L’École des cotes

Indiana Fever v Portland Fire

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-20 23:00 UTC

Score final : Indiana Fever 90–73 Portland Fire

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

45 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Indiana Fever (Local)

Prévision 78.92%1.27cote équitable
EV -1.35%
Avantage -1.08%
Kelly -5.41%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
76.19%78.84%78.95%80.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.121.201.201.2589.29%83.06%83.33%80.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Portland Fire (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.08%4.74cote équitable
EV +3.31%
Avantage +0.675%
Kelly +0.847%
Croissance +0.028%

avec la cote maximale 4.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.54%21.16%21.05%23.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.564.554.9025.00%21.95%21.98%20.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
LeoVegas1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -6.09%E -5.12%K -32.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV +3.31%E +0.675%K +0.847%G +0.028%4.4%2026-05-20 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -6.09%E -5.12%K -32.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV +3.31%E +0.675%K +0.847%G +0.028%4.4%2026-05-20 22:40
Unibet1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -6.09%E -5.12%K -32.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV +3.31%E +0.675%K +0.847%G +0.028%4.4%2026-05-20 22:40
Unibet (NL)1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -6.09%E -5.12%K -32.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV +3.31%E +0.675%K +0.847%G +0.028%4.4%2026-05-20 22:40
Unibet (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -6.09%E -5.12%K -32.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV +3.31%E +0.675%K +0.847%G +0.028%4.4%2026-05-20 22:40
TABtouch1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -6.09%E -5.12%K -32.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV +3.31%E +0.675%K +0.847%G +0.028%4.4%2026-05-20 22:40
Bally Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -6.09%E -5.12%K -32.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV +3.31%E +0.675%K +0.847%G +0.028%4.4%2026-05-20 22:40
betPARX1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -6.09%E -5.12%K -32.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV +3.31%E +0.675%K +0.847%G +0.028%4.4%2026-05-20 22:40
ATG (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -6.09%E -5.12%K -32.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV +3.31%E +0.675%K +0.847%G +0.028%4.4%2026-05-20 22:40
Svenska Spel1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -6.09%E -5.12%K -32.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV +3.31%E +0.675%K +0.847%G +0.028%4.4%2026-05-20 22:40
Pinnacle1.21I 82.64%NM 79.70%EV -4.51%E -3.73%K -21.48%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.30%EV +0.143%E +0.030%K +0.038%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-20 22:40
Unibet (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.30%E -4.42%K -26.50%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +0.143%E +0.030%K +0.038%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-20 21:40
Hard Rock Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.30%E -4.42%K -26.50%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +0.143%E +0.030%K +0.038%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-20 21:40
Betway1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.30%E -4.42%K -26.50%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +0.143%E +0.030%K +0.038%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-20 21:40
Bet Victor1.22I 81.97%NM 79.39%EV -3.72%E -3.05%K -16.91%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.61%EV -0.911%E -0.194%K -0.246%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-20 22:49
ReBet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -5.30%E -4.42%K -26.50%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -0.911%E -0.194%K -0.246%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-20 21:40
MyBookie.ag1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -5.30%E -4.42%K -26.50%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -0.911%E -0.194%K -0.246%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-20 21:50
BetRivers1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.09%E -5.12%K -32.04%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.911%E -0.194%K -0.246%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 22:40
DraftKings1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.51%E -3.73%K -21.48%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -3.02%E -0.656%K -0.839%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-20 22:40
GTbets1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.51%E -3.73%K -21.48%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -3.02%E -0.656%K -0.839%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-20 22:39
Bovada1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.30%E -4.42%K -26.50%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.02%E -0.656%K -0.839%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 22:29
NordicBet1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -6.88%E -5.83%K -38.21%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.59%EV -4.07%E -0.895%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-20 21:40
Betsson1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -6.88%E -5.83%K -38.21%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.59%EV -4.07%E -0.895%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-20 21:40
888sport1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.30%E -4.42%K -26.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.13%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 21:40
Mr Green (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.30%E -4.42%K -26.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.13%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 21:40
888sport (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.30%E -4.42%K -26.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.13%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 21:40
Caesars1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -3.72%E -3.05%K -16.91%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -6.18%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-20 22:48
Betr (AU)1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -4.51%E -3.73%K -21.48%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -6.18%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 22:40
Fliff1.16I 86.21%NM 79.32%EV -8.46%E -7.29%K -52.85%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.68%EV -6.18%E -1.39%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-20 22:49
Fanatics1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.72%E -3.05%K -16.91%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.24%E -1.64%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-20 22:40
theScore Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.72%E -3.05%K -16.91%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.24%E -1.64%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-20 21:40
BetAnything1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.72%E -3.05%K -16.91%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.24%E -1.64%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-20 22:50
SportsBet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.30%E -4.42%K -26.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.24%E -1.64%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-20 21:49
Coolbet1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.30%E -4.42%K -26.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.24%E -1.64%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-20 21:40
TAB1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.30%E -4.42%K -26.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.24%E -1.64%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-20 21:40
BetUS1.24I 80.65%NM 77.82%EV -2.14%E -1.73%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.18%EV -8.29%E -1.91%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-20 22:50
BetOnline.ag1.24I 80.65%NM 77.78%EV -2.14%E -1.73%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV -8.50%E -1.96%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-20 22:49
LowVig.ag1.24I 80.65%NM 77.78%EV -2.14%E -1.73%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV -8.50%E -1.96%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-20 22:49
Bet Right1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -2.93%E -2.38%K -12.75%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -9.34%E -2.17%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-20 22:40
FanDuel1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -3.72%E -3.05%K -16.91%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -9.34%E -2.17%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-20 22:50
PMU (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 79.14%EV -11.61%E -10.37%K -96.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.86%EV -10.40%E -2.45%K -3.20%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-20 22:40
BetMGM1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -2.14%E -1.73%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -11.45%E -2.73%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-20 22:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -1.35%E -1.08%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -15.67%E -3.92%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 22:40
Neds1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -1.35%E -1.08%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -15.67%E -3.92%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 22:40
Paddy Power1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.30%E -4.42%K -26.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -15.67%E -3.92%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-20 21:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig1.25I 80.00%NM 79.84%4.95I 20.20%NM 20.16%0.2%2026-05-20 22:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.24I 80.65%NM 79.80%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.1%2026-05-20 22:50
Polymarket1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%1.3%2026-05-20 22:50
ProphetX1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%1.3%2026-05-20 22:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.23I 81.30%NM 79.93%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.07%1.7%2026-05-20 22:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.23I 81.30%NM 79.93%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.07%1.7%2026-05-20 22:50
Kalshi1.23I 81.30%NM 79.47%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.53%2.3%2026-05-20 22:10