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Golden State Valkyries v Seattle Storm
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Golden State Valkyries (Local)
Prediction 83.76%1.19fair odd
EV -2.00%
Edge -1.71%
Kelly -11.79%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.17
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
82.35%83.89%83.75%86.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.061.131.131.1794.34%88.71%88.50%85.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Seattle Storm (Visit)
Prediction 16.24%6.16fair odd
EV +13.70%
Edge +1.96%
Kelly +2.28%
Growth +0.313%
assuming max odds 7.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.58%16.11%16.25%17.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.406.066.007.0018.52%16.51%16.67%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Golden State Valkyries (Local): 83.76%; Seattle Storm (Visit): 16.24%. For Seattle Storm (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.16. 17 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +13.70%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -7.87%E -7.15%K -78.67%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +13.70%E +1.96%K +2.28%G +0.313% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 01:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -7.87%E -7.15%K -78.67%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +13.70%E +1.96%K +2.28%G +0.313% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 01:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -7.87%E -7.15%K -78.67%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +13.70%E +1.96%K +2.28%G +0.313% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 01:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -7.87%E -7.15%K -78.67%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +13.70%E +1.96%K +2.28%G +0.313% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 01:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -7.87%E -7.15%K -78.67%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +13.70%E +1.96%K +2.28%G +0.313% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 01:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -7.87%E -7.15%K -78.67%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +13.70%E +1.96%K +2.28%G +0.313% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 01:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -7.87%E -7.15%K -78.67%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +13.70%E +1.96%K +2.28%G +0.313% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 01:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -7.87%E -7.15%K -78.67%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +13.70%E +1.96%K +2.28%G +0.313% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 01:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -7.87%E -7.15%K -78.67%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +13.70%E +1.96%K +2.28%G +0.313% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 01:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -7.87%E -7.15%K -78.67%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +13.70%E +1.96%K +2.28%G +0.313% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 01:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -6.19%E -5.53%K -51.60%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +5.58%E +0.859%K +1.01%G +0.057% | 4.7% | 2026-09-19 20:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 85.98%EV -11.22%E -10.58%K -186.96%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV +5.58%E +0.859%K +1.01%G +0.057% | 9.7% | 2026-09-20 01:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.57%EV -4.52%E -3.96%K -32.27%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.43%EV +1.52%E +0.243%K +0.289%G +0.004% | 3.7% | 2026-09-20 01:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -5.35%E -4.74%K -41.19%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV +1.52%E +0.243%K +0.289%G +0.004% | 4.5% | 2026-09-20 00:34 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -6.19%E -5.53%K -51.60%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +1.52%E +0.243%K +0.289%G +0.004% | 5.3% | 2026-09-20 01:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -6.19%E -5.53%K -51.60%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV +0.708%E +0.114%K +0.136%G +0.001% | 5.4% | 2026-09-19 20:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -6.19%E -5.53%K -51.60%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV +0.708%E +0.114%K +0.136%G +0.001% | 5.4% | 2026-09-19 20:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.52%E -3.96%K -32.27%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -2.54%E -0.424%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-19 22:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.52%E -3.96%K -32.27%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -2.54%E -0.424%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-19 22:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.52%E -3.96%K -32.27%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -2.54%E -0.424%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-20 00:19 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -4.52%E -3.96%K -32.27%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -2.54%E -0.424%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-20 01:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.35%E -4.74%K -41.19%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -2.54%E -0.424%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 00:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.35%E -4.74%K -41.19%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -2.54%E -0.424%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-19 20:22 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.19%E -5.53%K -51.60%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -2.54%E -0.424%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-20 01:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -5.35%E -4.74%K -41.19%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV -4.17%E -0.706%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-20 00:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.48%EV -3.68%E -3.20%K -24.53%G +0.000% | 5.81I 17.21%NM 16.52%EV -5.63%E -0.969%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-20 00:09 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -2.84%E -2.45%K -17.76%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV -5.79%E -0.998%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-20 00:52 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.33%EV -2.84%E -2.45%K -17.76%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.67%EV -5.79%E -0.998%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-20 00:52 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.26%EV -2.84%E -2.45%K -17.76%G +0.000% | 5.77I 17.33%NM 16.74%EV -6.28%E -1.09%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-20 01:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.35%E -4.74%K -41.19%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.60%E -1.15%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-20 00:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.35%E -4.74%K -41.19%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -6.60%E -1.15%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-19 20:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -6.19%E -5.53%K -51.60%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -6.60%E -1.15%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-20 01:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -2.00%E -1.71%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -10.66%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-19 20:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.52%E -3.96%K -32.27%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.66%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-19 21:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.52%E -3.96%K -32.27%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.66%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-20 01:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.52%E -3.96%K -32.27%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.66%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-20 00:58 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.52%E -3.96%K -32.27%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.66%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-19 21:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.52%E -3.96%K -32.27%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.66%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-19 21:19 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -4.52%E -3.96%K -32.27%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -10.66%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-20 01:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.35%E -4.74%K -41.19%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -10.66%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-19 21:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.35%E -4.74%K -41.19%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -10.66%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-19 21:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.19%E -5.53%K -51.60%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.66%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-19 21:18 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.19%E -5.53%K -51.60%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.66%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-20 00:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.35%EV -2.00%E -1.71%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 5.46I 18.32%NM 17.65%EV -11.31%E -2.07%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-19 20:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.35%EV -2.00%E -1.71%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 5.46I 18.32%NM 17.65%EV -11.31%E -2.07%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-19 20:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -6.19%E -5.53%K -51.60%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -12.29%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-20 01:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -6.19%E -5.53%K -51.60%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -12.29%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-20 01:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06% | 0.6% | 2026-09-20 01:04 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06% | 0.6% | 2026-09-20 01:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06% | 0.6% | 2026-09-20 01:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06% | 0.6% | 2026-09-20 01:04 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.75% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 15.25% | 0.9% | 2026-09-20 01:04 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.13% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.87% | 1.0% | 2026-09-20 01:04 |
| Novig◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81% | 1.2% | 2026-09-20 01:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.23% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.77% | 1.7% | 2026-09-20 01:04 |