默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chicago Sky v Phoenix Mercury

开赛时间: 2026-08-04 01:08 UTC

最终结果: Chicago Sky 101–106 Phoenix Mercury

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

48 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chicago Sky (主队)

预测 45.92%2.18公平赔率
EV -0.355%
优势 -0.164%
Kelly -0.303%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.17

博彩公司预测分布
43.90%45.99%45.87%47.37%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.982.092.102.1750.51%47.93%47.62%46.08%最小值均值中位数最大值

Phoenix Mercury (客队)

预测 54.08%1.85公平赔率
EV -2.65%
优势 -1.47%
Kelly -3.32%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.80

博彩公司预测分布
52.63%54.01%54.13%56.10%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.621.751.761.8061.73%57.26%56.82%55.56%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Chicago Sky (主队):45.92%;Phoenix Mercury (客队):54.08%。 对于“Chicago Sky (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.18。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为2.17,期望值为-0.355%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (48 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -0.355%E -0.164%K -0.303%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -8.06%E -4.74%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 01:04
Unibet (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -0.355%E -0.164%K -0.303%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -8.06%E -4.74%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 01:05
Unibet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -0.355%E -0.164%K -0.303%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -8.06%E -4.74%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 01:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -0.355%E -0.164%K -0.303%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -8.06%E -4.74%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 01:04
betPARX🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -0.355%E -0.164%K -0.303%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -8.06%E -4.74%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 01:04
ATG (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -0.355%E -0.164%K -0.303%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -8.06%E -4.74%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 01:04
Svenska Spel🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -0.355%E -0.164%K -0.303%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -8.06%E -4.74%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 01:05
Bally Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -0.355%E -0.164%K -0.303%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -8.06%E -4.74%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 01:05
TABtouch🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -0.814%E -0.377%K -0.702%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -8.06%E -4.74%K -11.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 01:05
BetRivers🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -0.814%E -0.377%K -0.702%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -8.06%E -4.74%K -11.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 01:05
Bet Right🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.27%E -0.592%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -8.06%E -4.74%K -11.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 01:05
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -2.65%E -1.47%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-04 01:03
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -2.65%E -1.47%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-04 00:48
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.28%E -2.42%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 01:00
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.28%E -2.42%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 00:59
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.28%E -2.42%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-03 23:04
Caesars🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.28%E -2.42%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-03 22:09
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.28%E -2.42%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 01:03
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.28%E -2.42%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-03 21:24
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.28%E -2.42%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 00:59
LowVig.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.28%E -2.42%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-03 21:44
BetOnline.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.28%E -2.42%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-03 21:40
1xBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.82%E -2.74%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-03 23:05
Fliff🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -8.60%E -5.09%K -12.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 01:05
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.69%E -5.80%K -14.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-03 23:19
Pinnacle🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.13%EV -4.03%E -1.93%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.87%EV -3.20%E -1.79%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-04 00:54
Unibet (UK)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.49%E -2.16%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.74%E -2.10%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 00:59
FanDuel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.49%E -2.16%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.82%E -2.74%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 01:04
SportsBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.49%E -2.16%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.36%E -3.06%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 01:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.90%EV -4.95%E -2.39%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.10%EV -12.39%E -7.65%K -19.98%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-04 01:05
BetAnything🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.65%E -1.47%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 23:50
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.28%E -2.42%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 01:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.28%E -2.42%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 01:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.82%E -2.74%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-03 21:50
GTbets🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.36%E -3.06%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 01:05
MyBookie.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.36%E -3.06%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 01:04
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.36%E -3.06%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 21:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.90%E -3.39%K -7.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 01:04
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.90%E -3.39%K -7.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 00:59
ReBet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -6.32%E -3.10%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -3.20%E -1.79%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 00:54
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -7.24%E -3.59%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -3.74%E -2.10%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 00:55
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -7.24%E -3.59%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -3.74%E -2.10%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 00:54
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.65%E -1.47%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-03 23:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.65%E -1.47%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-03 23:34
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.65%E -1.47%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-03 23:35
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.36%E -3.06%K -7.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 01:05
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.44%E -3.72%K -8.82%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-03 22:04
LeoVegas🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.49%EV -9.08%E -4.59%K -9.26%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -6.98%E -4.06%K -9.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-04 01:04
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (8)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-08-04 01:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-08-04 01:05
Polymarket◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-08-04 01:05
Matchbook◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%1.0%2026-08-04 01:05
Kalshi◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-08-04 00:30
Novig◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%1.9%2026-08-04 01:05
ProphetX◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.1%2026-08-04 01:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%2.2%2026-08-04 01:05