The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Golden State Valkyries v Atlanta Dream

Kickoff: 2026-10-20 00:11 UTC

Final: Golden State Valkyries 65–79 Atlanta Dream

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Golden State Valkyries (Local)

Prediction 53.21%1.88fair odd
EV -1.56%
Edge -0.842%
Kelly -1.83%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.57%53.19%53.25%54.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.631.771.781.8561.35%56.35%56.18%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Atlanta Dream (Visit)

Prediction 46.79%2.14fair odd
EV -1.75%
Edge -0.831%
Kelly -1.59%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.31%46.81%46.75%48.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.862.022.002.1053.76%49.46%50.00%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Golden State Valkyries (Local): 53.21%; Atlanta Dream (Visit): 46.79%. For Golden State Valkyries (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.88. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.85, with an expected value of -1.56%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -1.56%E -0.842%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -7.36%E -3.72%K -7.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-20 00:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -1.56%E -0.842%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -7.36%E -3.72%K -7.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-20 00:10
BetUS🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -1.56%E -0.842%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -7.83%E -3.97%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-20 00:09
ReBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.59%EV -2.62%E -1.43%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.41%EV -5.02%E -2.47%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-19 23:35
GTbets🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.62%E -1.43%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-20 00:00
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.62%E -1.43%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-19 23:20
BetAnything🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.62%E -1.43%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-20 00:00
FanDuel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -3.15%E -1.73%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -4.55%E -2.23%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-20 00:10
Bet Right🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -3.15%E -1.73%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -6.89%E -3.46%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-20 00:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.61%EV -4.22%E -2.34%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.39%EV -2.68%E -1.29%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-20 00:00
Pinnacle🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -4.22%E -2.34%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -3.15%E -1.52%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-19 23:59
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.22%E -2.34%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.08%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-19 23:59
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.22%E -2.34%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-19 23:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.22%E -2.34%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.49%E -2.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-19 23:15
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.22%E -2.34%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-19 23:00
SportsBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.22%E -2.34%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-20 00:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.22%E -2.34%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-19 23:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.22%E -2.34%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-19 23:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -4.22%E -2.34%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -7.83%E -3.97%K -8.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-19 23:05
Fliff🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.22%E -2.34%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.76%E -4.49%K -9.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-20 00:10
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.22%E -2.34%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.76%E -4.49%K -9.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-20 00:00
1xBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -4.75%E -2.65%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -3.62%E -1.76%K -3.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-19 23:30
Coolbet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.28%E -2.97%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-19 23:59
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.28%E -2.97%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -7.36%E -3.72%K -7.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-19 23:30
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.28%E -2.97%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -7.36%E -3.72%K -7.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-19 23:30
Caesars🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -5.28%E -2.97%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -9.70%E -5.03%K -10.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-20 00:05
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.81%E -3.29%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.75%E -0.831%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-19 22:40
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.81%E -3.29%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -1.75%E -0.831%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-20 00:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.81%E -3.29%K -7.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-20 00:00
Unibet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.88%E -3.93%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -1.75%E -0.831%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-20 00:05
betPARX🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.88%E -3.93%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -1.75%E -0.831%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-20 00:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.88%E -3.93%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -1.75%E -0.831%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-20 00:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.88%E -3.93%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -1.75%E -0.831%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-20 00:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.88%E -3.93%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -1.75%E -0.831%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-20 00:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.88%E -3.93%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -1.75%E -0.831%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-20 00:05
Bally Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.88%E -3.93%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -1.75%E -0.831%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-20 00:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.88%E -3.93%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -1.75%E -0.831%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-20 00:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.88%E -3.93%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.08%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-20 00:05
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.88%E -3.93%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.08%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-19 22:40
picklebet_au🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.88%E -3.93%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-20 00:00
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -7.41%E -4.26%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -1.75%E -0.831%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-20 00:05
TABtouch🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -7.41%E -4.26%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -1.75%E -0.831%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-20 00:00
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.41%E -4.26%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.08%E -1.99%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-20 00:00
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.94%E -4.59%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.42%E -3.21%K -6.42%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-20 00:00
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.42%EV -9.54%E -5.61%K -13.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -8.76%E -4.49%K -9.22%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-20 00:05
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.42%EV -9.54%E -5.61%K -13.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -8.76%E -4.49%K -9.22%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-19 23:48
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.42%EV -9.54%E -5.61%K -13.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -8.76%E -4.49%K -9.22%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-19 23:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 52.39%EV -10.07%E -5.96%K -14.60%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 47.61%EV -12.97%E -6.98%K -15.09%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-19 23:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.47%EV -13.26%E -8.14%K -21.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.53%EV -8.76%E -4.49%K -9.22%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-20 00:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-10-19 23:10
Polymarket◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-10-19 21:55
Novig◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-10-20 00:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.97%1.4%2026-10-20 00:10
ProphetX◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84%1.7%2026-10-20 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 52.79%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21%1.8%2026-10-20 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 52.79%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21%1.8%2026-10-20 00:10
Matchbook◎1.84I 54.35%NM 52.58%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.42%3.4%2026-10-20 00:10