Language:English
Atlanta Dream v Washington Mystics
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Atlanta Dream (Local)
Prediction 71.90%1.39fair odd
EV -2.94%
Edge -2.18%
Kelly -8.40%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.79%71.85%72.03%72.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.261.321.331.3579.37%75.71%75.19%74.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Washington Mystics (Visit)
Prediction 28.10%3.56fair odd
EV -1.64%
Edge -0.468%
Kelly -0.655%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.22%28.15%27.97%29.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.373.403.5031.75%29.65%29.41%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atlanta Dream (Local): 71.90%; Washington Mystics (Visit): 28.10%. For Washington Mystics (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.56. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.50, with an expected value of -1.64%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neds🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -2.94%E -2.18%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-27 13:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -2.94%E -2.18%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-27 13:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -3.66%E -2.73%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -3.04%E -0.882%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-27 23:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.66%E -2.73%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -4.45%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-27 21:49 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.66%E -2.73%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -4.45%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-27 22:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.38%E -3.29%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -1.64%E -0.468%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-27 22:33 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.38%E -3.29%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -1.64%E -0.468%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-27 17:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.38%E -3.29%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -1.64%E -0.468%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-27 23:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -4.38%E -3.29%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -3.04%E -0.882%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-27 23:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -4.38%E -3.29%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -3.04%E -0.882%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-27 23:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -4.38%E -3.29%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -3.04%E -0.882%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-27 23:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.38%E -3.29%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.45%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-27 15:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.38%E -3.29%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.45%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-27 22:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.38%E -3.29%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.45%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-27 22:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.38%E -3.29%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.45%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-27 22:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.38%E -3.29%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.45%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-27 22:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.38%E -3.29%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.45%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-27 22:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.38%E -3.29%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.45%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-27 22:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.38%E -3.29%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.45%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-27 22:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.38%E -3.29%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.45%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-27 22:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.38%E -3.29%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -5.85%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-27 22:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.38%E -3.29%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-27 13:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.38%E -3.29%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-27 13:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.38%E -3.29%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-27 13:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -5.10%E -3.86%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -1.64%E -0.468%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-27 22:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.10%E -3.86%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -3.04%E -0.882%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-27 22:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.10%E -3.86%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.45%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-27 22:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.10%E -3.86%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.45%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-27 22:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.10%E -3.86%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.45%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-27 22:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.10%E -3.86%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.45%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-27 22:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.10%E -3.86%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.45%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-27 22:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.10%E -3.86%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.45%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-27 13:38 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.10%E -3.86%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-27 13:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.10%E -3.86%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-27 13:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.82%E -4.44%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -1.64%E -0.468%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-27 15:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.82%E -4.44%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -5.85%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-27 22:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.53%E -5.03%K -21.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.45%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-27 15:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.53%E -5.03%K -21.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.45%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-27 15:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.53%E -5.03%K -21.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.45%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-27 23:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.53%E -5.03%K -21.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -8.66%E -2.67%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-27 13:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.53%E -5.03%K -21.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.07%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-27 15:04 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -6.53%E -5.03%K -21.78%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -11.47%E -3.64%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-27 22:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -6.53%E -5.03%K -21.78%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -11.47%E -3.64%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-27 22:48 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -6.53%E -5.03%K -21.78%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -11.47%E -3.64%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-27 22:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -7.25%E -5.62%K -25.01%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -3.04%E -0.882%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-27 20:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.06%EV -9.41%E -7.47%K -36.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -8.66%E -2.67%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-27 22:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61% | 0.2% | 2026-09-27 23:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73% | 1.0% | 2026-09-27 13:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-09-27 23:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-09-27 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42% | 1.3% | 2026-09-27 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42% | 1.3% | 2026-09-27 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42% | 1.3% | 2026-09-27 22:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.95% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 27.05% | 1.5% | 2026-09-27 23:00 |