Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Golden State Valkyries v Las Vegas Aces

Kickoff: 2026-05-31 19:32 UTC

Final: Golden State Valkyries 81–91 Las Vegas Aces

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

46 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Golden State Valkyries (Local)

Prediction 46.47%2.15fair odd
EV +2.23%
Edge +1.02%
Kelly +1.86%
Growth +0.042%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.86%46.57%46.57%47.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.942.052.052.2051.55%48.74%48.78%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Las Vegas Aces (Visit)

Prediction 53.53%1.87fair odd
EV -2.04%
Edge -1.11%
Kelly -2.46%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.22%53.43%53.43%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.641.771.771.8360.98%56.55%56.50%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Golden State Valkyries (Local): 46.47%; Las Vegas Aces (Visit): 53.53%. For Golden State Valkyries (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.15. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.23%.

Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +2.23%E +1.02%K +1.86%G +0.042%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -11.67%E -7.08%K -17.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-31 19:28
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.41%E -1.15%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.65%E -2.03%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-31 19:28
Pinnacle🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -2.41%E -1.15%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -4.72%E -2.65%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-31 19:30
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.41%E -1.15%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.25%E -2.97%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-31 19:30
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.41%E -1.15%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.25%E -2.97%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-31 19:28
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.41%E -1.15%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.25%E -2.97%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-31 19:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.41%E -1.15%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.32%E -3.61%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-31 19:30
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.41%E -1.15%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.32%E -3.61%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-31 19:30
TABtouch🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.41%E -1.15%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.32%E -3.61%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-31 19:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.41%E -1.15%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.32%E -3.61%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-31 19:30
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.41%E -1.15%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.32%E -3.61%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-31 19:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.41%E -1.15%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.32%E -3.61%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-31 19:30
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.41%E -1.15%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.32%E -3.61%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-31 19:30
Bally Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.41%E -1.15%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.32%E -3.61%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-31 19:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.41%E -1.15%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.32%E -3.61%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-31 19:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.41%E -1.15%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.32%E -3.61%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-31 19:30
BetRivers🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.34%E -1.61%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.32%E -3.61%K -8.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-31 19:30
GTbets🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.74%E -2.31%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.65%E -2.03%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-31 19:30
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.74%E -2.31%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.65%E -2.03%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-31 19:30
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.74%E -2.31%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.65%E -2.03%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-31 19:30
BetAnything🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.74%E -2.31%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.65%E -2.03%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-31 19:29
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.74%E -2.31%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.65%E -2.03%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-31 19:30
Bet Right🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.74%E -2.31%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.25%E -2.97%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-31 19:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.74%E -2.31%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.79%E -3.29%K -7.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-31 19:30
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.74%E -2.31%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.86%E -3.94%K -9.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-31 19:30
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -4.74%E -2.31%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -8.46%E -4.95%K -11.92%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-31 19:30
ReBet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -5.20%E -2.55%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.18%E -2.34%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-31 19:29
Unibet (UK)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -5.20%E -2.55%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -6.32%E -3.61%K -8.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 19:30
MyBookie.ag🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -5.67%E -2.79%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV -3.65%E -2.03%K -4.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-31 19:30
FanDuel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -6.13%E -3.04%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -3.11%E -1.72%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-31 19:30
Neds🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.13%E -3.04%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.65%E -2.03%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 19:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.13%E -3.04%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.65%E -2.03%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 19:30
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -6.13%E -3.04%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -4.72%E -2.65%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-31 19:29
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -6.13%E -3.04%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -4.72%E -2.65%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-31 19:29
Caesars🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.06%E -3.53%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.04%E -1.11%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-31 19:28
LowVig.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.06%E -3.53%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.04%E -1.11%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-31 19:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.06%E -3.53%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.04%E -1.11%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-31 19:30
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.06%E -3.53%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.65%E -2.03%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-31 19:30
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.06%E -3.53%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.65%E -2.03%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-31 19:29
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.06%E -3.53%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.65%E -2.03%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-31 19:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.06%E -3.53%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.65%E -2.03%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-31 19:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.06%E -3.53%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.25%E -2.97%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-31 19:30
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.06%E -3.53%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.39%E -4.27%K -10.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-31 19:30
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.06%E -3.53%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.39%E -4.27%K -10.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-31 19:30
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.06%E -3.53%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -9.00%E -5.29%K -12.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-31 19:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.81%EV -9.85%E -5.08%K -10.48%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 54.19%EV -12.21%E -7.45%K -19.08%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-31 19:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%0.8%2026-05-31 19:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%0.8%2026-05-31 19:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%0.8%2026-05-31 19:30
Polymarket2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-05-31 19:30
ProphetX2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%1.9%2026-05-31 19:30
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.1%2026-05-31 19:30
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%2.9%2026-05-31 19:30
Novig1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.30%8.6%2026-05-31 19:30