Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Golden State Valkyries v Portland Fire

Início: 2026-09-19 02:00 UTC

Final: Golden State Valkyries 82–66 Portland Fire

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Golden State Valkyries (Local)

Previsão 85.64%1.17odd justa
EV -3.23%
Vantagem -2.86%
Kelly -24.82%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.13

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
83.58%85.67%85.62%87.31%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.051.111.111.1395.24%90.45%90.09%88.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Portland Fire (Visitante)

Previsão 14.36%6.96odd justa
EV +7.70%
Vantagem +1.03%
Kelly +1.18%
Crescimento +0.091%

pressupondo odds máximas de 7.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
12.69%14.33%14.38%16.42%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
5.606.656.617.5017.86%15.04%15.13%13.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Golden State Valkyries (Local): 85.64%; Portland Fire (Visitante): 14.36%. Para Portland Fire (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 6.96. 16 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 7.50, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +7.70%.

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Fliff🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.65%E -6.10%K -73.92%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +7.70%E +1.03%K +1.18%G +0.091%5.1%2026-09-18 15:15
Pinnacle🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 87.08%EV -4.94%E -4.45%K -44.91%G +0.000%7.48I 13.37%NM 12.92%EV +7.41%E +0.991%K +1.14%G +0.085%3.5%2026-09-18 15:20
Bovada🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -5.80%E -5.27%K -57.96%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV +4.11%E +0.567%K +0.658%G +0.027%4.7%2026-09-18 15:02
1xBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.35%EV -4.94%E -4.45%K -44.91%G +0.000%7.02I 14.25%NM 13.65%EV +0.807%E +0.115%K +0.134%G +0.001%4.3%2026-09-18 15:29
Betway🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.94%E -4.45%K -44.91%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +0.520%E +0.074%K +0.087%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-18 12:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.80%E -5.27%K -57.96%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +0.520%E +0.074%K +0.087%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-18 13:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.80%E -5.27%K -57.96%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +0.520%E +0.074%K +0.087%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-18 13:10
BetRivers🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.80%E -5.27%K -57.96%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +0.520%E +0.074%K +0.087%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-18 13:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.80%E -5.27%K -57.96%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +0.520%E +0.074%K +0.087%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-18 13:09
Unibet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.80%E -5.27%K -57.96%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +0.520%E +0.074%K +0.087%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-18 13:10
TABtouch🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.80%E -5.27%K -57.96%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +0.520%E +0.074%K +0.087%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-18 13:10
betPARX🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.80%E -5.27%K -57.96%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +0.520%E +0.074%K +0.087%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-18 13:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.80%E -5.27%K -57.96%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +0.520%E +0.074%K +0.087%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-18 13:10
Bally Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.80%E -5.27%K -57.96%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +0.520%E +0.074%K +0.087%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-18 13:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.80%E -5.27%K -57.96%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +0.520%E +0.074%K +0.087%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-18 13:09
theScore Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.51%E -6.95%K -93.86%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +0.520%E +0.074%K +0.087%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-18 12:29
GTbets🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 86.03%EV -4.08%E -3.65%K -34.03%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.97%EV -0.916%E -0.133%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-18 15:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.94%E -4.45%K -44.91%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.07%E -0.455%K -0.534%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-18 14:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.94%E -4.45%K -44.91%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.07%E -0.455%K -0.534%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-18 12:19
Caesars🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.94%E -4.45%K -44.91%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.07%E -0.455%K -0.534%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-18 14:47
Bet Right🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.94%E -4.45%K -44.91%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -3.07%E -0.455%K -0.534%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-18 14:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.80%E -5.27%K -57.96%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -3.07%E -0.455%K -0.534%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-18 12:30
FanDuel🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -4.94%E -4.45%K -44.91%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -3.79%E -0.565%K -0.665%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-18 14:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV -4.08%E -3.65%K -34.03%G +0.000%6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV -5.08%E -0.769%K -0.906%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-18 03:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV -4.08%E -3.65%K -34.03%G +0.000%6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV -5.08%E -0.769%K -0.906%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-18 03:50
Coolbet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.71%EV -5.80%E -5.27%K -57.96%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.29%EV -5.22%E -0.792%K -0.933%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-18 14:54
Fanatics🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.08%E -3.65%K -34.03%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -6.66%E -1.02%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 15:15
BetMGM🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.08%E -3.65%K -34.03%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -6.66%E -1.02%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 08:09
BetAnything🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.08%E -3.65%K -34.03%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -6.66%E -1.02%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 03:50
BetUS🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.08%E -3.65%K -34.03%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -6.66%E -1.02%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 12:05
888sport🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.94%E -4.45%K -44.91%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -6.66%E -1.02%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-18 07:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.94%E -4.45%K -44.91%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -6.66%E -1.02%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-18 07:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.94%E -4.45%K -44.91%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -6.66%E -1.02%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-18 07:19
Betsson🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.80%E -5.27%K -57.96%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.66%E -1.02%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-18 12:20
NordicBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.80%E -5.27%K -57.96%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.66%E -1.02%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-18 12:19
ReBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.80%E -5.27%K -57.96%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.66%E -1.02%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-18 12:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 86.09%EV -10.08%E -9.60%K -201.56%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -6.66%E -1.02%K -1.21%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 13:09
DraftKings🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -3.23%E -2.86%K -24.82%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -10.25%E -1.64%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-18 15:14
SportsBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -4.94%E -4.45%K -44.91%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -10.25%E -1.64%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-18 13:34
Neds🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -4.08%E -3.65%K -34.03%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -10.97%E -1.77%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-18 08:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -4.08%E -3.65%K -34.03%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -10.97%E -1.77%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-18 08:10
TAB🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.08%E -3.65%K -34.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.84%E -2.31%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-18 15:14
Paddy Power🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.94%E -4.45%K -44.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -13.84%E -2.31%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 06:03
BoyleSports🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.80%E -5.27%K -57.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -13.84%E -2.31%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-18 12:19
Bet Victor🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -6.65%E -6.10%K -73.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -13.84%E -2.31%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-18 15:24
betano_uk🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -6.65%E -6.10%K -73.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -13.84%E -2.31%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-18 15:23
LeoVegas🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 83.58%EV -5.80%E -5.27%K -57.96%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.42%EV -19.58%E -3.50%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 12:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎1.14I 87.72%NM 87.25%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.75%0.5%2026-09-18 13:35
Polymarket◎1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91%0.7%2026-09-18 12:30
Novig◎1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91%0.7%2026-09-18 12:45
Kalshi◎1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91%0.7%2026-09-18 09:40
ProphetX◎1.14I 87.72%NM 86.96%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.04%0.9%2026-09-18 15:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 87.35%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.65%1.3%2026-09-18 15:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 87.35%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.65%1.3%2026-09-18 15:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 87.35%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.65%1.3%2026-09-18 15:10