Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Xavier Musketeers v Georgetown Hoyas

Kickoff: 2026-02-28 18:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

42 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Xavier Musketeers (Local)

Prediction 64.14%1.56fair odd
EV -3.14%
Edge -2.08%
Kelly -6.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.51

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.12%64.14%64.18%65.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.481.491.5169.44%67.44%67.11%66.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Georgetown Hoyas (Visit)

Prediction 35.86%2.79fair odd
EV -1.40%
Edge -0.508%
Kelly -0.799%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.99%35.86%35.82%36.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.632.612.7540.00%38.10%38.31%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Xavier Musketeers (Local): 64.14%; Georgetown Hoyas (Visit): 35.86%. For Georgetown Hoyas (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.79. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.75, with an expected value of -1.40%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -3.14%E -2.08%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -3.19%E -1.18%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-28 17:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -3.14%E -2.08%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -3.19%E -1.18%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-28 17:19
BetUS🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.88%EV -3.14%E -2.08%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.12%EV -4.27%E -1.60%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-28 17:18
theScore Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.14%E -2.08%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -4.98%E -1.88%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-28 17:48
Bovada🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.14%E -2.08%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -4.98%E -1.88%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-28 18:16
Pinnacle🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.14%E -2.08%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -4.98%E -1.88%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-28 18:29
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.78%E -2.52%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.19%E -1.18%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-28 18:18
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.78%E -2.52%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.98%E -1.88%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 17:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.78%E -2.52%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.78%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 17:40
TAB🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.78%E -2.52%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.78%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 17:19
DraftKings🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.42%E -2.97%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.19%E -1.18%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-28 17:19
Caesars🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.42%E -2.97%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -3.19%E -1.18%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-28 17:17
FanDuel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -4.42%E -2.97%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -3.91%E -1.46%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 17:45
LeoVegas🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -4.42%E -2.97%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -6.78%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 17:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -4.42%E -2.97%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -6.78%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 17:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -4.42%E -2.97%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -6.78%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 17:39
Unibet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -4.42%E -2.97%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -6.78%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 17:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -4.42%E -2.97%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -6.78%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 17:39
BetRivers🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -4.42%E -2.97%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -6.78%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 17:40
betPARX🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -4.42%E -2.97%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -6.78%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 17:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -4.42%E -2.97%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -6.78%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 17:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -4.42%E -2.97%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -6.78%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 17:39
Bally Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -4.42%E -2.97%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -6.78%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 17:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -4.42%E -2.97%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -8.57%E -3.36%K -5.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 17:39
TABtouch🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -4.42%E -2.97%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -8.57%E -3.36%K -5.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 17:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -5.07%E -3.42%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -1.40%E -0.508%K -0.799%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 17:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.07%E -3.42%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.98%E -1.88%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 18:19
Bet Right🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.07%E -3.42%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.98%E -1.88%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 18:19
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.07%E -3.42%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.98%E -1.88%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 18:29
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.07%E -3.42%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.98%E -1.88%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 17:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.07%E -3.42%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.98%E -1.88%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 17:54
888sport🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.71%E -3.88%K -12.14%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.98%E -1.88%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 18:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.71%E -3.88%K -12.14%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.98%E -1.88%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 18:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.71%E -3.88%K -12.14%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.98%E -1.88%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 18:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.86%EV -6.35%E -4.35%K -13.80%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.14%EV -7.49%E -2.90%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 17:19
1xBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -6.99%E -4.82%K -15.53%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -6.06%E -2.31%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 17:24
NordicBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.99%E -4.82%K -15.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.78%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 18:04
Betsson🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.99%E -4.82%K -15.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.78%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 18:05
Fliff🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -6.99%E -4.82%K -15.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -8.57%E -3.36%K -5.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-28 17:54
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.63%E -5.30%K -17.34%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.78%E -2.61%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-28 18:19
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -7.63%E -5.30%K -17.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -10.36%E -4.14%K -6.91%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 17:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -7.63%E -5.30%K -17.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -10.36%E -4.14%K -6.91%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 17:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.55I 64.52%NM 64.53%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.47%-0.0%2026-02-28 18:19
Polymarket1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-02-28 17:24
Kalshi1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%2.8%2026-02-28 18:29
ProphetX1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%4.1%2026-02-28 18:24
Novig1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%5.1%2026-02-28 18:30