Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago Sky v Toronto Tempo

Kickoff: 2026-09-23 00:05 UTC

Final: Chicago Sky 97–85 Toronto Tempo

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

46 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago Sky (Local)

Prediction 66.29%1.51fair odd
EV -1.23%
Edge -0.828%
Kelly -2.52%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.49

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.44%66.25%66.35%67.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.431.441.4972.46%69.73%69.44%67.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Toronto Tempo (Visit)

Prediction 33.71%2.97fair odd
EV -0.544%
Edge -0.184%
Kelly -0.279%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.49%33.75%33.65%35.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.822.802.9538.46%35.52%35.71%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago Sky (Local): 66.29%; Toronto Tempo (Visit): 33.71%. For Toronto Tempo (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.97. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.95, with an expected value of -0.544%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -1.23%E -0.828%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -8.97%E -3.32%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-22 23:50
betano_uk🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -2.56%E -1.74%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -3.92%E -1.37%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-22 23:48
Bet Victor🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -2.56%E -1.74%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -3.92%E -1.37%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-22 23:48
Pinnacle🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -3.89%E -2.68%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -3.58%E -1.25%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-22 23:30
Fanatics🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.89%E -2.68%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.60%E -2.00%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-22 23:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -3.89%E -2.68%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -6.28%E -2.26%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-22 23:30
Neds🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.89%E -2.68%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.29%E -2.65%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-22 22:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.89%E -2.68%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.29%E -2.65%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-22 22:45
TAB🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.89%E -2.68%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.97%E -3.32%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-22 23:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.55%E -3.16%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -2.23%E -0.769%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-22 23:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -4.55%E -3.16%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -2.57%E -0.888%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-22 23:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -4.55%E -3.16%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -2.57%E -0.888%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-22 23:30
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.55%E -3.16%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.92%E -1.37%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-22 23:25
GTbets🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.55%E -3.16%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.92%E -1.37%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-22 22:30
BetMGM🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.55%E -3.16%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.92%E -1.37%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-22 22:45
BetUS🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.55%E -3.16%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.92%E -1.37%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-22 23:34
BetAnything🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.55%E -3.16%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.92%E -1.37%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-22 23:35
Bovada🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.55%E -3.16%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.92%E -1.37%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-22 22:58
Unibet (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.55%E -3.16%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.60%E -2.00%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-22 20:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.55%E -3.16%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.60%E -2.00%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-22 20:40
Unibet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.55%E -3.16%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.60%E -2.00%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-22 20:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.55%E -3.16%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.60%E -2.00%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-22 20:40
Bally Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.55%E -3.16%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.60%E -2.00%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-22 20:40
betPARX🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.55%E -3.16%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.60%E -2.00%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-22 20:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.55%E -3.16%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.60%E -2.00%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-22 20:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.55%E -3.16%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.60%E -2.00%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-22 20:40
Caesars🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.55%E -3.16%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.60%E -2.00%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-22 23:11
ReBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.74%EV -5.21%E -3.64%K -12.12%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.26%EV -3.24%E -1.13%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-22 23:25
Bet Right🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.21%E -3.64%K -12.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.92%E -1.37%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-22 23:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.21%E -3.64%K -12.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.92%E -1.37%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-22 23:00
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -5.21%E -3.64%K -12.12%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -4.25%E -1.50%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-22 23:55
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.21%E -3.64%K -12.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.60%E -2.00%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-22 20:40
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.21%E -3.64%K -12.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.60%E -2.00%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-22 20:40
Coolbet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.95%EV -5.21%E -3.64%K -12.12%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.05%EV -6.61%E -2.39%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-22 20:14
1xBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -5.87%E -4.14%K -13.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -0.544%E -0.184%K -0.279%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-22 21:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.87%E -4.14%K -13.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -3.92%E -1.37%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-22 23:25
SportsBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.43%EV -5.87%E -4.14%K -13.98%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.57%EV -5.26%E -1.87%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-22 23:53
NordicBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.87%E -4.14%K -13.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.60%E -2.00%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-22 23:25
Betsson🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.87%E -4.14%K -13.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.60%E -2.00%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-22 23:25
LeoVegas🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -5.87%E -4.14%K -13.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -12.34%E -4.75%K -7.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-22 23:30
Fliff🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -6.54%E -4.64%K -15.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -5.60%E -2.00%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-22 23:55
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.23%E -0.769%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-22 02:44
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.23%E -0.769%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-22 02:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.23%E -0.769%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-22 02:44
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.29%E -2.65%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-22 07:28
PMU (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.76%EV -8.53%E -6.18%K -22.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -10.66%E -4.02%K -6.46%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-22 20:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94%0.9%2026-09-22 23:55
Polymarket◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.0%2026-09-22 22:55
Matchbook◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-09-22 23:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.49I 67.11%NM 65.90%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.10%1.8%2026-09-22 23:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.49I 67.11%NM 65.90%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.10%1.8%2026-09-22 23:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.49I 67.11%NM 65.90%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.10%1.8%2026-09-22 23:55
Kalshi◎1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%2.0%2026-09-22 21:45