The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Dallas Wings v New York Liberty

Kickoff: 2026-07-17 01:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dallas Wings (Local)

Prediction 54.24%1.84fair odd
EV -2.36%
Edge -1.31%
Kelly -2.95%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.35%54.25%54.25%55.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.751.751.8059.52%57.14%57.14%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New York Liberty (Visit)

Prediction 45.76%2.19fair odd
EV -1.62%
Edge -0.756%
Kelly -1.41%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.73%45.75%45.75%47.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.892.072.082.1552.91%48.34%48.08%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dallas Wings (Local): 54.24%; New York Liberty (Visit): 45.76%. For New York Liberty (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.19. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.15, with an expected value of -1.62%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.36%E -1.31%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.20%E -3.02%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-16 15:38
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.36%E -1.31%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.20%E -3.02%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-16 15:38
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.36%E -1.31%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.20%E -3.02%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-16 15:37
Pinnacle1.78I 56.18%NM 54.24%EV -3.45%E -1.94%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.76%EV -3.46%E -1.64%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-16 15:30
1xBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.45%E -1.94%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.83%E -2.32%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-16 15:40
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.45%E -1.94%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -6.20%E -3.02%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-16 15:37
FanDuel1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -3.45%E -1.94%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -6.66%E -3.26%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-16 15:25
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.99%E -2.25%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.91%E -1.86%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-16 15:33
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.99%E -2.25%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.91%E -1.86%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-16 15:21
Bet Right1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.99%E -2.25%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.20%E -3.02%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-16 15:44
Betr (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.99%E -2.25%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.49%E -4.24%K -8.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-16 15:45
Fliff1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.99%E -2.25%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.49%E -4.24%K -8.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-16 15:49
Unibet (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.53%E -2.57%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.83%E -2.32%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-16 12:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.53%E -2.57%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.83%E -2.32%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-16 12:40
Unibet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.53%E -2.57%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.83%E -2.32%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-16 12:40
Unibet (NL)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.53%E -2.57%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.83%E -2.32%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-16 12:40
ATG (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.53%E -2.57%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.83%E -2.32%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-16 12:40
betPARX1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.53%E -2.57%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.83%E -2.32%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-16 12:40
Bally Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.53%E -2.57%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.83%E -2.32%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-16 12:45
Svenska Spel1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.53%E -2.57%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.83%E -2.32%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-16 12:39
BetRivers1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.53%E -2.57%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.29%E -2.55%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-16 14:04
TABtouch1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.53%E -2.57%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.29%E -2.55%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-16 14:05
SportsBet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.53%E -2.57%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.20%E -3.02%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-16 15:20
ReBet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.56%EV -4.53%E -2.57%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.44%EV -7.12%E -3.51%K -6.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-16 15:35
LowVig.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -5.07%E -2.90%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -2.54%E -1.19%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-16 15:10
BetOnline.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -5.07%E -2.90%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -2.54%E -1.19%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-16 15:09
MyBookie.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.07%E -2.90%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.83%E -2.32%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-16 15:39
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.07%E -2.90%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.20%E -3.02%K -5.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-16 15:25
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -5.07%E -2.90%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -7.57%E -3.75%K -7.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-16 15:35
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -5.07%E -2.90%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -7.57%E -3.75%K -7.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-16 15:37
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.62%E -3.23%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.62%E -0.756%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-16 14:03
GTbets1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.62%E -3.23%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.62%E -0.756%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-16 15:40
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.62%E -3.23%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.62%E -0.756%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-16 14:04
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.62%E -3.23%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.62%E -0.756%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-16 14:45
BetAnything1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.62%E -3.23%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.62%E -0.756%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-16 14:05
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -5.62%E -3.23%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -2.08%E -0.973%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-16 14:40
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.16%E -3.56%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.91%E -1.86%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-16 12:35
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.16%E -3.56%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.91%E -1.86%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-16 12:35
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.16%E -3.56%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.91%E -1.86%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-16 12:35
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.16%E -3.56%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.91%E -1.86%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-16 14:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.16%E -3.56%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.91%E -1.86%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-16 14:45
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.47%EV -6.16%E -3.56%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.53%EV -5.29%E -2.55%K -4.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-16 15:20
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.16%E -3.56%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.49%E -4.24%K -8.49%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-16 15:25
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.16%E -3.56%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.49%E -4.24%K -8.49%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-16 15:37
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -6.70%E -3.90%K -9.31%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.49%EV -9.40%E -4.75%K -9.60%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-16 14:04
Unibet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.35%EV -6.70%E -3.90%K -9.31%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.65%EV -13.52%E -7.15%K -15.19%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-15 05:49
Bet Victor1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -8.87%E -5.28%K -13.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -6.20%E -3.02%K -5.91%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-16 12:34
betano_uk1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -8.87%E -5.28%K -13.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -6.20%E -3.02%K -5.91%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-16 12:33
PMU (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 53.97%EV -8.87%E -5.28%K -13.04%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.03%EV -9.86%E -5.01%K -10.17%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-16 14:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%0.4%2026-07-16 15:50
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%0.6%2026-07-16 15:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-07-16 15:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-07-16 15:50
Polymarket2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-07-16 15:45
Novig2.04I 49.02%NM 48.22%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.78%1.7%2026-07-16 15:43
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.00%2.0%2026-07-16 15:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.94%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.06%2.4%2026-07-16 15:50