L’École des cotes

Chicago Sky v Portland Fire

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-26 23:32 UTC

Score final : Chicago Sky 124–94 Portland Fire

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

45 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Chicago Sky (Local)

Prévision 67.47%1.48cote équitable
EV -0.141%
Avantage -0.095%
Kelly -0.294%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.01%67.28%67.44%68.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.361.411.401.4873.53%70.91%71.43%67.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Portland Fire (Visiteur)

Prévision 32.53%3.07cote équitable
EV -0.791%
Avantage -0.259%
Kelly -0.386%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.36%32.72%32.56%34.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.752.932.923.0536.36%34.16%34.25%32.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
theScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -0.141%E -0.095%K -0.294%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -10.55%E -3.84%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-26 23:30
Bet Victor1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -0.816%E -0.555%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -7.30%E -2.56%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-26 23:28
Pinnacle1.45I 68.97%NM 66.44%EV -2.17%E -1.49%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.56%EV -6.65%E -2.32%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-26 23:30
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.84%E -1.97%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.55%E -3.84%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 23:30
BetAnything1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.51%E -2.46%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.04%E -1.37%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-26 23:29
BetOnline.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.42%E -0.806%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-26 23:29
LowVig.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.42%E -0.806%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-26 23:30
Bovada1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.42%E -0.806%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-26 23:29
BetUS1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.42%E -0.806%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-26 23:29
Unibet (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.67%E -1.96%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-26 23:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.67%E -1.96%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-26 23:29
Neds1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.67%E -1.96%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-26 23:29
ATG (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.67%E -1.96%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-26 23:29
betPARX1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.67%E -1.96%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-26 23:29
Bally Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.67%E -1.96%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-26 23:29
MyBookie.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 67.05%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.95%EV -6.00%E -2.07%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-26 23:29
Fliff1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.92%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-26 23:29
Fanatics1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.86%E -3.45%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -2.42%E -0.806%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-26 23:29
DraftKings1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.86%E -3.45%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -2.42%E -0.806%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-26 23:30
GTbets1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.86%E -3.45%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.04%E -1.37%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-26 23:29
Bet Right1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -4.86%E -3.45%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -5.02%E -1.72%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-26 23:29
ReBet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -4.86%E -3.45%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -5.02%E -1.72%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-26 23:29
FanDuel1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -0.791%E -0.259%K -0.386%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-26 23:30
Caesars1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -0.791%E -0.259%K -0.386%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-26 23:25
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.42%E -0.806%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-26 23:29
Unibet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.42%E -0.806%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-26 23:30
Unibet (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.42%E -0.806%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-26 23:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.42%E -0.806%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-26 23:29
Unibet (NL)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.42%E -0.806%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-26 23:30
LeoVegas1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.42%E -0.806%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-26 23:30
Svenska Spel1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.42%E -0.806%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-26 23:30
Betr (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.04%E -1.37%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-26 23:29
TABtouch1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.04%E -1.37%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-26 23:29
BetRivers1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.04%E -1.37%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-26 23:29
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.67%E -1.96%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-26 23:29
Coolbet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.67%E -1.96%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-26 23:28
TAB1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.67%E -1.96%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-26 23:29
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.67%E -1.96%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-26 23:29
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.67%E -1.96%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-26 23:29
Hard Rock Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.67%E -1.96%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-26 23:29
Betsson1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -7.30%E -2.56%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-26 23:29
NordicBet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -7.30%E -2.56%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-26 23:29
SportsBet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.64%EV -6.89%E -4.99%K -18.13%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.36%EV -1.77%E -0.585%K -0.875%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-26 23:29
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.24%E -6.06%K -22.88%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -6.32%E -2.19%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-26 23:30
PMU (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -8.24%E -6.06%K -22.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -10.55%E -3.84%K -6.03%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-26 23:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17%0.3%2026-06-26 23:29
Matchbook1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-06-26 23:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-06-26 23:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.63%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37%1.3%2026-06-26 23:30
ProphetX1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%1.4%2026-06-26 23:30
Novig1.46I 68.49%NM 67.48%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.52%1.5%2026-06-26 23:30
Polymarket1.45I 68.97%NM 66.97%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.03%3.0%2026-06-26 23:30