Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Golden State Valkyries v Toronto Tempo

Kickoff: 2026-08-03 00:34 UTC

Final: Golden State Valkyries 96–79 Toronto Tempo

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Golden State Valkyries (Local)

Prediction 87.19%1.15fair odd
EV -1.47%
Edge -1.30%
Kelly -11.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.13

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
84.30%87.08%87.34%88.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.081.101.101.1392.59%90.79%90.91%88.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Toronto Tempo (Visit)

Prediction 12.81%7.81fair odd
EV +2.47%
Edge +0.308%
Kelly +0.352%
Growth +0.009%

assuming max odds 8.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.99%12.92%12.66%15.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.807.047.008.0017.24%14.21%14.29%12.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Golden State Valkyries (Local): 87.19%; Toronto Tempo (Visit): 12.81%. For Toronto Tempo (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.81. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.47%.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Unibet (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -4.09%E -3.72%K -40.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV +2.47%E +0.308%K +0.352%G +0.009%3.4%2026-08-03 00:28
Bet Victor🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -4.09%E -3.72%K -40.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV +2.47%E +0.308%K +0.352%G +0.009%3.4%2026-08-03 00:30
betano_uk🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -4.09%E -3.72%K -40.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV +2.47%E +0.308%K +0.352%G +0.009%3.4%2026-08-03 00:19
Fanatics🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.96%E -4.55%K -55.12%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +2.47%E +0.308%K +0.352%G +0.009%4.2%2026-08-03 00:09
BetMGM🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.96%E -4.55%K -55.12%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV +2.47%E +0.308%K +0.352%G +0.009%4.2%2026-08-03 00:10
Pinnacle🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 87.50%EV -3.22%E -2.90%K -29.25%G +0.000%7.77I 12.87%NM 12.50%EV -0.480%E -0.062%K -0.071%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-03 00:15
DraftKings🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.57%EV -4.09%E -3.72%K -40.89%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.43%EV -0.736%E -0.095%K -0.109%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-03 00:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.37%EV -4.09%E -3.72%K -40.89%G +0.000%7.61I 13.14%NM 12.63%EV -2.53%E -0.332%K -0.383%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-02 22:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.37%EV -4.09%E -3.72%K -40.89%G +0.000%7.61I 13.14%NM 12.63%EV -2.53%E -0.332%K -0.383%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-02 22:55
GTbets🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 87.26%EV -3.22%E -2.90%K -29.25%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.74%EV -2.66%E -0.350%K -0.403%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-03 00:24
Caesars🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.09%E -3.72%K -40.89%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -3.94%E -0.525%K -0.606%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-02 19:11
BetUS🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.09%E -3.72%K -40.89%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -3.94%E -0.525%K -0.606%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-02 22:54
BetAnything🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.09%E -3.72%K -40.89%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -3.94%E -0.525%K -0.606%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-02 22:55
FanDuel🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.96%E -4.55%K -55.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.94%E -0.525%K -0.606%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 00:25
Bet Right🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.96%E -4.55%K -55.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.94%E -0.525%K -0.606%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 00:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.96%E -4.55%K -55.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.94%E -0.525%K -0.606%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 00:09
Neds🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.96%E -4.55%K -55.12%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -3.94%E -0.525%K -0.606%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 00:10
NordicBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.83%E -5.40%K -72.91%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -3.94%E -0.525%K -0.606%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 00:24
Betsson🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.83%E -5.40%K -72.91%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -3.94%E -0.525%K -0.606%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 00:24
ReBet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.16%EV -4.96%E -4.55%K -55.12%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.84%EV -5.22%E -0.705%K -0.816%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 00:19
MyBookie.ag🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.16%EV -4.96%E -4.55%K -55.12%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.84%EV -5.22%E -0.705%K -0.816%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 00:23
Bovada🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -4.09%E -3.72%K -40.89%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV -7.14%E -0.985%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 00:03
888sport🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.09%E -3.72%K -40.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -10.34%E -1.48%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 19:05
theScore Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.09%E -3.72%K -40.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -10.34%E -1.48%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 00:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.09%E -3.72%K -40.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -10.34%E -1.48%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 19:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.09%E -3.72%K -40.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -10.34%E -1.48%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 19:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.09%E -3.72%K -40.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -10.34%E -1.48%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 00:10
SportsBet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.96%E -4.55%K -55.12%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -10.34%E -1.48%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 00:24
Coolbet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.96%E -4.55%K -55.12%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -10.34%E -1.48%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 00:20
Betway🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.96%E -4.55%K -55.12%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -10.34%E -1.48%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 00:30
BoyleSports🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.83%E -5.40%K -72.91%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -10.34%E -1.48%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-03 00:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.83%E -5.40%K -72.91%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -10.34%E -1.48%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-03 00:30
Fliff🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.14%EV -3.22%E -2.90%K -29.25%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.86%EV -11.62%E -1.68%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-03 00:25
TAB🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.09%E -3.72%K -40.89%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -16.75%E -2.58%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-03 00:09
Paddy Power🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.83%E -5.40%K -72.91%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -16.75%E -2.58%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-03 00:25
TABtouch🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -2.35%E -2.09%K -19.54%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -19.95%E -3.19%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 00:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -1.47%E -1.30%K -11.33%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -21.87%E -3.59%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 00:25
Unibet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -1.47%E -1.30%K -11.33%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -21.87%E -3.59%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 00:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -1.47%E -1.30%K -11.33%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -21.87%E -3.59%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 00:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -1.47%E -1.30%K -11.33%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -21.87%E -3.59%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 00:25
betPARX🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -1.47%E -1.30%K -11.33%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -21.87%E -3.59%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 00:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -1.47%E -1.30%K -11.33%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -21.87%E -3.59%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 00:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -1.47%E -1.30%K -11.33%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -21.87%E -3.59%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 00:25
Bally Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -1.47%E -1.30%K -11.33%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -21.87%E -3.59%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 00:24
BetRivers🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -2.35%E -2.09%K -19.54%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -21.87%E -3.59%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 00:25
LeoVegas🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 84.84%EV -4.96%E -4.55%K -55.12%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.16%EV -21.87%E -3.59%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-03 00:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 84.30%EV -5.83%E -5.40%K -72.91%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.70%EV -25.71%E -4.43%K -5.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-03 00:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91%0.7%2026-08-02 19:15
Polymarket1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91%0.7%2026-08-03 00:25
Novig1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%1.0%2026-08-03 00:30
Matchbook1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%1.0%2026-08-03 00:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.13I 88.50%NM 87.06%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.94%1.7%2026-08-03 00:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 87.06%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.94%1.7%2026-08-03 00:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 87.06%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.94%1.7%2026-08-03 00:30
ProphetX1.13I 88.50%NM 86.60%7.30I 13.70%NM 13.40%2.2%2026-08-03 00:30

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