Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dallas Wings v Portland Fire

Kickoff: 2026-08-26 00:05 UTC

Final: Dallas Wings 96–78 Portland Fire

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

46 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dallas Wings (Local)

Prediction 76.23%1.31fair odd
EV -0.904%
Edge -0.695%
Kelly -3.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.07%76.00%76.40%77.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.251.251.3081.97%79.72%80.00%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Portland Fire (Visit)

Prediction 23.77%4.21fair odd
EV +3.41%
Edge +0.783%
Kelly +1.02%
Growth +0.035%

assuming max odds 4.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.18%24.00%23.60%26.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.943.954.3528.57%25.38%25.32%22.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dallas Wings (Local): 76.23%; Portland Fire (Visit): 23.77%. For Portland Fire (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.21. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.41%.

Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetUS🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.82%EV -5.48%E -4.42%K -22.82%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.18%EV +3.41%E +0.783%K +1.02%G +0.035%3.6%2026-08-25 23:29
Caesars🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.68%EV -6.24%E -5.07%K -27.13%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.32%EV +1.74%E +0.407%K +0.532%G +0.009%4.7%2026-08-25 23:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.71%E -3.77%K -18.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -0.158%E -0.038%K -0.049%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-25 23:09
BetAnything🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.48%E -4.42%K -22.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -0.158%E -0.038%K -0.049%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-25 23:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -4.71%E -3.77%K -18.86%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -1.11%E -0.266%K -0.351%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-25 23:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -4.71%E -3.77%K -18.86%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -1.11%E -0.266%K -0.351%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-25 23:09
Fliff🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -7.00%E -5.74%K -31.83%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -1.35%E -0.324%K -0.427%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-25 23:39
Pinnacle🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.54%EV -3.95%E -3.14%K -15.20%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.46%EV -2.30%E -0.559%K -0.739%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-25 23:45
Fanatics🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.71%E -3.77%K -18.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.53%E -0.618%K -0.818%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-25 23:08
DraftKings🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.71%E -3.77%K -18.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.53%E -0.618%K -0.818%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-25 23:09
GTbets🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.71%E -3.77%K -18.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.53%E -0.618%K -0.818%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-25 23:09
BetMGM🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.71%E -3.77%K -18.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.53%E -0.618%K -0.818%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-25 23:09
ReBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.48%E -4.42%K -22.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -2.53%E -0.618%K -0.818%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 23:24
SportsBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -6.24%E -5.07%K -27.13%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -3.72%E -0.919%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-25 23:59
FanDuel🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.71%E -3.77%K -18.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.91%E -1.23%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 23:59
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.71%E -3.77%K -18.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.91%E -1.23%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 23:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.71%E -3.77%K -18.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.91%E -1.23%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 23:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.71%E -3.77%K -18.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.91%E -1.23%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 23:14
Bet Right🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.71%E -3.77%K -18.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.91%E -1.23%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 23:14
MyBookie.ag🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.71%E -3.77%K -18.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.91%E -1.23%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 23:18
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.71%E -3.77%K -18.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.91%E -1.23%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 23:09
Bovada🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.71%E -3.77%K -18.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.91%E -1.23%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 23:34
NordicBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -7.00%E -5.74%K -31.83%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -6.10%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-25 23:39
Betsson🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -7.00%E -5.74%K -31.83%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -6.10%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-25 23:39
1xBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -7.29%E -1.87%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-25 23:14
Neds🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.95%E -3.14%K -15.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.29%E -1.87%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 23:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -3.95%E -3.14%K -15.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -7.29%E -1.87%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-25 23:09
Coolbet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.48%E -4.42%K -22.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -7.29%E -1.87%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-25 23:14
Bet Victor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -0.904%E -0.695%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -9.67%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-25 23:48
betano_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -0.904%E -0.695%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -9.67%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-25 23:48
theScore Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.43%E -1.90%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -9.67%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-25 23:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.67%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 23:24
TABtouch🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.67%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 23:24
Unibet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.67%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 23:24
BetRivers🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.67%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 23:24
Unibet (NL)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.67%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 23:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.67%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 23:24
Svenska Spel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.67%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 23:24
Bally Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.67%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 23:24
betPARX🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.67%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 23:24
ATG (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -3.19%E -2.51%K -11.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -9.67%E -2.54%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-25 23:24
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.00%E -5.74%K -31.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.86%E -2.89%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-25 23:24
LeoVegas🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.00%E -5.74%K -31.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.86%E -2.89%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-26 00:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -1.67%E -1.29%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -14.42%E -4.01%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-25 23:59
PMU (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -7.00%E -5.74%K -31.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -14.42%E -4.01%K -5.55%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-25 23:24
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -1.67%E -1.29%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -16.80%E -4.80%K -6.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-25 23:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.15%0.3%2026-08-25 23:59
Novig1.26I 79.37%NM 79.07%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.93%0.4%2026-08-26 00:00
Kalshi1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82%0.7%2026-08-25 23:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-08-25 23:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-08-25 23:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-08-25 23:44
Polymarket1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74%1.1%2026-08-25 23:09
ProphetX1.27I 78.74%NM 77.80%4.45I 22.47%NM 22.20%1.2%2026-08-25 23:59