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Atlanta Dream v Minnesota Lynx
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Atlanta Dream (Local)
Prediction 42.76%2.34fair odd
EV +2.63%
Edge +1.09%
Kelly +1.88%
Growth +0.049%
assuming max odds 2.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.15%42.76%42.64%43.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.232.232.4047.62%44.79%44.84%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Minnesota Lynx (Visit)
Prediction 57.24%1.75fair odd
EV -2.12%
Edge -1.24%
Kelly -2.99%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.71
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.27%57.24%57.36%59.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.591.661.671.7162.89%60.07%59.88%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atlanta Dream (Local): 42.76%; Minnesota Lynx (Visit): 57.24%. For Atlanta Dream (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.34. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.63%.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV +2.63%E +1.09%K +1.88%G +0.049% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -7.84%E -4.87%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-30 18:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.65%E -0.718%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.41%E -2.64%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-30 19:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.65%E -0.718%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.41%E -2.64%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-30 18:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.65%E -0.718%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.41%E -2.64%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-30 19:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.65%E -0.718%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.41%E -2.64%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-30 19:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.65%E -0.718%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.41%E -2.64%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-30 18:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.65%E -0.718%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.41%E -2.64%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-30 18:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -1.65%E -0.718%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -8.99%E -5.65%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -3.84%E -2.28%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-30 18:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -3.36%E -1.49%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -5.55%E -3.37%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 18:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -3.79%E -1.68%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -2.69%E -1.58%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -3.79%E -1.68%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -2.69%E -1.58%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-30 18:48 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.79%E -1.68%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.41%E -2.64%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-30 18:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.79%E -1.68%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.41%E -2.64%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-30 18:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.79%E -1.68%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.41%E -2.64%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-30 18:54 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.79%E -1.68%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.55%E -3.37%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 19:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -3.79%E -1.68%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.70%E -4.11%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 18:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.79%E -1.68%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.27%E -4.49%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 19:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.64%E -2.08%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.84%E -2.28%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-30 18:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.64%E -2.08%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.84%E -2.28%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-30 18:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.64%E -2.08%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.84%E -2.28%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-30 18:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.64%E -2.08%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.84%E -2.28%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-30 18:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.64%E -2.08%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.84%E -2.28%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-30 18:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.64%E -2.08%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.84%E -2.28%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-30 18:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.64%E -2.08%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.84%E -2.28%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-30 18:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -4.64%E -2.08%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.84%E -2.28%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-30 18:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -5.07%E -2.28%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.27%E -1.93%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-30 18:48 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.07%E -2.28%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.98%E -3.00%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 18:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.93%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.12%E -1.24%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-30 18:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.93%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.69%E -1.58%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-30 17:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.93%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.41%E -2.64%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 16:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.93%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.41%E -2.64%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 17:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.93%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.41%E -2.64%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 17:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.93%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.41%E -2.64%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 17:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.93%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.41%E -2.64%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 18:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.93%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.41%E -2.64%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 18:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.93%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.41%E -2.64%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 18:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.93%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.41%E -2.64%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 18:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.93%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.55%E -3.37%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 18:14 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.93%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.55%E -3.37%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 18:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.93%E -2.69%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.27%E -4.49%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-30 18:04 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -6.35%E -2.90%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -3.84%E -2.28%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 18:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.06%E -3.75%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.41%E -2.64%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-30 18:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -9.35%E -4.41%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.99%EV -8.42%E -5.26%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-30 18:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -10.20%E -4.86%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -7.27%E -4.49%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-30 18:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 0.5% | 2026-08-30 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33% | 0.8% | 2026-08-30 19:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 0.9% | 2026-08-30 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13% | 1.2% | 2026-08-30 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13% | 1.2% | 2026-08-30 19:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62% | 1.5% | 2026-08-30 19:00 |
| Novig◎ | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31% | 2.1% | 2026-08-30 19:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96% | 2.1% | 2026-08-30 19:00 |