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Youngstown St Penguins v Northern Kentucky Norse
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Youngstown St Penguins (Local)
Prediction 55.23%1.81fair odd
EV -1.70%
Edge -0.953%
Kelly -2.17%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.78
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.66%55.14%55.27%56.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.731.731.7860.61%57.78%57.64%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Northern Kentucky Norse (Visit)
Prediction 44.77%2.23fair odd
EV -1.50%
Edge -0.682%
Kelly -1.25%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.73%44.86%44.73%46.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.042.102.102.2049.02%47.56%47.62%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Youngstown St Penguins (Local): 55.23%; Northern Kentucky Norse (Visit): 44.77%. For Northern Kentucky Norse (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.23. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.20, with an expected value of -1.50%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -1.70%E -0.953%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -7.32%E -3.54%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-22 17:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -1.70%E -0.953%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -7.32%E -3.54%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-22 17:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -1.70%E -0.953%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -7.32%E -3.54%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-22 17:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -1.70%E -0.953%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -7.32%E -3.54%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-22 17:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -1.70%E -0.953%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -7.32%E -3.54%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-22 17:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -1.70%E -0.953%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -7.32%E -3.54%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-22 17:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -1.70%E -0.953%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -7.32%E -3.54%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-22 17:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.25%E -1.27%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-22 17:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.25%E -1.27%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-22 17:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.25%E -1.27%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-22 17:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.25%E -1.27%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-22 17:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -2.80%E -1.59%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -5.08%E -2.40%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-22 18:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -2.80%E -1.59%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -5.08%E -2.40%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-22 18:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -2.80%E -1.59%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -8.66%E -4.25%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-22 17:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.90%E -2.24%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-22 17:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.90%E -2.24%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-22 17:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.90%E -2.24%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-22 17:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.90%E -2.24%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-22 18:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.90%E -2.24%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-22 18:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.90%E -2.24%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.19%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-22 18:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.90%E -2.24%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-22 17:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.19%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-22 17:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-22 17:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-22 17:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-22 17:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.01%EV -5.01%E -2.91%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.99%EV -1.95%E -0.889%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-22 18:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.50%E -0.682%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-22 18:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.50%E -0.682%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-22 17:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-22 18:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.11%E -3.60%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-22 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.11%E -3.60%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-22 18:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -6.11%E -3.60%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.87%E -3.30%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-22 17:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -6.11%E -3.60%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.87%E -3.30%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-22 17:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -6.11%E -3.60%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.87%E -3.30%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-22 17:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -6.11%E -3.60%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -6.87%E -3.30%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-22 18:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.11%E -3.60%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-22 17:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.29%EV -6.67%E -3.94%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.71%EV -6.42%E -3.07%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-22 17:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.67%E -3.94%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-22 17:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.82%EV -7.77%E -4.65%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.18%EV -5.53%E -2.62%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-22 17:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.77%E -4.65%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-22 17:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -8.88%E -5.38%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-22 18:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -8.88%E -5.38%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-22 18:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84% | 0.0% | 2026-02-22 18:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-02-22 17:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-02-22 18:54 |
| Novig◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.39% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.61% | 1.4% | 2026-02-22 18:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.36% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.64% | 3.2% | 2026-02-22 18:55 |