Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Golden State Valkyries v Las Vegas Aces

2026-10-08 01:30 UTC — WNBA

Frente a frente

44 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Golden State Valkyries (Local)

Previsão 51.47%1.94odd justa
EV -3.23%
Vantagem -1.72%
Kelly -3.67%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.88

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.53%51.55%51.48%52.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.741.841.831.8857.47%54.48%54.64%53.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Las Vegas Aces (Visitante)

Previsão 48.53%2.06odd justa
EV -1.97%
Vantagem -0.977%
Kelly -1.94%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.02

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.37%48.45%48.52%49.47%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.821.951.952.0254.95%51.16%51.28%49.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Golden State Valkyries (Local): 51.47%; Las Vegas Aces (Visitante): 48.53%. Para Las Vegas Aces (Visitante), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 2.06. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferece odds acima desse nível: as melhores odds disponíveis são 2.02, com valor esperado de -1.97%; não produzem valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (44 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Caesars🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -3.23%E -1.72%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -5.37%E -2.75%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-05 00:25
FanDuel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -3.23%E -1.72%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.86%E -3.02%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-05 01:10
SportsBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.23%E -1.72%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.83%E -3.56%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-05 01:09
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.75%E -2.00%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.37%E -2.75%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-04 22:05
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.75%E -2.00%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.37%E -2.75%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-04 22:05
Neds🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.75%E -2.00%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.86%E -3.02%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-04 22:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.75%E -2.00%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.86%E -3.02%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-04 22:05
DraftKings🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.78%E -2.58%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.92%E -1.98%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-05 02:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.78%E -2.58%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.89%E -2.49%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-04 22:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.78%E -2.58%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.37%E -2.75%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 22:05
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.78%E -2.58%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.37%E -2.75%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 22:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.78%E -2.58%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.37%E -2.75%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 23:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.78%E -2.58%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.37%E -2.75%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 23:00
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.78%E -2.58%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.37%E -2.75%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 23:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.78%E -2.58%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.37%E -2.75%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 23:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.78%E -2.58%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.37%E -2.75%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 23:00
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.78%E -2.58%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.37%E -2.75%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.78%E -2.58%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.37%E -2.75%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 23:05
Bally Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.78%E -2.58%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.37%E -2.75%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 23:05
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.78%E -2.58%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.86%E -3.02%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-04 23:00
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.78%E -2.58%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.86%E -3.02%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-04 23:00
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.81%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.94%E -1.47%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-04 22:05
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.81%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.94%E -1.47%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-05 02:46
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.81%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.94%E -1.47%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-04 22:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.81%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.94%E -1.47%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-04 22:24
GTbets🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.81%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.94%E -1.47%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-04 22:29
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.81%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.94%E -1.47%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-04 22:37
BetAnything🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.81%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.94%E -1.47%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-05 02:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.81%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.92%E -1.98%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-05 03:15
Bet Right🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.81%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.92%E -1.98%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-05 03:15
ReBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -5.81%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -5.86%E -3.02%K -6.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-04 22:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.81%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.31%E -3.83%K -8.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-04 22:30
1xBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -6.32%E -3.47%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -1.97%E -0.977%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-05 03:14
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -6.32%E -3.47%K -7.71%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -4.89%E -2.49%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-04 22:29
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -6.32%E -3.47%K -7.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -5.37%E -2.75%K -5.65%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-04 22:05
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -6.32%E -3.47%K -7.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -5.37%E -2.75%K -5.65%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-04 22:05
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.94%E -1.47%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-04 22:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.94%E -1.47%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-04 22:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.94%E -1.47%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-04 22:00
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.31%E -3.83%K -8.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-04 22:04
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.31%E -3.83%K -8.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-04 22:04
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.31%E -3.83%K -8.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-04 22:25
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -10.22%E -5.53%K -12.03%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-04 22:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.12%EV -10.44%E -6.00%K -14.11%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 48.88%EV -11.68%E -6.42%K -14.24%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-04 23:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-10-05 03:30
Polymarket◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-10-05 01:35
Novig◎1.89I 52.91%NM 50.13%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.87%5.5%2026-10-05 03:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 51.14%1.79I 55.87%NM 48.86%14.3%2026-10-05 03:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 51.14%1.79I 55.87%NM 48.86%14.3%2026-10-05 03:16
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 51.14%1.79I 55.87%NM 48.86%14.3%2026-10-05 03:10