The School of Odds
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Atlanta Dream v Golden State Valkyries

Kickoff: 2026-10-22 00:11 UTC

Final: Atlanta Dream 97–71 Golden State Valkyries

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Atlanta Dream (Local)

Prediction 61.47%1.63fair odd
EV -2.88%
Edge -1.82%
Kelly -4.97%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.10%61.53%61.50%62.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.541.551.5869.44%64.78%64.52%63.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Golden State Valkyries (Visit)

Prediction 38.53%2.60fair odd
EV -0.973%
Edge -0.379%
Kelly -0.620%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.65%38.47%38.50%39.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.452.482.5744.44%40.74%40.32%38.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Atlanta Dream (Local): 61.47%; Golden State Valkyries (Visit): 38.53%. For Golden State Valkyries (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.60. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.57, with an expected value of -0.973%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -2.88%E -1.82%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -3.67%E -1.47%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-22 00:03
theScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.50%E -2.23%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.67%E -1.47%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-21 23:10
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.50%E -2.23%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.67%E -1.47%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-21 23:14
1xBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -3.50%E -2.23%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -5.21%E -2.12%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-21 22:50
FanDuel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -3.50%E -2.23%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -5.21%E -2.12%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-21 22:40
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.50%E -2.23%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.60%E -2.28%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-21 23:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.50%E -2.23%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.60%E -2.28%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-21 23:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.50%E -2.23%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.29%E -3.48%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-21 16:11
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -4.11%E -2.63%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -0.973%E -0.379%K -0.620%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-22 00:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -4.11%E -2.63%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -0.973%E -0.379%K -0.620%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-22 00:05
BetUS🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.11%E -2.63%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.74%E -0.684%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-22 00:09
BetAnything🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.11%E -2.63%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.74%E -0.684%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-21 23:15
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.11%E -2.63%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.67%E -1.47%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-21 23:15
Pinnacle🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.11%E -2.63%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.67%E -1.47%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-21 23:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.11%E -2.63%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.52%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-22 00:05
Fliff🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.11%E -2.63%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -9.45%E -4.02%K -7.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-21 23:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.72%E -3.05%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.44%E -1.79%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-21 23:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.72%E -3.05%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.44%E -1.79%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-21 23:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.72%E -3.05%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.44%E -1.79%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-21 23:45
Unibet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.72%E -3.05%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.44%E -1.79%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-21 23:45
Bally Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.72%E -3.05%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.44%E -1.79%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-21 23:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.72%E -3.05%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.44%E -1.79%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-21 23:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.72%E -3.05%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.44%E -1.79%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-21 23:45
betPARX🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.72%E -3.05%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.44%E -1.79%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-21 23:45
ReBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.72%E -3.05%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.60%E -2.28%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-22 00:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.72%E -3.05%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.60%E -2.28%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-21 23:15
Bet Right🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.72%E -3.05%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.60%E -2.28%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-21 23:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.72%E -3.05%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.52%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-22 00:09
GTbets🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.34%E -3.47%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.74%E -0.684%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-21 23:45
DraftKings🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -5.34%E -3.47%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -2.13%E -0.838%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-21 23:45
Caesars🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.34%E -3.47%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.67%E -1.47%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-21 23:14
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.34%E -3.47%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.44%E -1.79%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-21 23:50
TABtouch🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -5.34%E -3.47%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -4.44%E -1.79%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-21 23:45
Coolbet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -5.34%E -3.47%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -6.37%E -2.62%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-21 23:50
SportsBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -5.34%E -3.47%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -6.37%E -2.62%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-21 23:25
Betsson🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.11%EV -5.34%E -3.47%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.89%EV -6.75%E -2.79%K -4.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-21 23:10
NordicBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.11%EV -5.34%E -3.47%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.89%EV -6.75%E -2.79%K -4.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-21 23:10
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.95%E -3.89%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.67%E -1.47%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-21 23:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.95%E -3.89%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.67%E -1.47%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-21 23:59
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.95%E -3.89%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.52%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-22 00:00
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.95%E -3.89%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.29%E -3.48%K -6.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-21 21:20
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -5.95%E -3.89%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -9.45%E -4.02%K -7.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-22 00:00
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -6.57%E -4.32%K -12.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -3.67%E -1.47%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-21 23:44
picklebet_au🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -6.57%E -4.32%K -12.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.52%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-22 00:00
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -7.80%E -5.20%K -15.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -9.45%E -4.02%K -7.00%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-21 23:49
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -7.80%E -5.20%K -15.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -9.45%E -4.02%K -7.00%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-21 23:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 60.65%EV -10.26%E -7.03%K -22.30%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.35%EV -13.30%E -5.91%K -10.64%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-21 23:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.70%EV -11.49%E -7.98%K -26.10%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.30%EV -10.61%E -4.57%K -8.03%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-21 23:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-10-21 21:35
Novig◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%1.0%2026-10-21 23:55
Kalshi◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-10-22 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28%1.3%2026-10-22 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28%1.3%2026-10-22 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28%1.3%2026-10-22 00:05
ProphetX◎1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65%1.9%2026-10-22 00:10
Matchbook◎1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%4.3%2026-10-22 00:10