Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yale Bulldogs v Pennsylvania Quakers

Kickoff: 2026-03-15 16:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

45 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yale Bulldogs (Local)

Prediction 80.14%1.25fair odd
EV -2.23%
Edge -1.83%
Kelly -10.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.36%79.91%80.24%81.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.151.191.191.2286.96%84.33%84.03%81.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Pennsylvania Quakers (Visit)

Prediction 19.86%5.03fair odd
EV -0.680%
Edge -0.136%
Kelly -0.170%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.96%20.09%19.76%23.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.944.694.605.0025.38%21.34%21.74%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yale Bulldogs (Local): 80.14%; Pennsylvania Quakers (Visit): 19.86%. For Pennsylvania Quakers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.03. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 5.00, with an expected value of -0.680%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
TAB🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -2.23%E -1.83%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -14.59%E -3.39%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 15:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.36%EV -2.23%E -1.83%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.64%EV -21.74%E -5.52%K -7.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 15:50
Caesars🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -3.04%E -2.51%K -14.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -8.63%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 15:43
1xBet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.92%EV -3.04%E -2.51%K -14.45%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.08%EV -15.18%E -3.56%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-15 15:15
Pinnacle🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 80.42%EV -3.84%E -3.20%K -19.18%G +0.000%4.93I 20.28%NM 19.58%EV -2.07%E -0.420%K -0.527%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-15 15:55
Fanatics🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.84%E -3.20%K -19.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -5.65%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 15:24
FanDuel🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.49%EV -3.84%E -3.20%K -19.18%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51%EV -7.63%E -1.64%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 15:40
PlayUp🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -3.84%E -3.20%K -19.18%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -15.58%E -3.67%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 15:50
DraftKings🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.64%E -3.90%K -24.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -0.680%E -0.136%K -0.170%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-15 15:30
BetUS🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.64%E -3.90%K -24.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -0.680%E -0.136%K -0.170%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-15 15:30
Everygame🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.64%E -3.90%K -24.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -0.680%E -0.136%K -0.170%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-15 15:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.65%EV -4.64%E -3.90%K -24.41%G +0.000%4.96I 20.16%NM 19.35%EV -1.48%E -0.297%K -0.372%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 15:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.65%EV -4.64%E -3.90%K -24.41%G +0.000%4.96I 20.16%NM 19.35%EV -1.48%E -0.297%K -0.372%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 15:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.64%E -3.90%K -24.41%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -5.65%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 15:55
Bet Right🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -4.64%E -3.90%K -24.41%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -5.65%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 15:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.64%E -3.90%K -24.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -8.63%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-15 15:45
BetRivers🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.64%E -3.90%K -24.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -8.63%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-15 15:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.64%E -3.90%K -24.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -8.63%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-15 15:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.64%E -3.90%K -24.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -8.63%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-15 15:45
LeoVegas🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.64%E -3.90%K -24.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -8.63%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-15 15:45
Unibet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.64%E -3.90%K -24.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -8.63%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-15 15:45
Bally Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.64%E -3.90%K -24.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -8.63%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-15 15:45
betPARX🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.64%E -3.90%K -24.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -8.63%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-15 15:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.64%E -3.90%K -24.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -8.63%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-15 15:45
TABtouch🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -4.64%E -3.90%K -24.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -10.61%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 15:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -4.64%E -3.90%K -24.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -10.61%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 15:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -4.64%E -3.90%K -24.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -10.61%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 15:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -4.64%E -3.90%K -24.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -10.61%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 15:54
GTbets🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.44%E -4.61%K -30.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.680%E -0.136%K -0.170%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-15 15:45
BetMGM🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.44%E -4.61%K -30.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.680%E -0.136%K -0.170%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-15 15:50
Betway🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.44%E -4.61%K -30.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.680%E -0.136%K -0.170%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-15 15:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.44%E -4.61%K -30.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.680%E -0.136%K -0.170%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-15 15:30
ReBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.44%E -4.61%K -30.22%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -2.67%E -0.544%K -0.684%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 15:50
Bovada🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.44%E -4.61%K -30.22%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -2.67%E -0.544%K -0.684%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 15:35
theScore Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.44%E -4.61%K -30.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.65%E -0.969%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-15 15:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.24%E -5.33%K -36.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -0.680%E -0.136%K -0.170%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-15 15:50
Neds🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.24%E -5.33%K -36.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -0.680%E -0.136%K -0.170%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-15 15:50
Fliff🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.24%E -5.33%K -36.71%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -8.63%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 15:55
SportsBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -6.24%E -5.33%K -36.71%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -8.63%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 15:25
BoyleSports🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.24%E -5.33%K -36.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.61%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-15 15:40
William Hill🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.24%E -5.33%K -36.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -10.61%E -2.36%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-15 14:20
Betsson🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -7.04%E -6.07%K -44.01%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -6.64%E -1.41%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-15 15:30
NordicBet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -7.04%E -6.07%K -44.01%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -6.64%E -1.41%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-15 15:30
Coral🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -7.84%E -6.82%K -52.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -8.63%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 15:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -7.84%E -6.82%K -52.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -8.63%E -1.88%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 15:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.20I 83.33%NM 82.48%5.65I 17.70%NM 17.52%1.0%2026-03-15 15:55
Polymarket1.20I 83.33%NM 82.25%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.75%1.3%2026-03-15 15:30
ProphetX1.21I 82.64%NM 81.55%5.35I 18.69%NM 18.45%1.3%2026-03-15 15:55
BetOpenly1.23I 81.30%NM 80.10%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.90%1.5%2026-03-15 15:55