Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.47
assuming max odds 3.10
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Indiana Fever (Local): 67.89%; Dallas Wings (Visit): 32.11%. For Indiana Fever (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.473. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.470, with an expected value of -0.202%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -0.202%E -0.137%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -10.09%E -3.60%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -2.24%E -1.55%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -6.88%E -2.37%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-09 16:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -2.24%E -1.55%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -8.49%E -2.98%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-09 16:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -2.24%E -1.55%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -8.49%E -2.98%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-09 16:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -2.24%E -1.55%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -8.49%E -2.98%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-09 16:03 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -2.24%E -1.55%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -10.09%E -3.60%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.24%E -1.55%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -11.70%E -4.25%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.60%E -2.53%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.67%E -1.22%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-09 16:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.28%E -3.03%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -3.67%E -1.22%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-09 16:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.28%E -3.03%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -3.67%E -1.22%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-09 16:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.28%E -3.03%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -5.28%E -1.79%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-09 16:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -4.28%E -3.03%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -5.92%E -2.02%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 15:58 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -4.95%E -3.54%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -1.42%E -0.463%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -4.95%E -3.54%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -1.42%E -0.463%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.95%E -3.54%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -2.06%E -0.677%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-09 16:43 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.95%E -3.54%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -2.06%E -0.677%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-09 16:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.95%E -3.54%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.67%E -1.22%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-09 16:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -4.95%E -3.54%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -4.31%E -1.45%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.95%E -3.54%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.28%E -1.79%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 16:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.95%E -3.54%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.28%E -1.79%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 16:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.95%E -3.54%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.88%E -2.37%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.48%EV -5.63%E -4.05%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.52%EV -3.03%E -1.00%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-09 16:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.63%E -4.05%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -5.28%E -1.79%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-09 16:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.82%EV -5.63%E -4.05%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.18%EV -5.92%E -2.02%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.31%E -4.57%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -0.459%E -0.148%K -0.218%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.31%E -4.57%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -0.459%E -0.148%K -0.218%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.31%E -4.57%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -0.459%E -0.148%K -0.218%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.31%E -4.57%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -0.459%E -0.148%K -0.218%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.31%E -4.57%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -0.459%E -0.148%K -0.218%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.31%E -4.57%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -0.459%E -0.148%K -0.218%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.31%E -4.57%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -0.459%E -0.148%K -0.218%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.31%E -4.57%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -0.459%E -0.148%K -0.218%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.31%E -4.57%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -0.459%E -0.148%K -0.218%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -6.31%E -4.57%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -0.459%E -0.148%K -0.218%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.31%E -4.57%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.06%E -0.677%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 16:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.31%E -4.57%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -5.28%E -1.79%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-09 16:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.31%E -4.57%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -5.28%E -1.79%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-09 15:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.31%E -4.57%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -5.28%E -1.79%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-09 15:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.67%E -5.64%K -21.30%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -7.52%E -2.61%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-09 16:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.67%E -5.64%K -21.30%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -7.52%E -2.61%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-09 15:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -10.39%E -7.87%K -32.45%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -2.06%E -0.677%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-09 16:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.67%EV -11.74%E -9.03%K -39.14%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.33%EV -8.49%E -2.98%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37% | 1.2% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87% | 1.2% | 2026-05-09 16:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87% | 1.2% | 2026-05-09 16:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87% | 1.2% | 2026-05-09 16:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.92% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 32.08% | 1.5% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |