Dallas Wings v Atlanta Dream

2026-07-30 00:00 UTC — WNBA

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Head to Head

5 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

53%

47%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Dallas Wings (Local)

Prediction 53.07%1.88fair odd

EV -3.94%

Edge -2.18%

Kelly -4.86%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.81

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

52.63%53.07%53.07%53.66%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.731.781.781.8158%56%56%55%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Atlanta Dream (Visit)

Prediction 46.93%2.13fair odd

EV -3.80%

Edge -1.85%

Kelly -3.62%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

46.34%46.93%46.93%47.37%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.002.022.022.0550%49%50%49%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
DraftKings	1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -3.94%E -2.18%K -4.86%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -5.21%E -2.58%K -5.10%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-07-23 04:34
Betr (AU)	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.47%E -2.48%K -5.59%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-07-23 04:44
FanDuel	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.53%E -3.11%K -7.09%G +0.000%	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.27%E -2.09%K -4.10%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-23 04:29
SportsBet	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.06%E -3.42%K -7.87%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.80%E -1.85%K -3.62%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-23 04:29
Paddy Power	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.18%E -4.73%K -11.21%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.14%E -3.07%K -6.14%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-07-23 04:29

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Polymarket	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%	7.1%	2026-07-23 06:39