Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Golden State Valkyries v Portland Fire

Kickoff: 2026-06-03 02:05 UTC

Final: Golden State Valkyries 95–77 Portland Fire

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

42 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Golden State Valkyries (Local)

Prediction 75.85%1.32fair odd
EV -2.15%
Edge -1.67%
Kelly -7.43%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.35%75.80%75.81%77.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.171.251.251.2985.47%79.76%80.00%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Portland Fire (Visit)

Prediction 24.15%4.14fair odd
EV +1.43%
Edge +0.340%
Kelly +0.447%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.72%24.20%24.19%26.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.973.984.2028.17%25.16%25.16%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Golden State Valkyries (Local): 75.85%; Portland Fire (Visit): 24.15%. For Portland Fire (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.14. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.43%.

Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
TABtouch🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.95%E -4.80%K -24.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +1.43%E +0.340%K +0.447%G +0.006%4.5%2026-06-03 01:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.95%E -4.80%K -24.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +1.43%E +0.340%K +0.447%G +0.006%4.5%2026-06-03 02:00
LeoVegas🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.95%E -4.80%K -24.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +1.43%E +0.340%K +0.447%G +0.006%4.5%2026-06-03 02:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.95%E -4.80%K -24.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +1.43%E +0.340%K +0.447%G +0.006%4.5%2026-06-03 02:00
Unibet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.95%E -4.80%K -24.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +1.43%E +0.340%K +0.447%G +0.006%4.5%2026-06-03 02:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.95%E -4.80%K -24.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +1.43%E +0.340%K +0.447%G +0.006%4.5%2026-06-03 02:00
Bally Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.95%E -4.80%K -24.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +1.43%E +0.340%K +0.447%G +0.006%4.5%2026-06-03 01:59
betPARX🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.95%E -4.80%K -24.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +1.43%E +0.340%K +0.447%G +0.006%4.5%2026-06-03 01:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.95%E -4.80%K -24.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +1.43%E +0.340%K +0.447%G +0.006%4.5%2026-06-03 02:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.95%E -4.80%K -24.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +1.43%E +0.340%K +0.447%G +0.006%4.5%2026-06-03 01:59
SportsBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -7.46%E -6.12%K -33.92%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV +0.222%E +0.054%K +0.071%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-03 02:00
Bet Victor🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -3.67%E -2.89%K -13.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -0.985%E -0.240%K -0.318%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-03 01:58
FanDuel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.95%E -4.80%K -24.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -0.985%E -0.240%K -0.318%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 02:00
BetMGM🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.67%E -2.89%K -13.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -3.40%E -0.850%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-03 02:00
Caesars🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.43%E -3.52%K -17.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -3.40%E -0.850%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-03 01:57
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.40%E -0.850%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 01:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.40%E -0.850%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 01:59
theScore Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.40%E -0.850%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 02:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.40%E -0.850%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 01:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.40%E -0.850%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-03 01:59
BetRivers🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.95%E -4.80%K -24.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -3.40%E -0.850%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-03 02:00
DraftKings🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -3.67%E -2.89%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -4.61%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-03 01:57
GTbets🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -3.67%E -2.89%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -4.61%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-03 01:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.43%E -3.52%K -17.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -4.61%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 02:00
ReBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.43%E -3.52%K -17.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -4.61%E -1.17%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 01:59
BetAnything🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -2.91%E -2.27%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -5.82%E -1.49%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-03 01:59
Fanatics🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.67%E -2.89%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -5.82%E -1.49%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-03 02:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.82%E -1.49%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-03 02:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -2.91%E -2.27%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV -6.06%E -1.56%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-03 02:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -2.91%E -2.27%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV -6.06%E -1.56%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-03 02:00
BetUS🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -2.91%E -2.27%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -7.02%E -1.82%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-03 02:00
NordicBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.95%E -4.80%K -24.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -7.02%E -1.82%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-03 01:59
Betsson🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -5.95%E -4.80%K -24.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -7.02%E -1.82%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-03 01:59
Pinnacle🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -2.15%E -1.67%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -8.23%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-03 02:00
Neds🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.91%E -2.27%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -8.23%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-03 02:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.91%E -2.27%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -8.23%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-03 01:59
TAB🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -4.43%E -3.52%K -17.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -8.23%E -2.17%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-03 01:59
Bovada🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -2.15%E -1.67%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -9.44%E -2.52%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-03 01:58
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.19%E -4.15%K -20.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.44%E -2.52%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-03 02:00
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.46%E -6.12%K -33.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -9.44%E -2.52%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-03 02:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 76.22%EV -11.26%E -9.62%K -66.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -9.44%E -2.52%K -3.43%G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-03 01:59
Fliff🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -2.15%E -1.67%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -14.27%E -4.02%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-03 02:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-06-03 01:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.2%2026-06-03 02:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.2%2026-06-03 02:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.2%2026-06-03 02:00
Kalshi1.32I 75.76%NM 74.47%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.53%1.7%2026-06-03 02:00
Polymarket1.33I 75.19%NM 73.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44%2.2%2026-06-03 02:00
ProphetX1.32I 75.76%NM 73.96%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04%2.4%2026-06-03 02:00