Language:English
Connecticut Sun v Minnesota Lynx
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Connecticut Sun (Local)
Prediction 7.58%13.19fair odd
EV +21.27%
Edge +1.33%
Kelly +1.42%
Growth +0.302%
assuming max odds 16.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
5.99%7.61%7.47%10.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.5012.2812.0016.0011.76%8.15%8.33%6.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Minnesota Lynx (Visit)
Prediction 92.42%1.08fair odd
EV -2.96%
Edge -2.82%
Kelly -59.17%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
89.19%92.39%92.53%94.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.021.031.041.0598.04%96.68%96.15%95.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Connecticut Sun (Local): 7.58%; Minnesota Lynx (Visit): 92.42%. For Connecticut Sun (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 13.19. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 16.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +21.27%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +21.27%E +1.33%K +1.42%G +0.302% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -5.73%E -5.62%K -286.56%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-20 16:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +13.69%E +0.913%K +0.978%G +0.134% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.73%E -5.62%K -286.56%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-20 16:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +13.69%E +0.913%K +0.978%G +0.134% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.73%E -5.62%K -286.56%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-20 16:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 14.94I 6.69%NM 6.51%EV +13.24%E +0.886%K +0.950%G +0.126% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.49%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.07%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-20 16:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.91%EV +6.12%E +0.437%K +0.470%G +0.029% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.09%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.07%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-20 14:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.91%EV +6.12%E +0.437%K +0.470%G +0.029% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.09%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.07%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-20 16:47 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.91%EV +6.12%E +0.437%K +0.470%G +0.029% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.09%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.07%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-20 16:48 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.85%EV +6.12%E +0.437%K +0.470%G +0.029% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.15%EV -4.81%E -4.67%K -160.23%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-20 16:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -1.46%E -0.113%K -0.122%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.07%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-20 16:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -1.46%E -0.113%K -0.122%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.07%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-20 16:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV -1.46%E -0.113%K -0.122%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.07%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-20 14:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -1.46%E -0.113%K -0.122%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.81%E -4.67%K -160.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-20 15:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -1.46%E -0.113%K -0.122%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.81%E -4.67%K -160.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-20 14:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -1.46%E -0.113%K -0.122%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.81%E -4.67%K -160.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-20 14:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -1.46%E -0.113%K -0.122%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.81%E -4.67%K -160.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-20 14:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -1.46%E -0.113%K -0.122%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.81%E -4.67%K -160.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-20 15:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 12.90I 7.75%NM 7.46%EV -2.22%E -0.172%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.54%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.07%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-20 16:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 12.76I 7.84%NM 7.54%EV -3.28%E -0.257%K -0.279%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.46%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.07%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-20 14:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 12.76I 7.84%NM 7.54%EV -3.28%E -0.257%K -0.279%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.46%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.07%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-20 14:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 12.75I 7.84%NM 7.47%EV -3.36%E -0.263%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.53%EV -4.81%E -4.67%K -160.23%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-20 15:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV -5.25%E -0.420%K -0.457%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-20 15:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 12.25I 8.16%NM 7.76%EV -7.15%E -0.584%K -0.635%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.24%EV -4.81%E -4.67%K -160.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-20 16:24 |
| Caesars🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -9.04%E -0.754%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.07%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-20 13:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -9.04%E -0.754%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -4.81%E -4.67%K -160.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-20 16:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -9.04%E -0.754%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.73%E -5.62%K -286.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-20 14:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -9.04%E -0.754%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.73%E -5.62%K -286.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-20 14:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -12.83%E -1.12%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.07%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-20 14:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -12.83%E -1.12%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.07%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-20 14:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -12.83%E -1.12%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.07%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-20 14:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -12.83%E -1.12%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.07%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-20 14:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -12.83%E -1.12%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.07%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-20 14:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -12.83%E -1.12%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.07%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-20 14:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -12.83%E -1.12%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.07%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-20 14:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -12.83%E -1.12%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.07%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-20 14:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV -12.83%E -1.12%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.07%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-20 14:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -12.83%E -1.12%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -4.81%E -4.67%K -160.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-20 14:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -12.83%E -1.12%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -4.81%E -4.67%K -160.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-20 14:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -12.83%E -1.12%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -4.81%E -4.67%K -160.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-20 14:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -16.62%E -1.51%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 16:58 |
| TAB🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -16.62%E -1.51%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -4.81%E -4.67%K -160.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-20 14:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -16.62%E -1.51%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -5.73%E -5.62%K -286.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-20 16:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 10.80I 9.26%NM 8.86%EV -18.14%E -1.68%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.14%EV -2.96%E -2.82%K -59.17%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-20 16:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -24.20%E -2.42%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.07%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-20 15:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -24.20%E -2.42%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -4.81%E -4.67%K -160.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-20 16:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -27.99%E -2.95%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -3.88%E -3.73%K -97.07%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-20 07:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.81%EV -35.57%E -4.19%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.19%EV -4.81%E -4.67%K -160.23%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-20 14:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40% | 1.0% | 2026-09-20 16:59 |
| ProphetX◎ | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40% | 1.0% | 2026-09-20 16:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40% | 1.0% | 2026-09-20 16:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40% | 1.0% | 2026-09-20 16:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40% | 1.0% | 2026-09-20 16:59 |
| Polymarket◎ | 14.29I 7.00%NM 6.91% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.09% | 1.3% | 2026-09-20 14:04 |
| Kalshi◎ | 14.29I 7.00%NM 6.91% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.09% | 1.3% | 2026-09-20 13:44 |