The School of Odds
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Atlanta Dream v New York Liberty

2026-10-04 19:00 UTC — WNBA

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlanta Dream (Local)

Prediction 58.60%1.71fair odd
EV -2.14%
Edge -1.28%
Kelly -3.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.14%58.46%58.60%60.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.591.631.621.6762.89%61.35%61.73%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New York Liberty (Visit)

Prediction 41.40%2.42fair odd
EV +0.185%
Edge +0.077%
Kelly +0.131%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.65%41.54%41.40%42.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.292.302.4245.45%43.64%43.48%41.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Atlanta Dream (Local): 58.60%; New York Liberty (Visit): 41.40%. For New York Liberty (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.416. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.420, producing a positive expected value of +0.185%.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -6.82%E -4.29%K -11.57%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV +0.185%E +0.077%K +0.131%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-01 05:10
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.07%E -3.13%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.71%E -1.15%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-01 01:45
Bet Right🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.65%E -3.51%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -3.95%E -1.70%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-01 05:49
GTbets🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.14%E -1.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.78%E -2.08%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-01 03:09
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.14%E -1.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.78%E -2.08%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-01 03:33
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.31%E -2.00%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.78%E -2.08%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-01 01:25
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.07%E -3.13%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.78%E -2.08%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-01 01:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.07%E -3.13%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.78%E -2.08%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-01 01:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.07%E -3.13%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.78%E -2.08%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-01 05:05
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.24%E -3.90%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.78%E -2.08%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-01 05:20
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.07%E -3.13%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.85%E -3.05%K -5.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-01 03:00
FanDuel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -2.72%E -1.64%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -7.27%E -3.24%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-01 02:35
SportsBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.31%E -2.00%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.92%E -4.06%K -7.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-01 02:35
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.07%E -3.13%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.92%E -4.06%K -7.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-01 02:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.