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Golden State Valkyries v Dallas Wings
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Golden State Valkyries (Local)
Prediction 75.26%1.33fair odd
EV -2.17%
Edge -1.67%
Kelly -7.22%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.51%75.18%75.25%77.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.191.261.261.3084.03%79.32%79.37%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Dallas Wings (Visit)
Prediction 24.74%4.04fair odd
EV +3.92%
Edge +0.934%
Kelly +1.23%
Growth +0.048%
assuming max odds 4.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.79%24.82%24.75%27.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.853.854.2029.85%25.96%25.97%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Golden State Valkyries (Local): 75.26%; Dallas Wings (Visit): 24.74%. For Dallas Wings (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.04. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.92%.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -5.93%E -4.74%K -23.72%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV +3.92%E +0.934%K +1.23%G +0.048% | 3.8% | 2026-10-03 01:01 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -5.93%E -4.74%K -23.72%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV +3.92%E +0.934%K +1.23%G +0.048% | 3.8% | 2026-10-03 00:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -6.68%E -5.39%K -27.84%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +3.92%E +0.934%K +1.23%G +0.048% | 4.5% | 2026-10-03 00:58 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -5.93%E -4.74%K -23.72%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV +2.93%E +0.705%K +0.928%G +0.027% | 4.0% | 2026-10-03 01:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -5.93%E -4.74%K -23.72%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV +2.93%E +0.705%K +0.928%G +0.027% | 4.0% | 2026-10-03 01:01 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.71%EV -5.18%E -4.11%K -19.91%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.29%EV +2.69%E +0.647%K +0.853%G +0.023% | 3.5% | 2026-10-03 00:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%EV -5.18%E -4.11%K -19.91%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%EV +1.45%E +0.353%K +0.467%G +0.007% | 3.8% | 2026-10-03 01:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.93%E -4.74%K -23.72%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV +1.45%E +0.353%K +0.467%G +0.007% | 4.4% | 2026-10-03 01:01 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.68%E -5.39%K -27.84%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +1.45%E +0.353%K +0.467%G +0.007% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 01:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -5.18%E -4.11%K -19.91%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV +0.212%E +0.052%K +0.069%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-03 01:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.93%E -4.74%K -23.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.03%E -0.256%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 00:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.93%E -4.74%K -23.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.03%E -0.256%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 00:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.93%E -4.74%K -23.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -1.03%E -0.256%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 00:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -6.68%E -5.39%K -27.84%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -2.26%E -0.573%K -0.767%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-03 01:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -6.68%E -5.39%K -27.84%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -2.26%E -0.573%K -0.767%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-03 00:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.18%E -4.11%K -19.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.50%E -0.897%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-02 22:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.18%E -4.11%K -19.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.50%E -0.897%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-02 22:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.93%E -4.74%K -23.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.50%E -0.897%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-02 22:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.42%E -3.48%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -4.74%E -1.23%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 00:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.42%E -3.48%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -4.74%E -1.23%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 01:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.42%E -3.48%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -4.74%E -1.23%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 01:01 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.42%E -3.48%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -4.74%E -1.23%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 01:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.42%E -3.48%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -4.74%E -1.23%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 01:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.42%E -3.48%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -4.74%E -1.23%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 01:01 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.42%E -3.48%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -4.74%E -1.23%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 01:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.42%E -3.48%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -4.74%E -1.23%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 01:01 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.42%E -3.48%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -4.74%E -1.23%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 01:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.18%E -4.11%K -19.91%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.74%E -1.23%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 01:01 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.18%E -4.11%K -19.91%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.74%E -1.23%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 01:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.93%E -4.74%K -23.72%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -4.74%E -1.23%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-03 00:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.18%E -4.11%K -19.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.97%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-03 00:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.93%E -4.74%K -23.72%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.97%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-03 00:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -2.17%E -1.67%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -8.45%E -2.28%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-03 01:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -2.92%E -2.26%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -8.45%E -2.28%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-02 16:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -2.92%E -2.26%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -8.45%E -2.28%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-03 01:01 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.67%E -2.87%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -8.45%E -2.28%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 01:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.29%EV -4.42%E -3.48%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.71%EV -9.19%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-03 00:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -6.68%E -5.39%K -27.84%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -9.69%E -2.65%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-03 01:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -2.17%E -1.67%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -10.92%E -3.03%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 00:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 75.16%EV -10.44%E -8.78%K -54.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -10.92%E -3.03%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-03 01:01 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -2.92%E -2.26%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -13.40%E -3.83%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-03 01:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -4.42%E -3.48%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -13.40%E -3.83%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-03 01:01 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -5.93%E -4.74%K -23.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -13.40%E -3.83%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-03 00:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.51%EV -4.42%E -3.48%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -17.11%E -5.11%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-03 01:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.51%EV -4.42%E -3.48%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -17.11%E -5.11%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-03 00:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 77.13% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.87% | 0.5% | 2026-10-03 01:01 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74% | 1.1% | 2026-10-02 21:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40% | 1.5% | 2026-10-03 01:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.20% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80% | 2.0% | 2026-10-03 01:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.20% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80% | 2.0% | 2026-10-03 01:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.20% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80% | 2.0% | 2026-10-03 01:01 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.20% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80% | 2.0% | 2026-10-03 01:01 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.51% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.49% | 2.1% | 2026-10-02 23:55 |