默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Golden State Valkyries v Portland Fire

开赛时间: 2026-09-19 02:00 UTC

最终结果: Golden State Valkyries 82–66 Portland Fire

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

47 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Golden State Valkyries (主队)

预测 85.64%1.17公平赔率
EV -3.23%
优势 -2.86%
Kelly -24.82%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.13

博彩公司预测分布
83.58%85.67%85.62%87.31%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.051.111.111.1395.24%90.45%90.09%88.50%最小值均值中位数最大值

Portland Fire (客队)

预测 14.36%6.96公平赔率
EV +7.70%
优势 +1.03%
Kelly +1.18%
增长率 +0.091%

假设最高赔率为 7.50

博彩公司预测分布
12.69%14.33%14.38%16.42%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.606.656.617.5017.86%15.04%15.13%13.33%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Golden State Valkyries (主队):85.64%;Portland Fire (客队):14.36%。 对于“Portland Fire (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为6.96。 当时有16家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为7.50,对应+7.70%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (47 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
Fliff🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.65%E -6.10%K -73.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +7.70%E +1.03%K +1.18%G +0.091%5.1%2026-09-18 15:15
Pinnacle🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 87.08%EV -4.94%E -4.45%K -44.91%G +0.000%7.48I 13.37%NM 12.92%EV +7.41%E +0.991%K +1.14%G +0.085%3.5%2026-09-18 15:20
Bovada🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -5.80%E -5.27%K -57.96%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV +4.11%E +0.567%K +0.658%G +0.027%4.7%2026-09-18 15:02
1xBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.35%EV -4.94%E -4.45%K -44.91%G +0.000%7.02I 14.25%NM 13.65%EV +0.807%E +0.115%K +0.134%G +0.001%4.3%2026-09-18 15:29
Betway🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.94%E -4.45%K -44.91%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +0.520%E +0.074%K +0.087%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-18 12:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.80%E -5.27%K -57.96%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +0.520%E +0.074%K +0.087%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-18 13:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.80%E -5.27%K -57.96%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +0.520%E +0.074%K +0.087%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-18 13:10
BetRivers🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.80%E -5.27%K -57.96%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +0.520%E +0.074%K +0.087%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-18 13:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.80%E -5.27%K -57.96%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +0.520%E +0.074%K +0.087%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-18 13:09
Unibet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.80%E -5.27%K -57.96%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +0.520%E +0.074%K +0.087%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-18 13:10
TABtouch🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.80%E -5.27%K -57.96%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +0.520%E +0.074%K +0.087%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-18 13:10
betPARX🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.80%E -5.27%K -57.96%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +0.520%E +0.074%K +0.087%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-18 13:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.80%E -5.27%K -57.96%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +0.520%E +0.074%K +0.087%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-18 13:10
Bally Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.80%E -5.27%K -57.96%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +0.520%E +0.074%K +0.087%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-18 13:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.80%E -5.27%K -57.96%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +0.520%E +0.074%K +0.087%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-18 13:09
theScore Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.51%E -6.95%K -93.86%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +0.520%E +0.074%K +0.087%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-18 12:29
GTbets🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 86.03%EV -4.08%E -3.65%K -34.03%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.97%EV -0.916%E -0.133%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-18 15:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.94%E -4.45%K -44.91%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.07%E -0.455%K -0.534%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-18 14:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.94%E -4.45%K -44.91%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.07%E -0.455%K -0.534%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-18 12:19
Caesars🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.94%E -4.45%K -44.91%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.07%E -0.455%K -0.534%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-18 14:47
Bet Right🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.94%E -4.45%K -44.91%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.07%E -0.455%K -0.534%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-18 14:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.80%E -5.27%K -57.96%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -3.07%E -0.455%K -0.534%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-18 12:30
FanDuel🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -4.94%E -4.45%K -44.91%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -3.79%E -0.565%K -0.665%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-18 14:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV -4.08%E -3.65%K -34.03%G +0.000%6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV -5.08%E -0.769%K -0.906%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-18 03:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV -4.08%E -3.65%K -34.03%G +0.000%6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV -5.08%E -0.769%K -0.906%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-18 03:50
Coolbet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.71%EV -5.80%E -5.27%K -57.96%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.29%EV -5.22%E -0.792%K -0.933%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-18 14:54
Fanatics🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.08%E -3.65%K -34.03%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -6.66%E -1.02%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 15:15
BetMGM🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.08%E -3.65%K -34.03%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -6.66%E -1.02%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 08:09
BetAnything🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.08%E -3.65%K -34.03%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -6.66%E -1.02%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 03:50
BetUS🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.08%E -3.65%K -34.03%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -6.66%E -1.02%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 12:05
888sport🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.94%E -4.45%K -44.91%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -6.66%E -1.02%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-18 07:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.94%E -4.45%K -44.91%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -6.66%E -1.02%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-18 07:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.94%E -4.45%K -44.91%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -6.66%E -1.02%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-18 07:19
Betsson🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.80%E -5.27%K -57.96%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.66%E -1.02%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-18 12:20
NordicBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.80%E -5.27%K -57.96%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.66%E -1.02%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-18 12:19
ReBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.80%E -5.27%K -57.96%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.66%E -1.02%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-18 12:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 86.09%EV -10.08%E -9.60%K -201.56%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -6.66%E -1.02%K -1.21%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 13:09
DraftKings🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -3.23%E -2.86%K -24.82%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -10.25%E -1.64%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-18 15:14
SportsBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -4.94%E -4.45%K -44.91%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -10.25%E -1.64%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-18 13:34
Neds🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -4.08%E -3.65%K -34.03%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -10.97%E -1.77%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-18 08:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -4.08%E -3.65%K -34.03%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -10.97%E -1.77%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-18 08:10
TAB🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.08%E -3.65%K -34.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.84%E -2.31%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-18 15:14
Paddy Power🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.94%E -4.45%K -44.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -13.84%E -2.31%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 06:03
BoyleSports🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.80%E -5.27%K -57.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -13.84%E -2.31%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-18 12:19
Bet Victor🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -6.65%E -6.10%K -73.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -13.84%E -2.31%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-18 15:24
betano_uk🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -6.65%E -6.10%K -73.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -13.84%E -2.31%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-18 15:23
LeoVegas🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 83.58%EV -5.80%E -5.27%K -57.96%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.42%EV -19.58%E -3.50%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 12:30
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (8)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook◎1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75%0.5%2026-09-18 13:35
Polymarket◎1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91%0.7%2026-09-18 12:30
Novig◎1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91%0.7%2026-09-18 12:45
Kalshi◎1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91%0.7%2026-09-18 09:40
ProphetX◎1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%0.9%2026-09-18 15:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 87.35%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.65%1.3%2026-09-18 15:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 87.35%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.65%1.3%2026-09-18 15:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 87.35%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.65%1.3%2026-09-18 15:10