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Yale Bulldogs v Pennsylvania Quakers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Yale Bulldogs (Local)
Prediction 79.45%1.26fair odd
EV -2.28%
Edge -1.85%
Kelly -9.90%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.23
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.92%79.46%79.24%80.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.161.201.201.2386.21%83.51%83.33%81.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Pennsylvania Quakers (Visit)
Prediction 20.55%4.87fair odd
EV +2.75%
Edge +0.551%
Kelly +0.688%
Growth +0.019%
assuming max odds 5.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.09%20.54%20.76%23.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.564.605.0025.00%21.95%21.74%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yale Bulldogs (Local): 79.45%; Pennsylvania Quakers (Visit): 20.55%. For Pennsylvania Quakers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.87. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.75%.
Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -5.46%E -4.58%K -28.71%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV +2.75%E +0.551%K +0.688%G +0.019% | 4.0% | 2026-02-21 18:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -6.25%E -5.30%K -34.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +2.75%E +0.551%K +0.688%G +0.019% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 18:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -5.46%E -4.58%K -28.71%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV +0.698%E +0.143%K +0.179%G +0.001% | 4.4% | 2026-02-21 18:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.10%EV -4.66%E -3.88%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 4.83I 20.70%NM 19.90%EV -0.740%E -0.153%K -0.193%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-21 18:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.10%EV -4.66%E -3.88%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 4.83I 20.70%NM 19.90%EV -0.740%E -0.153%K -0.193%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-21 18:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -6.25%E -5.30%K -34.72%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -1.36%E -0.283%K -0.357%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-21 18:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.66%E -3.88%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -2.38%E -0.502%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-21 18:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -4.66%E -3.88%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -2.38%E -0.502%K -0.636%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-21 18:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -7.84%E -6.76%K -48.99%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -3.41%E -0.726%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-21 18:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.90%EV -7.04%E -6.02%K -41.44%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.10%EV -4.44%E -0.955%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 18:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -3.87%E -3.20%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -5.47%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-21 18:48 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -3.87%E -3.20%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -5.47%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-21 18:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.66%E -3.88%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -5.47%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 18:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.66%E -3.88%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -5.47%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 18:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.66%E -3.88%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -5.47%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 18:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.66%E -3.88%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -5.47%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 18:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.66%E -3.88%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -5.47%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 18:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.66%E -3.88%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -5.47%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 18:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.66%E -3.88%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -5.47%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 18:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.66%E -3.88%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -5.47%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 18:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.66%E -3.88%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -5.47%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 18:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.66%E -3.88%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -5.47%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 18:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -4.66%E -3.88%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -5.47%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 18:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -4.66%E -3.88%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV -6.49%E -1.43%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 18:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.66%E -3.88%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.52%E -1.67%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-21 18:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.66%E -3.88%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.52%E -1.67%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-21 18:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.66%E -3.88%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.52%E -1.67%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-21 18:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -5.46%E -4.58%K -28.71%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -7.52%E -1.67%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-21 18:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.19%EV -2.28%E -1.85%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 4.41I 22.68%NM 21.81%EV -9.37%E -2.13%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-21 18:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.07%E -2.52%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -9.58%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 18:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -5.46%E -4.58%K -28.71%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -9.58%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-21 18:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.25%E -5.30%K -34.72%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -9.58%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-21 18:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.25%E -5.30%K -34.72%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -9.58%E -2.18%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-21 18:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.73%EV -7.04%E -6.02%K -41.44%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.27%EV -11.02%E -2.54%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-21 18:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.92%EV -3.87%E -3.20%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.08%EV -12.25%E -2.87%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-21 13:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.07%E -2.52%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -12.66%E -2.98%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-21 18:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -3.07%E -2.52%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -12.66%E -2.98%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-21 18:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -4.66%E -3.88%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -17.80%E -4.45%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-21 18:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -4.66%E -3.88%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -17.80%E -4.45%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-21 18:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 79.41% | 4.86I 20.58%NM 20.59% | -0.1% | 2026-02-21 18:25 |
| Novig◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74% | 1.3% | 2026-02-21 18:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.39% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61% | 2.0% | 2026-02-21 18:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.39% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61% | 2.0% | 2026-02-21 18:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.60% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.40% | 2.1% | 2026-02-21 18:55 |