Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Golden State Valkyries v Minnesota Lynx

Kickoff: 2026-06-20 02:02 UTC

Final: Golden State Valkyries 75–81 Minnesota Lynx

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

46 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Golden State Valkyries (Local)

Prediction 42.58%2.35fair odd
EV +2.19%
Edge +0.911%
Kelly +1.56%
Growth +0.034%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.30%42.37%42.64%43.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.082.252.252.4048.08%44.43%44.44%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Minnesota Lynx (Visit)

Prediction 57.42%1.74fair odd
EV -2.38%
Edge -1.40%
Kelly -3.40%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.85%57.63%57.36%59.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.651.661.7064.10%60.61%60.24%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Golden State Valkyries (Local): 42.58%; Minnesota Lynx (Visit): 57.42%. For Golden State Valkyries (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.35. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.19%.

Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetUS🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV +2.19%E +0.911%K +1.56%G +0.034%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -6.98%E -4.31%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-20 01:59
LowVig.ag🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV +1.34%E +0.561%K +0.968%G +0.013%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -6.40%E -3.93%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-20 01:59
BetOnline.ag🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV +1.34%E +0.561%K +0.968%G +0.013%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -6.40%E -3.93%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-20 01:59
DraftKings🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV +0.484%E +0.205%K +0.356%G +0.002%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -6.98%E -4.31%K -11.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-20 01:59
BetAnything🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV +0.058%E +0.025%K +0.043%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -5.25%E -3.18%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-20 01:59
1xBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV +0.058%E +0.025%K +0.043%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.98%E -4.31%K -11.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-20 01:52
GTbets🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV +0.058%E +0.025%K +0.043%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -6.98%E -4.31%K -11.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-20 02:00
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.07%E -0.900%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.25%E -3.18%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-20 01:59
Caesars🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.07%E -0.900%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.25%E -3.18%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-20 01:57
Pinnacle🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.07%E -0.900%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.25%E -3.18%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-20 01:59
Fliff🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -2.07%E -0.900%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -9.85%E -6.27%K -17.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-20 01:59
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -4.20%E -1.87%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -2.38%E -1.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-20 02:00
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.20%E -1.87%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.96%E -1.75%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-20 01:58
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.20%E -1.87%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.96%E -1.75%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-20 02:00
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.20%E -1.87%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.11%E -2.46%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-20 01:59
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.20%E -1.87%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.68%E -2.82%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-20 01:59
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.20%E -1.87%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.68%E -2.82%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-20 01:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.20%E -1.87%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.68%E -2.82%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-20 02:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.20%E -1.87%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.68%E -2.82%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-20 01:59
Unibet (NL)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.20%E -1.87%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.68%E -2.82%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-20 01:59
Bally Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.20%E -1.87%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.68%E -2.82%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-20 01:59
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.20%E -1.87%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.68%E -2.82%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-20 01:59
ATG (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.20%E -1.87%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.68%E -2.82%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-20 02:00
betPARX🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.20%E -1.87%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.68%E -2.82%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-20 01:59
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.20%E -1.87%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.83%E -3.55%K -9.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-20 01:59
TAB🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.20%E -1.87%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.98%E -4.31%K -11.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-20 01:59
Bet Right🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -4.63%E -2.06%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -5.25%E -3.18%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-20 01:59
ReBet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -5.05%E -2.27%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.11%E -2.46%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-20 01:59
TABtouch🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.05%E -2.27%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.68%E -2.82%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-20 02:00
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.05%E -2.27%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.68%E -2.82%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-20 01:59
FanDuel🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -5.48%E -2.47%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.11%E -2.46%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-20 02:00
Coolbet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.49%EV -5.48%E -2.47%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.51%EV -5.83%E -3.55%K -9.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-20 01:59
MyBookie.ag🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -5.90%E -2.67%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -4.11%E -2.46%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-20 01:58
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.33%E -2.88%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.11%E -2.46%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 01:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.33%E -2.88%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.11%E -2.46%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 02:00
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.33%E -2.88%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.11%E -2.46%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 01:59
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.33%E -2.88%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.11%E -2.46%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 01:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.33%E -2.88%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.11%E -2.46%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 01:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.33%E -2.88%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.11%E -2.46%K -6.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 01:59
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.33%E -2.88%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.25%E -3.18%K -8.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-20 01:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.33%E -2.88%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.25%E -3.18%K -8.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-20 01:59
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.33%E -2.88%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.98%E -4.31%K -11.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-20 01:59
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.33%E -2.88%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.98%E -4.31%K -11.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-20 01:59
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -7.18%E -3.29%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -5.25%E -3.18%K -8.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-20 02:00
NordicBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -7.18%E -3.29%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -5.25%E -3.18%K -8.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-20 01:59
PMU (FR)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 42.86%EV -11.44%E -5.50%K -10.59%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.14%EV -10.42%E -6.68%K -18.61%G +0.000%12.2%2026-06-20 01:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-06-20 02:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-06-20 02:00
Matchbook2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%0.9%2026-06-20 02:00
ProphetX2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%0.9%2026-06-20 02:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%0.9%2026-06-20 02:00
Polymarket2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-06-20 02:00
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.1%2026-06-20 02:00
Novig2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.1%2026-06-20 02:00