Language:English
Atlanta Dream v New York Liberty
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Atlanta Dream (Local)
Prediction 59.77%1.67fair odd
EV -1.38%
Edge -0.836%
Kelly -2.12%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.36%59.74%59.77%60.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.591.591.6566.67%62.90%62.89%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New York Liberty (Visit)
Prediction 40.23%2.49fair odd
EV -1.44%
Edge -0.586%
Kelly -0.990%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.36%40.26%40.23%41.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.362.352.4545.45%42.45%42.55%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atlanta Dream (Local): 59.77%; New York Liberty (Visit): 40.23%. For Atlanta Dream (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.67. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.65, with an expected value of -1.38%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.38%E -0.836%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -5.46%E -2.32%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-02 21:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.17%E -1.96%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.46%E -2.32%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-03 16:04 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -3.17%E -1.96%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -5.86%E -2.50%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-02 19:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.17%E -1.96%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.47%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 16:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.17%E -1.96%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.47%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-03 16:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.77%E -2.34%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.44%E -0.586%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-10-02 19:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.77%E -2.34%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.44%E -0.586%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-10-02 19:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.77%E -2.34%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.44%E -0.586%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-10-02 19:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.77%E -2.34%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.44%E -0.586%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-10-02 19:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.77%E -2.34%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.45%E -1.44%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-03 15:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.77%E -2.34%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.46%E -2.32%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 16:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -3.77%E -2.34%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -5.86%E -2.50%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-03 17:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.37%E -2.73%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.46%E -2.32%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 13:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.37%E -2.73%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.46%E -2.32%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 13:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.37%E -2.73%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.46%E -2.32%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 13:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.37%E -2.73%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.46%E -2.32%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 13:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.37%E -2.73%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.46%E -2.32%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 13:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.37%E -2.73%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.46%E -2.32%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 13:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.37%E -2.73%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.46%E -2.32%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 13:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.37%E -2.73%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.46%E -2.32%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 13:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.37%E -2.73%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.46%E -2.32%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 13:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.37%E -2.73%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.46%E -2.32%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 13:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.37%E -2.73%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.47%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-03 17:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.97%E -3.12%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -1.44%E -0.586%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-03 04:02 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -4.97%E -3.12%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -2.64%E -1.09%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-03 15:58 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -4.97%E -3.12%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -2.64%E -1.09%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-03 17:17 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.97%E -3.12%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.45%E -1.44%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-03 16:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.97%E -3.12%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.45%E -1.44%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-02 17:04 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -4.97%E -3.12%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -4.25%E -1.79%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-03 16:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.97%E -3.12%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.46%E -2.32%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 10:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.40%EV -5.56%E -3.52%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.60%EV -3.05%E -1.26%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-02 09:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.56%E -3.52%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -4.25%E -1.79%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 16:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.56%E -3.52%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.46%E -2.32%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-03 04:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.56%E -3.52%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.46%E -2.32%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-03 12:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.56%E -3.52%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.46%E -2.32%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-03 16:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.16%E -3.92%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.45%E -1.44%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-03 04:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.16%E -3.92%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.25%E -1.79%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-02 09:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.16%E -3.92%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.25%E -1.79%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-02 09:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.16%E -3.92%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.25%E -1.79%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-02 09:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.16%E -3.92%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.47%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-02 18:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.16%E -3.92%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.47%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-02 17:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.16%E -3.92%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.48%E -4.21%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-01 14:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -6.16%E -3.92%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -11.49%E -5.22%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-02 17:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.76%E -4.33%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.46%E -2.32%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-03 15:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.76%E -4.33%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.46%E -2.32%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-03 15:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.36%E -4.75%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.47%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-02 09:39 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.36%E -4.75%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.47%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-02 09:38 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.46%EV -10.35%E -6.90%K -20.69%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -11.49%E -5.22%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-03 13:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-10-03 09:41 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-10-03 17:17 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17% | 2.1% | 2026-10-03 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00% | 4.2% | 2026-10-03 17:18 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00% | 4.2% | 2026-10-03 17:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62% | 4.5% | 2026-10-03 17:18 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57% | 7.2% | 2026-10-03 17:18 |