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Indiana Fever v Las Vegas Aces
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Indiana Fever (Local)
Prediction 51.58%1.94fair odd
EV -1.99%
Edge -1.05%
Kelly -2.21%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.76%51.52%53.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.821.831.9057.80%54.80%54.64%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Las Vegas Aces (Visit)
Prediction 48.42%2.07fair odd
EV -0.263%
Edge -0.127%
Kelly -0.248%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.06
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.38%48.24%48.48%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.881.971.972.0653.19%50.74%50.76%48.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Indiana Fever (Local): 51.58%; Las Vegas Aces (Visit): 48.42%. For Las Vegas Aces (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.07. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.06, with an expected value of -0.263%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -1.99%E -1.05%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -8.01%E -4.22%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-29 22:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.30%EV -3.02%E -1.61%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.70%EV -4.14%E -2.09%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-29 22:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.54%E -1.89%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.59%E -2.87%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-29 20:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.54%E -1.89%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.59%E -2.87%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-29 14:54 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -3.54%E -1.89%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.56%E -3.40%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-29 22:14 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.07%EV -4.57%E -2.47%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.93%EV -2.68%E -1.34%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-29 22:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.57%E -2.47%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.10%E -2.60%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-29 22:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.57%E -2.47%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.10%E -2.60%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-29 22:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.57%E -2.47%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.59%E -2.87%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-29 22:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.57%E -2.47%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.59%E -2.87%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-29 18:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.57%E -2.47%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.56%E -3.40%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-29 22:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.09%E -2.76%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -5.10%E -2.60%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-29 22:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.60%E -3.06%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.17%E -1.58%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-29 22:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.60%E -3.06%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.17%E -1.58%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-29 22:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.60%E -3.06%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.14%E -2.09%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-29 22:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.60%E -3.06%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.14%E -2.09%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-29 22:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.60%E -3.06%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.62%E -2.35%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-29 22:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.60%E -3.06%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.62%E -2.35%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-29 22:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.60%E -3.06%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.62%E -2.35%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-29 22:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.60%E -3.06%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.62%E -2.35%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-29 22:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.60%E -3.06%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.62%E -2.35%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-29 22:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.60%E -3.06%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.62%E -2.35%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-29 22:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.60%E -3.06%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.62%E -2.35%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-29 22:34 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.60%E -3.06%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.62%E -2.35%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-29 22:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -5.60%E -3.06%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -5.10%E -2.60%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-29 22:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -5.60%E -3.06%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -5.10%E -2.60%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-29 22:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.60%E -3.06%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.59%E -2.87%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-29 22:29 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.60%E -3.06%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.52%E -3.94%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-29 22:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.60%E -3.06%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.52%E -3.94%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-29 22:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.97%EV -6.12%E -3.36%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.03%EV -0.747%E -0.364%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-29 22:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -7.15%E -3.97%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -0.747%E -0.364%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-29 22:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -7.15%E -3.97%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -0.747%E -0.364%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-29 22:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.15%E -3.97%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.17%E -1.58%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-29 20:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.15%E -3.97%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.17%E -1.58%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-29 20:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.15%E -3.97%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.17%E -1.58%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-29 20:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -7.15%E -3.97%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -4.14%E -2.09%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-29 22:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.15%E -3.97%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.59%E -2.87%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-29 22:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.15%E -3.97%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -8.01%E -4.22%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-29 22:34 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.15%E -3.97%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -8.01%E -4.22%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-29 22:18 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.15%E -3.97%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -8.01%E -4.22%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-29 22:18 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -7.67%E -4.28%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -0.263%E -0.127%K -0.248%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-29 22:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -7.67%E -4.28%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -0.263%E -0.127%K -0.248%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-29 22:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -7.67%E -4.28%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -0.263%E -0.127%K -0.248%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-29 22:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.65%EV -9.21%E -5.23%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.35%EV -8.98%E -4.78%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-29 22:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -10.76%E -6.22%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -3.17%E -1.58%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-29 21:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.25% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.75% | 0.4% | 2026-09-29 22:35 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-09-29 22:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23% | 1.1% | 2026-09-29 22:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10% | 1.4% | 2026-09-29 22:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10% | 1.4% | 2026-09-29 22:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10% | 1.4% | 2026-09-29 22:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33% | 1.8% | 2026-09-29 22:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08% | 1.9% | 2026-09-29 22:35 |