La escuela de los momios

Chicago Sky v Portland Fire

Inicio: 2026-06-26 23:32 UTC

Final: Chicago Sky 124–94 Portland Fire

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

45 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Chicago Sky (Local)

Predicción 67.47%1.48momio equitativo
EV -0.141%
Ventaja -0.095%
Kelly -0.294%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.48

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.01%67.28%67.44%68.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.361.411.401.4873.53%70.91%71.43%67.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Portland Fire (Visitante)

Predicción 32.53%3.07momio equitativo
EV -0.791%
Ventaja -0.259%
Kelly -0.386%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.36%32.72%32.56%34.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.752.932.923.0536.36%34.16%34.25%32.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
theScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -0.141%E -0.095%K -0.294%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -10.55%E -3.84%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-26 23:30
Bet Victor1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -0.816%E -0.555%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -7.30%E -2.56%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-26 23:28
Pinnacle1.45I 68.97%NM 66.44%EV -2.17%E -1.49%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.56%EV -6.65%E -2.32%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-26 23:30
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.84%E -1.97%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.55%E -3.84%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 23:30
BetAnything1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.51%E -2.46%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.04%E -1.37%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-26 23:29
BetOnline.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.42%E -0.806%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-26 23:29
LowVig.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.42%E -0.806%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-26 23:30
Bovada1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.42%E -0.806%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-26 23:29
BetUS1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.42%E -0.806%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-26 23:29
Unibet (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.67%E -1.96%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-26 23:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.67%E -1.96%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-26 23:29
Neds1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.67%E -1.96%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-26 23:29
ATG (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.67%E -1.96%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-26 23:29
betPARX1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.67%E -1.96%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-26 23:29
Bally Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.67%E -1.96%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-26 23:29
MyBookie.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 67.05%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.95%EV -6.00%E -2.07%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-26 23:29
Fliff1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.19%E -2.95%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.92%E -3.19%K -4.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-26 23:29
Fanatics1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.86%E -3.45%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -2.42%E -0.806%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-26 23:29
DraftKings1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.86%E -3.45%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -2.42%E -0.806%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-26 23:30
GTbets1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.86%E -3.45%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.04%E -1.37%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-26 23:29
Bet Right1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -4.86%E -3.45%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -5.02%E -1.72%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-26 23:29
ReBet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -4.86%E -3.45%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -5.02%E -1.72%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-26 23:29
FanDuel1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -0.791%E -0.259%K -0.386%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-26 23:30
Caesars1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -0.791%E -0.259%K -0.386%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-26 23:25
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.42%E -0.806%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-26 23:29
Unibet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.42%E -0.806%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-26 23:30
Unibet (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.42%E -0.806%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-26 23:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.42%E -0.806%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-26 23:29
Unibet (NL)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.42%E -0.806%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-26 23:30
LeoVegas1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.42%E -0.806%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-26 23:30
Svenska Spel1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.42%E -0.806%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-26 23:30
Betr (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.04%E -1.37%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-26 23:29
TABtouch1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.04%E -1.37%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-26 23:29
BetRivers1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.04%E -1.37%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-26 23:29
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.67%E -1.96%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-26 23:29
Coolbet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.67%E -1.96%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-26 23:28
TAB1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.67%E -1.96%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-26 23:29
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.67%E -1.96%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-26 23:29
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.67%E -1.96%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-26 23:29
Hard Rock Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.67%E -1.96%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-26 23:29
Betsson1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -7.30%E -2.56%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-26 23:29
NordicBet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.54%E -3.96%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -7.30%E -2.56%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-26 23:29
SportsBet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.64%EV -6.89%E -4.99%K -18.13%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.36%EV -1.77%E -0.585%K -0.875%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-26 23:29
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.24%E -6.06%K -22.88%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -6.32%E -2.19%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-26 23:30
PMU (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -8.24%E -6.06%K -22.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -10.55%E -3.84%K -6.03%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-26 23:29
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17%0.3%2026-06-26 23:29
Matchbook1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.8%2026-06-26 23:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-06-26 23:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.46I 68.49%NM 67.63%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37%1.3%2026-06-26 23:30
ProphetX1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%1.4%2026-06-26 23:30
Novig1.46I 68.49%NM 67.48%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.52%1.5%2026-06-26 23:30
Polymarket1.45I 68.97%NM 66.97%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.03%3.0%2026-06-26 23:30