Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dallas Wings v Los Angeles Sparks

Kickoff: 2026-09-18 00:09 UTC

Final: Dallas Wings 97–77 Los Angeles Sparks

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dallas Wings (Local)

Prediction 74.87%1.34fair odd
EV -1.93%
Edge -1.47%
Kelly -6.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.32%74.86%74.80%76.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.271.271.3181.97%78.71%78.74%76.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Los Angeles Sparks (Visit)

Prediction 25.13%3.98fair odd
EV +0.537%
Edge +0.134%
Kelly +0.179%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.66%25.14%25.20%26.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.773.744.0028.99%26.56%26.74%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dallas Wings (Local): 74.87%; Los Angeles Sparks (Visit): 25.13%. For Los Angeles Sparks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.98. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.537%.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Unibet (UK)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.92%E -3.87%K -18.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +0.537%E +0.134%K +0.179%G +0.001%3.7%2026-09-18 00:05
BetMGM🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.92%E -3.87%K -18.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +0.537%E +0.134%K +0.179%G +0.001%3.7%2026-09-17 17:29
Bet Victor🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.92%E -3.87%K -18.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +0.537%E +0.134%K +0.179%G +0.001%3.7%2026-09-17 23:55
betano_uk🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.92%E -3.87%K -18.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +0.537%E +0.134%K +0.179%G +0.001%3.7%2026-09-17 23:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.42%E -5.13%K -25.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +0.537%E +0.134%K +0.179%G +0.001%5.0%2026-09-17 19:09
theScore Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.42%E -5.13%K -25.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +0.537%E +0.134%K +0.179%G +0.001%5.0%2026-09-18 00:05
Fliff🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.17%E -5.78%K -29.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +0.537%E +0.134%K +0.179%G +0.001%5.6%2026-09-18 00:05
1xBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.00%EV -5.67%E -4.50%K -21.80%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.00%EV +0.286%E +0.072%K +0.096%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-17 23:00
BetAnything🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.76%EV -4.92%E -3.87%K -18.22%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.24%EV -0.217%E -0.055%K -0.073%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-17 14:29
SportsBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -7.17%E -5.78%K -29.86%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -0.720%E -0.182%K -0.244%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-17 22:54
ReBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.92%E -3.87%K -18.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -1.98%E -0.507%K -0.681%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-18 00:04
Fanatics🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.92%E -3.87%K -18.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -1.98%E -0.507%K -0.681%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-18 00:05
FanDuel🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.67%E -4.50%K -21.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -1.98%E -0.507%K -0.681%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-17 21:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.67%E -4.50%K -21.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -1.98%E -0.507%K -0.681%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-17 19:14
Pinnacle🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -4.17%E -3.26%K -14.90%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV -2.23%E -0.573%K -0.771%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-18 00:00
GTbets🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.68%EV -6.42%E -5.13%K -25.67%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.32%EV -2.23%E -0.573%K -0.771%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-18 00:05
Neds🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.17%E -3.26%K -14.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-17 17:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.17%E -3.26%K -14.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-17 17:30
TAB🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.67%E -4.50%K -21.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-17 21:44
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.42%E -5.13%K -25.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.75%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 00:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -7.17%E -5.78%K -29.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -5.75%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-18 00:05
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.66%E -7.10%K -39.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -5.75%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-17 22:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.35%EV -3.42%E -2.65%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.65%EV -6.00%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-17 23:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.35%EV -3.42%E -2.65%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.65%EV -6.00%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-18 00:00
BetUS🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -2.67%E -2.06%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-17 23:59
Bovada🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -3.42%E -2.65%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-18 00:00
NordicBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -5.67%E -4.50%K -21.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-17 23:59
Betsson🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -5.67%E -4.50%K -21.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 00:00
BetRivers🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -3.42%E -2.65%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -8.26%E -2.26%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-18 00:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -3.42%E -2.65%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -8.26%E -2.26%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-18 00:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -3.42%E -2.65%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -8.26%E -2.26%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-18 00:00
TABtouch🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -3.42%E -2.65%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -8.26%E -2.26%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-18 00:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -3.42%E -2.65%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -8.26%E -2.26%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-18 00:00
Unibet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -3.42%E -2.65%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -8.26%E -2.26%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-18 00:00
Bally Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -3.42%E -2.65%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -8.26%E -2.26%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-18 00:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -3.42%E -2.65%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -8.26%E -2.26%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-18 00:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -3.42%E -2.65%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -8.26%E -2.26%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-18 00:00
betPARX🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -3.42%E -2.65%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -8.26%E -2.26%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-18 00:05
Bet Right🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.17%E -3.26%K -14.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -8.26%E -2.26%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-18 00:05
Coolbet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.42%E -5.13%K -25.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.26%E -2.26%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 00:05
DraftKings🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -1.93%E -1.47%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -9.52%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-18 00:05
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.42%E -2.65%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.52%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-17 23:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.42%E -2.65%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.52%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-17 23:59
Caesars🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.67%E -4.50%K -21.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.52%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-18 00:04
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.42%E -5.13%K -25.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.52%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-18 00:00
LeoVegas🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.84%EV -7.17%E -5.78%K -29.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-18 00:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.56%EV -7.17%E -5.78%K -29.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -13.29%E -3.85%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-18 00:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-09-18 00:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-09-18 00:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-09-17 23:55
Polymarket1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-09-18 00:00
Matchbook1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-09-18 00:05
Novig1.31I 76.34%NM 75.70%4.08I 24.51%NM 24.30%0.8%2026-09-18 00:05
Kalshi1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77%0.9%2026-09-17 23:55
ProphetX1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%1.3%2026-09-18 00:05