Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dallas Wings v Indiana Fever

Kickoff: 2026-08-21 00:07 UTC

Final: Dallas Wings 91–85 Indiana Fever

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dallas Wings (Local)

Prediction 40.57%2.46fair odd
EV +1.42%
Edge +0.568%
Kelly +0.947%
Growth +0.013%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.57%40.56%40.58%42.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.182.342.342.5045.87%42.79%42.74%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Indiana Fever (Visit)

Prediction 59.43%1.68fair odd
EV -1.94%
Edge -1.17%
Kelly -2.98%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.99%59.44%59.42%61.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.541.611.611.6564.94%62.20%62.11%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dallas Wings (Local): 40.57%; Indiana Fever (Visit): 59.43%. For Dallas Wings (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.46. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.42%.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bovada🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV +1.42%E +0.568%K +0.947%G +0.013%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -6.69%E -4.26%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-20 23:54
BetAnything🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -0.607%E -0.248%K -0.419%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -4.32%E -2.68%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-20 23:50
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -0.607%E -0.248%K -0.419%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -5.50%E -3.46%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-20 22:54
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -0.607%E -0.248%K -0.419%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.69%E -4.26%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-20 23:35
Pinnacle🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -1.42%E -0.584%K -0.992%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%EV -4.91%E -3.07%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-21 00:00
betano_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -2.64%E -1.10%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -1.94%E -1.17%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-20 23:48
Bet Victor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -2.64%E -1.10%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -1.94%E -1.17%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-20 23:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.64%E -1.10%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.72%E -2.30%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-21 00:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.64%E -1.10%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.72%E -2.30%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-20 23:59
BetUS🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -2.64%E -1.10%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.72%E -2.30%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-20 23:59
Caesars🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.64%E -1.10%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.32%E -2.68%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-20 21:37
GTbets🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.64%E -1.10%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.32%E -2.68%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-20 22:54
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.64%E -1.10%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.91%E -3.07%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-20 23:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.64%E -1.10%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.10%E -3.86%K -10.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-20 23:34
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.64%E -1.10%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.10%E -3.86%K -10.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-20 23:35
Fliff🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -2.64%E -1.10%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -8.48%E -5.50%K -15.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-20 23:44
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -3.45%E -1.45%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.72%E -2.30%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-20 23:59
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.45%E -1.45%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.69%E -4.26%K -11.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-20 23:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.45%E -1.45%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.69%E -4.26%K -11.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-20 23:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.45%E -1.45%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.69%E -4.26%K -11.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-20 23:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.66%E -1.98%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.72%E -2.30%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-20 23:44
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.66%E -1.98%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.32%E -2.68%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-20 22:39
TAB🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.66%E -1.98%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.10%E -3.86%K -10.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-20 22:39
MyBookie.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -5.07%E -2.17%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.32%E -2.68%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-20 23:53
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.72%E -2.30%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 20:15
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.32%E -2.68%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-20 23:59
NordicBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.91%E -3.07%K -8.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-20 23:44
Betsson🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.91%E -3.07%K -8.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-20 23:45
ReBet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -7.50%E -3.29%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -2.53%E -1.54%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-20 23:44
FanDuel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.50%E -3.29%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.13%E -1.92%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 23:54
Bet Right🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.50%E -3.29%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.13%E -1.92%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 20:15
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.50%E -3.29%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.13%E -1.92%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 23:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.50%E -3.29%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.13%E -1.92%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 23:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.50%E -3.29%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.13%E -1.92%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 23:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.50%E -3.29%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.13%E -1.92%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 23:35
TABtouch🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.50%E -3.29%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.13%E -1.92%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 23:34
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.50%E -3.29%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.13%E -1.92%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 23:34
Bally Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.50%E -3.29%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.13%E -1.92%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 23:35
betPARX🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.50%E -3.29%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.13%E -1.92%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 23:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.50%E -3.29%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.13%E -1.92%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 23:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.50%E -3.29%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.13%E -1.92%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 23:35
Coolbet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -7.50%E -3.29%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -4.32%E -2.68%K -7.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-20 20:14
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -8.72%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.13%E -1.92%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-20 23:54
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.72%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.72%E -2.30%K -6.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-20 22:24
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.72%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.69%E -4.26%K -11.74%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-20 23:59
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -10.75%E -4.89%K -8.96%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -6.69%E -4.26%K -11.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-20 23:44
PMU (FR)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.71%EV -11.56%E -5.30%K -9.80%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.29%EV -7.29%E -4.67%K -13.01%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-20 23:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%0.9%2026-08-21 00:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%0.9%2026-08-21 00:00
Matchbook2.48I 40.32%NM 39.95%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.05%0.9%2026-08-20 23:50
Polymarket2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-08-20 23:55
ProphetX2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%1.0%2026-08-21 00:00
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-08-21 00:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.81%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.19%1.3%2026-08-21 00:00
Novig2.53I 39.53%NM 38.89%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.11%1.6%2026-08-21 00:00