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Golden State Valkyries v Las Vegas Aces
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Golden State Valkyries (Local)
Prediction 50.75%1.97fair odd
EV +1.49%
Edge +0.747%
Kelly +1.49%
Growth +0.022%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.37%50.66%50.93%51.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.891.882.0055.56%53.02%53.19%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Las Vegas Aces (Visit)
Prediction 49.25%2.03fair odd
EV -1.99%
Edge -0.998%
Kelly -2.01%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.99
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.45%49.34%49.07%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.761.901.911.9956.82%52.54%52.36%50.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Golden State Valkyries (Local): 50.75%; Las Vegas Aces (Visit): 49.25%. For Golden State Valkyries (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.97. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.49%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TAB🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +1.49%E +0.747%K +1.49%G +0.022% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -11.34%E -6.30%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-04 15:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV +0.479%E +0.242%K +0.488%G +0.002% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -8.39%E -4.51%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-04 19:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -2.06%E -1.07%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -7.40%E -3.94%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-04 20:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -2.06%E -1.07%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -7.40%E -3.94%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-04 20:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -2.06%E -1.07%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -7.40%E -3.94%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-04 20:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -2.06%E -1.07%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -7.40%E -3.94%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-04 20:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -2.06%E -1.07%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -7.40%E -3.94%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-04 20:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -2.06%E -1.07%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -7.40%E -3.94%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-04 20:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -2.06%E -1.07%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -7.40%E -3.94%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-04 20:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -2.06%E -1.07%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -7.40%E -3.94%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-04 20:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.57%E -1.34%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.40%E -3.94%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 20:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.57%E -1.34%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.40%E -3.94%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 20:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -3.07%E -1.61%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -4.45%E -2.29%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-04 20:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.07%E -1.61%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.93%E -3.10%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-04 17:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.07%E -1.61%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.93%E -3.10%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-04 17:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.07%E -1.61%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.93%E -3.10%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-04 20:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.07%E -1.61%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.93%E -3.10%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-04 17:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -3.07%E -1.61%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -9.87%E -5.39%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-04 19:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.58%E -1.88%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.42%E -3.38%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 19:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.58%E -1.88%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.42%E -3.38%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 19:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.58%E -1.88%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.42%E -3.38%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 20:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -3.58%E -1.88%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -8.39%E -4.51%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-04 20:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -4.09%E -2.16%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -6.91%E -3.66%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-04 19:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -4.60%E -2.44%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -2.97%E -1.51%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-04 19:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.55%EV -5.10%E -2.73%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.45%EV -1.99%E -0.998%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-04 19:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -5.10%E -2.73%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -2.48%E -1.25%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-04 19:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.10%E -2.73%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-04 19:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.10%E -2.73%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-04 20:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.10%E -2.73%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-04 19:27 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.10%E -2.73%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-04 19:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.10%E -2.73%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-04 19:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.10%E -2.73%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-04 19:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.10%E -2.73%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-04 19:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.10%E -2.73%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-04 19:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.10%E -2.73%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-04 19:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.10%E -2.73%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-04 19:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.10%E -2.73%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.93%E -3.10%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-04 20:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.10%E -2.73%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.90%E -4.22%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-04 20:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.12%E -3.31%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.96%E -2.03%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 19:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -6.12%E -3.31%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.43%E -2.83%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-04 19:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -6.12%E -3.31%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.43%E -2.83%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-04 19:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.13%E -3.90%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.93%E -3.10%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-04 19:33 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.66%E -4.81%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.93%E -3.10%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-04 19:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -8.66%E -4.81%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -8.88%E -4.80%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-04 19:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -8.66%E -4.81%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -8.88%E -4.80%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-04 20:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -8.66%E -4.81%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -8.88%E -4.80%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-04 19:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.44%EV -8.66%E -4.81%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.56%EV -13.31%E -7.56%K -17.52%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-04 20:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62% | 0.8% | 2026-10-04 20:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62% | 0.8% | 2026-10-04 20:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-10-04 19:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-10-04 20:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99% | 1.1% | 2026-10-04 20:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.1% | 2026-10-04 20:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11% | 1.8% | 2026-10-04 20:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98% | 2.1% | 2026-10-04 20:00 |