Language:English
Atlanta Dream v New York Liberty
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Atlanta Dream (Local)
Prediction 63.37%1.58fair odd
EV -1.77%
Edge -1.14%
Kelly -3.23%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.73%63.41%63.37%64.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.491.501.5572.46%66.90%66.67%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New York Liberty (Visit)
Prediction 36.63%2.73fair odd
EV -1.84%
Edge -0.685%
Kelly -1.09%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.68
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.47%36.59%36.63%38.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.482.602.602.6840.32%38.45%38.46%37.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atlanta Dream (Local): 63.37%; New York Liberty (Visit): 36.63%. For Atlanta Dream (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.58. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.55, with an expected value of -1.77%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -1.77%E -1.14%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -8.43%E -3.37%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-04 17:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -1.77%E -1.14%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -8.43%E -3.37%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-04 17:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -2.41%E -1.56%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -4.77%E -1.83%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-04 18:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.04%E -1.99%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.77%E -1.83%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-04 17:25 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.86%EV -3.04%E -1.99%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.14%EV -5.13%E -1.98%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-04 17:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.81%EV -3.68%E -2.42%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.19%EV -1.84%E -0.685%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-10-04 18:01 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.81%EV -3.68%E -2.42%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.19%EV -1.84%E -0.685%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-10-04 18:01 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.37%EV -3.68%E -2.42%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.63%EV -3.67%E -1.39%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-04 18:01 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.20%EV -3.68%E -2.42%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.80%EV -4.40%E -1.69%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-04 17:26 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.68%E -2.42%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.77%E -1.83%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-04 17:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.31%E -2.85%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -2.93%E -1.11%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-04 17:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.31%E -2.85%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -2.93%E -1.11%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-04 17:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.31%E -2.85%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -2.93%E -1.11%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-04 17:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.31%E -2.85%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -2.93%E -1.11%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-04 17:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.53%EV -4.31%E -2.85%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%EV -3.67%E -1.39%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-04 17:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.31%E -2.85%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.77%E -1.83%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-04 17:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.31%E -2.85%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.43%E -3.37%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-04 17:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.94%E -3.30%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.93%E -1.11%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-04 17:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.94%E -3.30%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.77%E -1.83%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-04 17:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.94%E -3.30%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.77%E -1.83%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-04 17:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.94%E -3.30%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.77%E -1.83%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-04 17:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.94%E -3.30%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.77%E -1.83%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-04 18:01 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.94%E -3.30%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.77%E -1.83%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-04 17:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.94%E -3.30%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.77%E -1.83%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-04 17:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.94%E -3.30%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.77%E -1.83%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-04 18:01 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.94%E -3.30%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.60%E -2.59%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-04 18:01 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.94%E -3.30%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.60%E -2.59%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-04 17:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.94%E -3.30%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.60%E -2.59%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-04 17:23 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.21%E -4.20%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -2.93%E -1.11%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 17:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.21%E -4.20%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -2.93%E -1.11%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 17:21 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.21%E -4.20%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -2.93%E -1.11%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 17:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.21%E -4.20%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -2.93%E -1.11%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 17:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.21%E -4.20%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -2.93%E -1.11%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 17:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.21%E -4.20%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -2.93%E -1.11%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 17:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.21%E -4.20%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -2.93%E -1.11%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 17:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.21%E -4.20%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -2.93%E -1.11%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 17:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.21%E -4.20%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -2.93%E -1.11%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 17:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.21%E -4.20%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -2.93%E -1.11%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-04 17:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.21%E -4.20%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.77%E -1.83%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-04 18:01 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.21%E -4.20%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.60%E -2.59%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-04 17:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -6.21%E -4.20%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -6.60%E -2.59%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-04 17:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.06%EV -6.84%E -4.66%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.94%EV -4.03%E -1.54%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-04 17:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.11%E -5.59%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.43%E -3.37%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-04 18:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.11%E -5.59%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.43%E -3.37%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-04 17:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.11%E -5.59%K -18.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.43%E -3.37%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-04 17:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.75%E -6.07%K -19.88%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.03%E -1.54%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-04 17:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.25%EV -12.55%E -9.09%K -33.02%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.75%EV -9.16%E -3.69%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-10-04 17:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.68% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 37.32% | 0.3% | 2026-10-04 18:01 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-10-04 18:01 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.71% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.29% | 1.6% | 2026-10-04 18:01 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.03% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.97% | 1.7% | 2026-10-04 18:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65% | 2.2% | 2026-10-04 18:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50% | 2.6% | 2026-10-04 18:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50% | 2.6% | 2026-10-04 18:01 |