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Atlanta Dream v Las Vegas Aces
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Atlanta Dream (Local)
Prediction 40.40%2.48fair odd
EV -1.03%
Edge -0.419%
Kelly -0.708%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.93%40.67%40.28%45.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.082.352.372.4548.08%42.49%42.19%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Las Vegas Aces (Visit)
Prediction 59.60%1.68fair odd
EV +2.52%
Edge +1.46%
Kelly +3.50%
Growth +0.088%
assuming max odds 1.72
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.74%59.33%59.72%61.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.591.601.7267.57%62.78%62.50%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atlanta Dream (Local): 40.40%; Las Vegas Aces (Visit): 59.60%. For Las Vegas Aces (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.68. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.72, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.52%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -15.97%E -7.68%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV +2.52%E +1.46%K +3.50%G +0.088% | 6.2% | 2026-05-17 17:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -7.49%E -3.27%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -2.85%E -1.75%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-17 17:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.05%E -1.27%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.44%E -2.13%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-17 17:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.05%E -1.27%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.44%E -2.13%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-17 17:31 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.05%E -1.27%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.44%E -2.13%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-17 17:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -4.66%E -1.98%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.44%E -2.13%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-17 17:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.07%E -2.16%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.44%E -2.13%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-17 17:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.09%E -3.08%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.44%E -2.13%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-17 17:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.09%E -3.08%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.44%E -2.13%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-17 17:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.11%E -4.05%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.44%E -2.13%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-17 17:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.11%E -4.05%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.44%E -2.13%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-17 17:29 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.03%E -0.419%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -4.04%E -2.51%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-17 17:29 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.05%E -1.27%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.04%E -2.51%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-17 17:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.05%E -1.27%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.04%E -2.51%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-17 17:32 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.05%E -1.27%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.04%E -2.51%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-17 17:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.07%E -2.16%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.04%E -2.51%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-17 17:38 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -5.47%E -2.34%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.04%E -2.51%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-17 17:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.09%E -3.08%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.04%E -2.51%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-17 17:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.09%E -3.08%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.04%E -2.51%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-17 17:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.09%E -3.08%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.04%E -2.51%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-17 17:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -1.03%E -0.419%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -4.64%E -2.90%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-17 17:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -3.85%E -1.62%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.64%E -2.90%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-17 17:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.07%E -2.16%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.64%E -2.90%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 17:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -5.47%E -2.34%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -4.64%E -2.90%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-17 17:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -1.03%E -0.419%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -5.23%E -3.29%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-17 17:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.77%EV -6.68%E -2.89%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.23%EV -5.23%E -3.29%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-17 17:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.07%E -2.16%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.83%E -3.69%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-17 17:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -5.47%E -2.34%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -5.83%E -3.69%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-17 17:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.05%E -1.27%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-17 17:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.05%E -1.27%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-17 17:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.05%E -1.27%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-17 17:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.05%E -1.27%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-17 17:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.05%E -1.27%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-17 17:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.05%E -1.27%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-17 17:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.05%E -1.27%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-17 17:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.05%E -1.27%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-17 17:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.05%E -1.27%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-17 17:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.05%E -1.27%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-17 17:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.05%E -1.27%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-17 17:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.05%E -1.27%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-17 17:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.07%E -2.16%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-17 17:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.07%E -2.16%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-17 17:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.11%E -4.05%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.42%E -4.09%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-17 17:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.09%E -3.08%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.62%E -4.91%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-17 17:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -3.05%E -1.27%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.81%E -5.76%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-17 17:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.89%EV -9.91%E -4.45%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.11%EV -11.79%E -7.96%K -24.56%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-17 17:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 1.2% | 2026-05-17 17:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10% | 2.7% | 2026-05-17 17:32 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58% | 4.1% | 2026-05-17 17:40 |
| Novig◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91% | 6.6% | 2026-05-17 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 41.62% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 58.38% | 18.9% | 2026-05-17 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 41.62% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 58.38% | 18.9% | 2026-05-17 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 41.62% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 58.38% | 18.9% | 2026-05-17 17:40 |