Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.14
assuming max odds 1.83
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Xavier Musketeers (Local): 46.36%; Seton Hall Pirates (Visit): 53.64%. For Xavier Musketeers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.16. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.14, with an expected value of -0.781%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -0.781%E -0.365%K -0.685%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -6.14%E -3.51%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-03 23:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -0.781%E -0.365%K -0.685%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -7.21%E -4.17%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-03 23:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.64%E -1.26%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.06%E -2.86%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-03 23:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.64%E -1.26%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.06%E -2.86%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.71%EV -3.10%E -1.48%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.29%EV -9.35%E -5.54%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-03 23:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.71%EV -3.10%E -1.48%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.29%EV -9.35%E -5.54%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-03 23:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -4.49%E -2.18%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.60%E -3.18%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.95%E -2.42%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.45%E -1.92%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-03 18:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.95%E -2.42%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.45%E -1.92%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-03 23:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.95%E -2.42%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.45%E -1.92%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-03 15:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.95%E -2.42%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.45%E -1.92%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-03 23:52 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.95%E -2.42%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.45%E -1.92%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-03 18:23 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.95%E -2.42%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.45%E -1.92%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-03 18:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.95%E -2.42%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.45%E -1.92%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-03 18:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.95%E -2.42%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.45%E -1.92%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-03 18:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.95%E -2.42%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.45%E -1.92%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-03 18:25 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.95%E -2.42%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.45%E -1.92%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-03 18:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.95%E -2.42%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.06%E -2.86%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-03 23:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.95%E -2.42%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.60%E -3.18%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-03 23:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.95%E -2.42%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.14%E -3.51%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-03 23:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.95%E -2.42%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.14%E -3.51%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-03 23:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.95%E -2.42%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.14%E -3.51%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-03 23:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.74%EV -5.42%E -2.66%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.26%EV -7.75%E -4.50%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-03 23:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -6.35%E -3.14%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -4.53%E -2.54%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-03 18:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -6.35%E -3.14%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -4.53%E -2.54%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-03 18:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -6.35%E -3.14%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -6.14%E -3.51%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.27%E -3.64%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.85%E -1.01%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-03 23:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.27%E -3.64%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.85%E -1.01%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-03 23:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.27%E -3.64%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.85%E -1.01%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-03 23:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.27%E -3.64%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.85%E -1.01%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-03 23:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.27%E -3.64%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.85%E -1.01%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-03 23:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.27%E -3.64%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.85%E -1.01%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-03 23:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.27%E -3.64%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.85%E -1.01%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-03 23:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.27%E -3.64%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.85%E -1.01%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-03 01:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -7.27%E -3.64%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -2.38%E -1.31%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-03 23:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -7.27%E -3.64%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -2.38%E -1.31%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-03 23:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -7.27%E -3.64%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -2.38%E -1.31%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-03 23:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.27%E -3.64%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.67%E -3.84%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-03 23:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -8.20%E -4.14%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -6.14%E -3.51%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-03 15:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -8.20%E -4.14%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -6.14%E -3.51%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-03 15:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -8.66%E -4.40%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -2.92%E -1.61%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-03 23:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -9.13%E -4.66%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -3.45%E -1.92%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-03 23:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -9.59%E -4.92%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -7.21%E -4.17%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-03 18:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -9.59%E -4.92%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -7.21%E -4.17%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-03 18:25 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.15I 46.51%NM 46.78% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 53.22% | -0.6% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 1.0% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| Novig◎ | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.72% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.28% | 1.4% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67% | 1.8% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92% | 1.9% | 2026-03-03 18:20 |