The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Golden State Valkyries v Seattle Storm

Kickoff: 2026-04-26 00:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Golden State Valkyries (Local)

Prediction 67.76%1.48fair odd
EV -3.11%
Edge -2.17%
Kelly -7.22%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.67%67.76%67.76%68.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.401.401.4373.53%71.57%71.43%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Seattle Storm (Visit)

Prediction 32.24%3.10fair odd
EV -1.66%
Edge -0.545%
Kelly -0.810%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.15%32.24%32.24%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.922.903.0535.71%34.30%34.48%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Golden State Valkyries (Local): 67.76%; Seattle Storm (Visit): 32.24%. For Seattle Storm (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.10. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.05, with an expected value of -1.66%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
MyBookie.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -3.11%E -2.17%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -7.79%E -2.72%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 21:03
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 21:00
Neds🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.78%E -2.66%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.50%E -2.24%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 20:59
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.14%E -3.67%K -12.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.72%E -3.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-24 00:34
FanDuel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.49%E -4.71%K -17.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.66%E -0.545%K -0.810%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 20:59
SportsBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.79%EV -7.17%E -5.23%K -19.38%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.21%EV -2.63%E -0.870%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 20:55
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.85%E -5.77%K -21.80%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -7.14%E -2.48%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 20:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-04-24 02:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-04-24 02:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-04-24 02:10