%EV -8.29%E -1.91%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-20 22:50
BetOnline.ag1.24I 80.65%NM 77.78%EV -2.14%E -1.73%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV -8.50%E -1.96%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-20 22:49
LowVig.ag1.24I 80.65%NM 77.78%EV -2.14%E -1.73%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV -8.50%E -1.96%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-20 22:49
Bet Right1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -2.93%E -2.38%K -12.75%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -9.34%E -2.17%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-20 22:40
FanDuel1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -3.72%E -3.05%K -16.91%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -9.34%E -2.17%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-20 22:50
PMU (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 79.14%EV -11.61%E -10.37%K -96.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.86%EV -10.40%E -2.45%K -3.20%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-20 22:40
BetMGM1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -2.14%E -1.73%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -11.45%E -2.73%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-20 22:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -1.35%E -1.08%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -15.67%E -3.92%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 22:40
Neds1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -1.35%E -1.08%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -15.67%E -3.92%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 22:40
Paddy Power1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.30%E -4.42%K -26.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -15.67%E -3.92%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-20 21:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig1.25I 80.00%NM 79.84%4.95I 20.20%NM 20.16%0.2%2026-05-20 22:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.1%2026-05-20 22:50
Polymarket1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%1.3%2026-05-20 22:50
ProphetX1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%1.3%2026-05-20 22:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.23I 81.30%NM 79.93%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.07%1.7%2026-05-20 22:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.23I 81.30%NM 79.93%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.07%1.7%2026-05-20 22:50
Kalshi1.23I 81.30%NM 79.47%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.53%2.3%2026-05-20 22:10