Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Golden State Valkyries v Toronto Tempo

Kickoff: 2026-08-05 02:04 UTC

Final: Golden State Valkyries 92–81 Toronto Tempo

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Golden State Valkyries (Local)

Prediction 83.28%1.20fair odd
EV -3.39%
Edge -2.92%
Kelly -21.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
80.81%83.25%83.32%84.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.091.141.141.1691.74%87.60%87.72%86.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Toronto Tempo (Visit)

Prediction 16.72%5.98fair odd
EV +4.48%
Edge +0.718%
Kelly +0.854%
Growth +0.038%

assuming max odds 6.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.20%16.75%16.68%19.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.805.675.756.2520.83%17.63%17.39%16.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Golden State Valkyries (Local): 83.28%; Toronto Tempo (Visit): 16.72%. For Toronto Tempo (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.98. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.48%.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Bet Right🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -6.72%E -6.00%K -56.03%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +4.48%E +0.718%K +0.854%G +0.038%5.3%2026-08-05 02:00
Fanatics🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.06%E -4.44%K -36.13%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +0.305%E +0.051%K +0.061%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 21:44
Caesars🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.06%E -4.44%K -36.13%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +0.305%E +0.051%K +0.061%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 21:34
BetMGM🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.06%E -4.44%K -36.13%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +0.305%E +0.051%K +0.061%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 16:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.71%EV -4.23%E -3.67%K -28.17%G +0.000%5.91I 16.92%NM 16.29%EV -1.20%E -0.203%K -0.244%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 21:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.71%EV -4.23%E -3.67%K -28.17%G +0.000%5.91I 16.92%NM 16.29%EV -1.20%E -0.203%K -0.244%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 21:39
BetUS🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.57%EV -4.23%E -3.67%K -28.17%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.43%EV -2.20%E -0.376%K -0.454%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 21:34
betano_uk🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -3.39%E -2.92%K -21.20%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV -3.04%E -0.524%K -0.633%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-05 02:00
Bet Victor🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -3.39%E -2.92%K -21.20%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV -3.04%E -0.524%K -0.633%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-05 01:58
Unibet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.06%E -4.44%K -36.13%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.04%E -0.524%K -0.633%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 01:39
TABtouch🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.06%E -4.44%K -36.13%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.04%E -0.524%K -0.633%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 01:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.06%E -4.44%K -36.13%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.04%E -0.524%K -0.633%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 01:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.06%E -4.44%K -36.13%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.04%E -0.524%K -0.633%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 01:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.06%E -4.44%K -36.13%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.04%E -0.524%K -0.633%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 01:40
BetRivers🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.06%E -4.44%K -36.13%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.04%E -0.524%K -0.633%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 01:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.06%E -4.44%K -36.13%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.04%E -0.524%K -0.633%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 01:39
Bally Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.06%E -4.44%K -36.13%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.04%E -0.524%K -0.633%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 01:40
betPARX🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.06%E -4.44%K -36.13%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.04%E -0.524%K -0.633%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 01:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.06%E -4.44%K -36.13%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -3.04%E -0.524%K -0.633%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 01:39
Pinnacle🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.31%EV -3.39%E -2.92%K -21.20%G +0.000%5.79I 17.27%NM 16.69%EV -3.21%E -0.554%K -0.669%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-05 01:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.21%EV -3.39%E -2.92%K -21.20%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV -3.87%E -0.674%K -0.816%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-05 01:59
GTbets🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -4.23%E -3.67%K -28.17%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -3.87%E -0.674%K -0.816%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 21:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.06%E -4.44%K -36.13%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -3.87%E -0.674%K -0.816%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 23:10
Betway🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.06%E -4.44%K -36.13%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -3.87%E -0.674%K -0.816%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 01:25
SportsBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.89%E -5.21%K -45.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -3.87%E -0.674%K -0.816%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 23:25
DraftKings🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -4.23%E -3.67%K -28.17%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV -4.71%E -0.826%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-04 21:19
BetAnything🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -4.23%E -3.67%K -28.17%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV -4.71%E -0.826%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-04 23:55
FanDuel🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -5.06%E -4.44%K -36.13%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV -4.71%E -0.826%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 01:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.06%E -4.44%K -36.13%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -6.38%E -1.14%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 01:48
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.06%E -4.44%K -36.13%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -6.38%E -1.14%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 16:05
Neds🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.06%E -4.44%K -36.13%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -6.38%E -1.14%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 16:04
ReBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.23%E -3.67%K -28.17%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -8.05%E -1.46%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 01:59
Bovada🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.23%E -3.67%K -28.17%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -8.05%E -1.46%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 01:55
888sport🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.06%E -4.44%K -36.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.05%E -1.46%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 18:20
NordicBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.06%E -4.44%K -36.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.05%E -1.46%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 02:00
theScore Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.06%E -4.44%K -36.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.05%E -1.46%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 20:15
Betsson🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.06%E -4.44%K -36.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.05%E -1.46%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 02:00
Coolbet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.06%E -4.44%K -36.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.05%E -1.46%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 23:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.06%E -4.44%K -36.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.05%E -1.46%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 18:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.06%E -4.44%K -36.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.05%E -1.46%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 18:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.06%E -4.44%K -36.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.05%E -1.46%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 02:00
TAB🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.06%E -4.44%K -36.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.05%E -1.46%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 00:35
Paddy Power🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.72%E -6.00%K -56.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -8.05%E -1.46%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 22:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 83.46%EV -9.22%E -8.46%K -102.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -8.05%E -1.46%K -1.79%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-05 01:40
Fliff🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.23%E -3.67%K -28.17%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -9.73%E -1.80%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 02:00
BoyleSports🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.06%E -4.44%K -36.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -16.41%E -3.28%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-05 01:59
LeoVegas🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -5.06%E -4.44%K -36.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -19.76%E -4.12%K -5.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-05 01:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%0.7%2026-08-05 02:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%0.7%2026-08-05 02:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%0.7%2026-08-05 02:00
Matchbook1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-08-05 02:00
Novig1.18I 84.75%NM 83.70%6.06I 16.50%NM 16.30%1.2%2026-08-05 01:55
Kalshi1.18I 84.75%NM 83.29%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.71%1.8%2026-08-05 02:00
Polymarket1.18I 84.75%NM 83.29%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.71%1.8%2026-08-05 02:00
ProphetX1.18I 84.75%NM 83.21%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.79%1.8%2026-08-05 02:00