Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Golden State Valkyries v Atlanta Dream

Kickoff: 2026-06-27 02:10 UTC

Final: Golden State Valkyries 78–75 Atlanta Dream

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

46 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Golden State Valkyries (Local)

Prediction 45.65%2.19fair odd
EV +5.00%
Edge +2.17%
Kelly +3.85%
Growth +0.192%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.07%45.60%45.55%47.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.932.082.062.3051.81%48.12%48.54%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Atlanta Dream (Visit)

Prediction 54.35%1.84fair odd
EV -1.63%
Edge -0.901%
Kelly -2.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.81

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.62%54.40%54.45%57.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.761.771.8159.88%56.82%56.50%55.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Golden State Valkyries (Local): 45.65%; Atlanta Dream (Visit): 54.35%. For Golden State Valkyries (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.19. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.00%.

Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +5.00%E +2.17%K +3.85%G +0.192%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -9.24%E -5.53%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-27 01:59
BetOnline.ag🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV +2.72%E +1.21%K +2.17%G +0.059%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -8.15%E -4.82%K -11.82%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-27 01:59
Caesars🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV +1.35%E +0.608%K +1.11%G +0.015%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -8.15%E -4.82%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-27 01:56
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV +0.436%E +0.198%K +0.363%G +0.002%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -7.07%E -4.13%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-27 01:48
BetAnything🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV +0.436%E +0.198%K +0.363%G +0.002%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -7.07%E -4.13%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-27 01:50
Pinnacle🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.50%EV -0.934%E -0.430%K -0.798%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.50%EV -5.44%E -3.12%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-27 02:00
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.85%E -0.859%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.17%E -1.21%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-27 01:58
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.85%E -0.859%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.44%E -3.12%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-27 02:00
GTbets🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.85%E -0.859%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.44%E -3.12%K -7.35%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-27 01:59
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -1.85%E -0.859%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -7.07%E -4.13%K -9.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-27 01:58
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.13%E -1.97%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.81%E -2.15%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-27 01:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.13%E -1.97%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.81%E -2.15%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-27 01:47
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.13%E -1.97%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.81%E -2.15%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-27 01:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.13%E -1.97%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.89%E -2.80%K -6.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-27 01:49
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.13%E -1.97%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.89%E -2.80%K -6.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-27 01:49
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.13%E -1.97%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.89%E -2.80%K -6.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-27 01:49
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.13%E -1.97%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.44%E -3.12%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-27 01:49
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.13%E -1.97%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.98%E -3.46%K -8.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 01:49
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.13%E -1.97%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.52%E -3.79%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-27 02:00
Fliff🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -4.13%E -1.97%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -8.15%E -4.82%K -11.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-27 01:49
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.13%E -1.97%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.24%E -5.53%K -13.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-27 01:49
Bet Right🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.04%E -2.42%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.89%E -2.80%K -6.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-27 01:49
Coolbet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.53%EV -5.50%E -2.66%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.47%EV -5.98%E -3.46%K -8.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-27 01:50
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.41%E -3.13%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.89%E -2.80%K -6.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-27 01:58
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.41%E -3.13%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.44%E -3.12%K -7.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-27 02:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -6.87%E -3.37%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -2.17%E -1.21%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-27 02:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -6.87%E -3.37%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -2.17%E -1.21%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-27 02:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -6.87%E -3.37%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -2.17%E -1.21%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-27 02:00
LeoVegas🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -6.87%E -3.37%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -2.17%E -1.21%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-27 01:59
Unibet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -6.87%E -3.37%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -2.17%E -1.21%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-27 01:59
Svenska Spel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -6.87%E -3.37%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -2.17%E -1.21%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-27 01:59
ATG (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -6.87%E -3.37%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -2.17%E -1.21%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-27 01:59
betPARX🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -6.87%E -3.37%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -2.17%E -1.21%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-27 01:59
Bally Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -6.87%E -3.37%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -2.17%E -1.21%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-27 01:59
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -7.78%E -3.85%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -2.72%E -1.52%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 01:59
TABtouch🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -7.78%E -3.85%K -7.63%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -2.72%E -1.52%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-27 02:00
MyBookie.ag🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -8.24%E -4.10%K -8.16%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -1.63%E -0.901%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-26 23:18
ReBet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -8.24%E -4.10%K -8.16%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -1.63%E -0.901%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-26 23:19
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.69%E -4.35%K -8.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.17%E -1.21%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-26 17:39
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.69%E -4.35%K -8.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.17%E -1.21%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-26 23:18
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.69%E -4.35%K -8.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.17%E -1.21%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-26 23:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.69%E -4.35%K -8.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.17%E -1.21%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-26 17:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.69%E -4.35%K -8.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.17%E -1.21%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-26 17:39
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -9.61%E -4.85%K -9.80%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -3.26%E -1.83%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-26 23:19
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -9.61%E -4.85%K -9.80%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -3.26%E -1.83%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-26 23:18
PMU (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.12%EV -11.89%E -6.16%K -12.79%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.88%EV -6.52%E -3.79%K -9.06%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-27 01:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%0.6%2026-06-27 02:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%0.6%2026-06-27 02:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%0.6%2026-06-27 02:00
Matchbook2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%0.6%2026-06-27 01:50
ProphetX2.23I 44.84%NM 44.53%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.47%0.7%2026-06-27 02:00
Polymarket2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-06-27 01:40
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%1.9%2026-06-27 02:00
Novig2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%4.6%2026-06-27 01:59