Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.30
assuming max odds 4.30
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dallas Wings (Local): 75.99%; Seattle Storm (Visit): 24.01%. For Seattle Storm (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.17. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.23%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -6.53%E -5.31%K -28.38%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV +3.23%E +0.750%K +0.978%G +0.032% | 4.6% | 2026-08-23 19:53 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.19%EV -5.01%E -4.01%K -20.03%G +0.000% | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.81%EV +1.55%E +0.366%K +0.479%G +0.007% | 3.6% | 2026-08-23 19:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -5.01%E -4.01%K -20.03%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV +0.826%E +0.197%K +0.258%G +0.002% | 3.8% | 2026-08-23 19:53 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -5.01%E -4.01%K -20.03%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV +0.826%E +0.197%K +0.258%G +0.002% | 3.8% | 2026-08-23 19:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.77%E -4.65%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +0.826%E +0.197%K +0.258%G +0.002% | 4.5% | 2026-08-23 19:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -5.01%E -4.01%K -20.03%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -0.134%E -0.032%K -0.042%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-23 19:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -5.01%E -4.01%K -20.03%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -0.134%E -0.032%K -0.042%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-23 19:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.01%E -4.01%K -20.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.57%E -0.384%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-23 19:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.01%E -4.01%K -20.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.57%E -0.384%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-23 19:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.01%E -4.01%K -20.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -1.57%E -0.384%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-23 19:57 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.77%E -4.65%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.57%E -0.384%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-23 19:58 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.25%E -3.37%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -3.98%E -0.994%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-23 19:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.01%E -4.01%K -20.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.98%E -0.994%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-23 08:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.01%E -4.01%K -20.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.98%E -0.994%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-23 19:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.01%E -4.01%K -20.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.98%E -0.994%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-23 19:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.01%E -4.01%K -20.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.98%E -0.994%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-23 19:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.01%E -4.01%K -20.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.98%E -0.994%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-23 19:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.77%E -4.65%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.18%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-23 19:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.77%E -4.65%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.18%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-23 19:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.25%E -3.37%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.38%E -1.63%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-23 19:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.25%E -3.37%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.38%E -1.63%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-23 19:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.25%E -3.37%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.38%E -1.63%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-23 19:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.49%E -2.75%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -7.58%E -1.97%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-23 18:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.49%E -2.75%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -7.58%E -1.97%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-23 18:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.49%E -2.75%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -7.58%E -1.97%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-23 18:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.49%E -2.75%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -7.58%E -1.97%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-23 18:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.49%E -2.75%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -7.58%E -1.97%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-23 18:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.49%E -2.75%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -7.58%E -1.97%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-23 18:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.49%E -2.75%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -7.58%E -1.97%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-23 18:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.49%E -2.75%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -7.58%E -1.97%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-23 18:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -3.49%E -2.75%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -7.58%E -1.97%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-23 18:53 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.25%E -3.37%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.58%E -1.97%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-23 18:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.25%E -3.37%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.58%E -1.97%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-23 18:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.01%E -4.01%K -20.03%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.58%E -1.97%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-23 16:03 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.01%E -4.01%K -20.03%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.58%E -1.97%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-23 19:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.85%EV -2.73%E -2.13%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 25.15%EV -8.54%E -2.24%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-23 19:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -1.21%E -0.929%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -8.78%E -2.31%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-23 19:52 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -1.21%E -0.929%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -8.78%E -2.31%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-23 19:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.01%E -4.01%K -20.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.78%E -2.31%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-23 19:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.01%E -4.01%K -20.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.78%E -2.31%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-23 19:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -3.49%E -2.75%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -11.18%E -3.02%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-23 19:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.10%EV -8.05%E -6.65%K -38.32%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -12.38%E -3.39%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-23 19:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -1.97%E -1.53%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -13.58%E -3.77%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-23 19:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -1.97%E -1.53%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -13.58%E -3.77%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-23 19:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -5.77%E -4.65%K -24.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -13.58%E -3.77%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-23 19:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -1.97%E -1.53%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -15.98%E -4.57%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-23 19:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -5.01%E -4.01%K -20.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -15.98%E -4.57%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-23 16:05 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64% | 0.5% | 2026-08-23 19:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.36% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64% | 0.5% | 2026-08-23 19:59 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82% | 0.7% | 2026-08-23 19:44 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82% | 0.7% | 2026-08-23 19:39 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.9% | 2026-08-23 19:59 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-08-23 19:59 |
| Novig◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.76% | 4.44I 22.52%NM 22.24% | 1.3% | 2026-08-23 19:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40% | 1.5% | 2026-08-23 19:59 |