Language:English
Connecticut Sun v Seattle Storm
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Connecticut Sun (Local)
Prediction 52.74%1.90fair odd
EV -0.316%
Edge -0.167%
Kelly -0.356%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.89
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.91%52.71%52.69%54.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.791.801.8960.61%55.83%55.56%52.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Seattle Storm (Visit)
Prediction 47.26%2.12fair odd
EV +0.186%
Edge +0.088%
Kelly +0.166%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.12
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.22%47.29%47.31%49.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.932.032.022.1251.81%49.26%49.50%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Connecticut Sun (Local): 52.74%; Seattle Storm (Visit): 47.26%. For Seattle Storm (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.116. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.120, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.186%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -7.17%E -4.08%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV +0.186%E +0.088%K +0.166%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-10 16:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -7.70%E -4.40%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV +0.186%E +0.088%K +0.166%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-10 16:47 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.65%E -3.75%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -0.760%E -0.362%K -0.690%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-10 16:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.65%E -3.75%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -0.760%E -0.362%K -0.690%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-10 16:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -6.65%E -3.75%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -2.18%E -1.05%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 16:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -6.65%E -3.75%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -2.18%E -1.05%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 16:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -6.65%E -3.75%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -2.18%E -1.05%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 16:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -6.65%E -3.75%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -2.18%E -1.05%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 16:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -6.65%E -3.75%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -2.18%E -1.05%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 16:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -6.65%E -3.75%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -2.18%E -1.05%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 16:44 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -6.65%E -3.75%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -2.18%E -1.05%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 16:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -6.65%E -3.75%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -2.18%E -1.05%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 16:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -6.65%E -3.75%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -2.18%E -1.05%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 16:44 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -6.65%E -3.75%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -2.18%E -1.05%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 16:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -7.17%E -4.08%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -2.65%E -1.29%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 16:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -2.43%E -1.31%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -3.12%E -1.52%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-10 16:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.06%E -2.81%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.12%E -1.52%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-10 16:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.06%E -2.81%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.12%E -1.52%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-10 16:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.06%E -2.81%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.12%E -1.52%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-10 16:53 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.06%E -2.81%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.12%E -1.52%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-10 16:04 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.06%E -2.81%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.12%E -1.52%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-10 16:54 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -5.59%E -3.12%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -4.07%E -2.00%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 16:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.54%E -2.51%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.54%E -2.25%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 16:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.06%E -2.81%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.54%E -2.25%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 16:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.06%E -2.81%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.54%E -2.25%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 16:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.06%E -2.81%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.54%E -2.25%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 16:49 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.06%E -2.81%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.54%E -2.25%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 16:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.48%E -1.90%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.49%E -2.74%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-10 16:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.48%E -1.90%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.49%E -2.74%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-10 16:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.48%E -1.90%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.49%E -2.74%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-10 16:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.48%E -1.90%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.49%E -2.74%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-10 16:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.06%E -2.81%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.49%E -2.74%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 16:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.06%E -2.81%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.49%E -2.74%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 16:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.06%E -2.81%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.49%E -2.74%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 16:18 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.06%E -2.81%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.49%E -2.74%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 16:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.06%E -2.81%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.49%E -2.74%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 16:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.06%E -2.81%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.49%E -2.74%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 16:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.12%E -3.44%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.49%E -2.74%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 16:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.76%E -5.06%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.49%E -2.74%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-10 16:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.76%E -5.06%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.49%E -2.74%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-10 16:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.06%E -2.81%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.43%E -3.25%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-10 16:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.06%E -2.81%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.43%E -3.25%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-10 16:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -0.316%E -0.167%K -0.356%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -7.38%E -3.76%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-10 16:44 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -1.37%E -0.733%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -7.85%E -4.02%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 16:47 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -1.37%E -0.733%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -7.85%E -4.02%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 16:43 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 53.91%EV -12.97%E -7.86%K -19.96%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.09%EV -8.79%E -4.56%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-10 16:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.1% | 2026-05-10 16:24 |
| Novig◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47% | 1.3% | 2026-05-10 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34% | 1.6% | 2026-05-10 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34% | 1.6% | 2026-05-10 16:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.66% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34% | 1.6% | 2026-05-10 16:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09% | 1.9% | 2026-05-10 16:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07% | 2.1% | 2026-05-10 16:54 |