Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago Sky v Connecticut Sun

Kickoff: 2026-06-05 23:35 UTC

Final: Chicago Sky 85–80 Connecticut Sun

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

41 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago Sky (Local)

Prediction 69.51%1.44fair odd
EV +0.783%
Edge +0.540%
Kelly +1.74%
Growth +0.014%

assuming max odds 1.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.48%69.47%69.54%70.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.291.371.361.4577.52%73.01%73.53%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Connecticut Sun (Visit)

Prediction 30.49%3.28fair odd
EV +0.023%
Edge +0.007%
Kelly +0.010%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.16%30.53%30.46%34.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.093.153.2836.36%32.38%31.75%30.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago Sky (Local): 69.51%; Connecticut Sun (Visit): 30.49%. For Chicago Sky (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.44. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.783%.

Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
TAB🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV +0.783%E +0.540%K +1.74%G +0.014%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -16.14%E -5.87%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-05 23:30
Neds🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -1.30%E -0.917%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-05 23:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -1.30%E -0.917%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -11.57%E -3.99%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-05 23:30
Fanatics🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -2.00%E -1.42%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-05 23:30
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -2.69%E -1.92%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-05 23:30
ReBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.76%EV -3.39%E -2.44%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.24%EV -6.69%E -2.19%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-05 23:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -2.72%E -0.853%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-05 23:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -2.72%E -0.853%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-05 23:30
Pinnacle🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.67%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.33%EV -3.33%E -1.05%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-05 23:30
DraftKings🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -3.94%E -1.25%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-05 23:30
GTbets🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -3.94%E -1.25%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-05 23:29
BetUS🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -3.94%E -1.25%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-05 23:29
Bovada🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -3.94%E -1.25%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-05 23:28
BetAnything🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -3.94%E -1.25%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-05 23:29
FanDuel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-05 23:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -4.08%E -2.96%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -7.30%E -2.40%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-05 23:30
theScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -0.892%E -0.275%K -0.397%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-05 23:30
LeoVegas🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.94%E -1.25%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-05 23:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.94%E -1.25%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-05 23:30
Unibet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.94%E -1.25%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-05 23:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.94%E -1.25%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-05 23:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.94%E -1.25%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-05 23:30
Bally Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.94%E -1.25%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-05 23:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.94%E -1.25%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-05 23:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.94%E -1.25%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-05 23:30
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.94%E -1.25%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-05 23:30
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-05 23:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-05 23:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-05 23:29
SportsBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.30%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 30.70%EV -6.38%E -2.08%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-05 23:30
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.99%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-05 23:30
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.99%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-05 23:30
NordicBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.99%E -2.29%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-05 23:30
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-05 23:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.52%E -2.84%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-05 23:28
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -5.47%E -4.02%K -15.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -12.18%E -4.23%K -6.48%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-05 23:29
Caesars🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.84%EV -6.17%E -4.57%K -17.62%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.16%EV +0.023%E +0.007%K +0.010%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-05 23:22
Unibet (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.17%E -4.57%K -17.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.47%E -1.76%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-05 23:30
Betsson🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -6.86%E -5.12%K -20.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -3.94%E -1.25%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-05 23:29
Fliff🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -6.86%E -5.12%K -20.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -3.94%E -1.25%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-05 23:29
PMU (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.06%EV -10.34%E -8.01%K -35.65%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.94%EV -12.18%E -4.23%K -6.48%G +0.000%12.2%2026-06-05 23:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-06-05 23:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-06-05 23:30
Polymarket1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75%1.0%2026-06-05 23:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.2%2026-06-05 23:30
ProphetX1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.2%2026-06-05 23:30
Kalshi1.41I 70.92%NM 69.61%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39%1.9%2026-06-05 23:30
Novig1.41I 70.92%NM 69.61%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39%1.9%2026-06-05 23:30