Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Golden State Valkyries v Las Vegas Aces

2026-10-08 01:30 UTC — WNBA

Resultado del partido

44 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Golden State Valkyries (Local)

Predicción 51.47%1.94momio equitativo
EV -3.23%
Ventaja -1.72%
Kelly -3.67%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.88

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.53%51.55%51.48%52.63%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.741.841.831.8857.47%54.48%54.64%53.19%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Las Vegas Aces (Visitante)

Predicción 48.53%2.06momio equitativo
EV -1.97%
Ventaja -0.977%
Kelly -1.94%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.02

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.37%48.45%48.52%49.47%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.821.951.952.0254.95%51.16%51.28%49.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Golden State Valkyries (Local): 51.47%; Las Vegas Aces (Visitante): 48.53%. Para Las Vegas Aces (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.06. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.02, con un valor esperado de -1.97%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Caesars🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -3.23%E -1.72%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -5.37%E -2.75%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-05 00:25
FanDuel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -3.23%E -1.72%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.86%E -3.02%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-05 01:10
SportsBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.23%E -1.72%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.83%E -3.56%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-05 01:09
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.75%E -2.00%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.37%E -2.75%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-04 22:05
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.75%E -2.00%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.37%E -2.75%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-04 22:05
Neds🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.75%E -2.00%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.86%E -3.02%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-04 22:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.75%E -2.00%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.86%E -3.02%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-04 22:05
DraftKings🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.78%E -2.58%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.92%E -1.98%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-05 02:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.78%E -2.58%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.89%E -2.49%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-04 22:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.78%E -2.58%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.37%E -2.75%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 22:05
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.78%E -2.58%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.37%E -2.75%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 22:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.78%E -2.58%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.37%E -2.75%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 23:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.78%E -2.58%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.37%E -2.75%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 23:00
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.78%E -2.58%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.37%E -2.75%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 23:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.78%E -2.58%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.37%E -2.75%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 23:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.78%E -2.58%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.37%E -2.75%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 23:00
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.78%E -2.58%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.37%E -2.75%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.78%E -2.58%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.37%E -2.75%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 23:05
Bally Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.78%E -2.58%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.37%E -2.75%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 23:05
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.78%E -2.58%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.86%E -3.02%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-04 23:00
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.78%E -2.58%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.86%E -3.02%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-04 23:00
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.81%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.94%E -1.47%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-04 22:05
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.81%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.94%E -1.47%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-05 02:46
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.81%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.94%E -1.47%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-04 22:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.81%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.94%E -1.47%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-04 22:24
GTbets🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.81%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.94%E -1.47%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-04 22:29
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.81%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.94%E -1.47%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-04 22:37
BetAnything🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.81%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.94%E -1.47%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-05 02:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.81%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.92%E -1.98%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-05 03:15
Bet Right🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.81%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.92%E -1.98%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-05 03:15
ReBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -5.81%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -5.86%E -3.02%K -6.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-04 22:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.81%E -3.17%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.31%E -3.83%K -8.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-04 22:30
1xBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -6.32%E -3.47%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -1.97%E -0.977%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-05 03:14
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -6.32%E -3.47%K -7.71%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -4.89%E -2.49%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-04 22:29
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -6.32%E -3.47%K -7.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -5.37%E -2.75%K -5.65%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-04 22:05
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -6.32%E -3.47%K -7.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -5.37%E -2.75%K -5.65%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-04 22:05
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.94%E -1.47%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-04 22:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.94%E -1.47%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-04 22:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.94%E -1.47%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-04 22:00
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.31%E -3.83%K -8.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-04 22:04
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.31%E -3.83%K -8.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-04 22:04
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.31%E -3.83%K -8.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-04 22:25
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -7.35%E -4.08%K -9.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -10.22%E -5.53%K -12.03%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-04 22:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.12%EV -10.44%E -6.00%K -14.11%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 48.88%EV -11.68%E -6.42%K -14.24%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-04 23:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-10-05 03:30
Polymarket◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-10-05 01:35
Novig◎1.89I 52.91%NM 50.13%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.87%5.5%2026-10-05 03:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 51.14%1.79I 55.87%NM 48.86%14.3%2026-10-05 03:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 51.14%1.79I 55.87%NM 48.86%14.3%2026-10-05 03:16
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 51.14%1.79I 55.87%NM 48.86%14.3%2026-10-05 03:10