Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Golden State Valkyries v Minnesota Lynx

Kickoff: 2026-08-20 02:08 UTC

Final: Golden State Valkyries 66–77 Minnesota Lynx

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Golden State Valkyries (Local)

Prediction 45.02%2.22fair odd
EV -0.966%
Edge -0.439%
Kelly -0.805%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.86%45.03%44.93%46.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.112.102.2050.00%47.38%47.62%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Minnesota Lynx (Visit)

Prediction 54.98%1.82fair odd
EV -2.68%
Edge -1.51%
Kelly -3.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.66%54.97%55.07%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.731.741.7760.61%57.83%57.47%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Golden State Valkyries (Local): 45.02%; Minnesota Lynx (Visit): 54.98%. For Golden State Valkyries (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.22. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.20, with an expected value of -0.966%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -0.966%E -0.439%K -0.805%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.98%E -3.49%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-20 01:45
Fliff🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -0.966%E -0.439%K -0.805%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -9.28%E -5.62%K -14.27%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-20 01:55
Caesars🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -1.87%E -0.856%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.98%E -3.49%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-20 01:58
Pinnacle🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -2.32%E -1.07%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -4.88%E -2.82%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-20 02:05
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.22%E -1.50%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.78%E -2.16%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-20 02:04
betano_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.22%E -1.50%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.78%E -2.16%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-20 02:03
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.22%E -1.50%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.33%E -2.49%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-20 02:05
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.22%E -1.50%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.33%E -2.49%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-20 01:58
BetOnline.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.22%E -1.50%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.33%E -2.49%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-20 01:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.22%E -1.50%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.33%E -2.49%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-20 01:54
BetAnything🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.22%E -1.50%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.33%E -2.49%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-20 01:55
BetUS🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.22%E -1.50%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.33%E -2.49%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-20 01:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.22%E -1.50%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.53%E -3.84%K -9.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-19 21:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.67%E -1.71%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.78%E -2.16%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-20 02:05
DraftKings🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.67%E -1.71%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.33%E -2.49%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-20 01:59
Bet Right🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.67%E -1.71%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.98%E -3.49%K -8.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 02:00
GTbets🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -3.67%E -1.71%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -7.63%E -4.54%K -11.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-20 02:05
FanDuel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.57%E -2.15%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.43%E -3.15%K -7.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 02:05
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.47%E -2.60%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.68%E -1.51%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-20 02:05
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.47%E -2.60%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.68%E -1.51%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-20 02:00
ReBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.47%E -2.60%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.78%E -2.16%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-20 02:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.47%E -2.60%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.78%E -2.16%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-20 01:50
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.47%E -2.60%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.78%E -2.16%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-20 01:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.47%E -2.60%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.78%E -2.16%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-20 01:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.47%E -2.60%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.78%E -2.16%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-20 01:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.47%E -2.60%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.78%E -2.16%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-20 01:50
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.47%E -2.60%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.78%E -2.16%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-20 01:50
Bally Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.47%E -2.60%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.78%E -2.16%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-20 01:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.47%E -2.60%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.78%E -2.16%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-20 01:50
BetRivers🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.47%E -2.60%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.33%E -2.49%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-20 02:05
TABtouch🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.47%E -2.60%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.33%E -2.49%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-20 02:05
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.47%E -2.60%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.88%E -2.82%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-19 22:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.47%E -2.60%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.88%E -2.82%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-19 22:34
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.47%E -2.60%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.88%E -2.82%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-19 22:35
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.47%E -2.60%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.43%E -3.15%K -7.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 21:15
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.47%E -2.60%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.98%E -3.49%K -8.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-20 02:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.47%E -2.60%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.98%E -3.49%K -8.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-20 02:05
TAB🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.47%E -2.60%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.53%E -3.84%K -9.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-20 01:59
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.47%E -2.60%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.18%E -4.90%K -12.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-19 17:34
Betsson🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -6.37%E -3.06%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.43%E -3.15%K -7.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-20 01:55
NordicBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -6.37%E -3.06%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.43%E -3.15%K -7.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-20 01:55
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.72%E -3.77%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.68%E -1.51%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 02:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.72%E -3.77%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.68%E -1.51%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 02:00
MyBookie.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.72%E -3.77%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.78%E -2.16%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-20 02:04
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.72%E -3.77%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.88%E -2.82%K -6.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-20 01:55
Coolbet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.72%E -3.77%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.53%E -3.84%K -9.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-20 02:05
LeoVegas🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.26%EV -9.07%E -4.49%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -8.18%E -4.90%K -12.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-20 02:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -9.97%E -4.98%K -9.97%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%EV -8.73%E -5.26%K -13.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-20 02:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX2.29I 43.67%NM 43.60%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.40%0.2%2026-08-20 02:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-08-20 02:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-08-20 02:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-08-20 02:05
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%0.6%2026-08-20 02:05
Polymarket2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-08-20 02:05
Novig2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%0.9%2026-08-20 02:05
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.2%2026-08-20 02:05